Tipps Celje Shamrock Rovers UEFA Europa League 08/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Celje wins the match”

1. History of victories: Celje has a much stronger history of winning at home compared to Shamrock Rovers away, winning 60% of their last 5 home matches as opposed to only 20% for Shamrock Rovers in their away matches.

2. Defensive performance: Although both teams have similar defensive records, Celje concedes on average fewer goals per match at home than Shamrock Rovers do away (1.8 goals vs. 1.8 goals). This could give Celje a defensive edge in the match.

3. Probability according to bookmakers: According to the odds provided by bookmakers, it is much more likely for Celje to win the match, with a probability of 69.89% compared to just 12.37% for Shamrock Rovers.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Both teams have shown in the past their ability to score goals. Indeed, in their last 5 home and away matches respectively, Celje has scored 8 goals and Shamrock Rovers 4 goals, giving an overall average of over 2.5 goals per match.

2. Both teams also have a tendency to concede a lot of goals. According to your information, in their last 5 matches, Celje has conceded 11 goals, averaging over 2 goals per match, while Shamrock Rovers has conceded 6 goals, averaging 1.2 goals per match. This trend could continue in this match, leading to a total of over 2.5 goals.

3. The probability of a match with over 2.5 goals being scored is 52.15% according to your information, which is higher than the average of other predictions. This probability clearly indicates a trend towards a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The defensive statistics of both teams are quite strong with a defensive potential of 64% for both teams, indicating that they both have a good ability to prevent the other team from scoring.

2. Shamrock Rovers has shown low offensive efficiency in its away matches, scoring only 4 goals in its last 5 games. Meanwhile, Celje has won 60% of its home matches in the last 5, a sign of a solid defense.

3. The recent matches played by each team show a trend towards lower scores. In its last 5 home games, Celje has scored more than 2 goals only once. Similarly, in its last 5 away games, Shamrock Rovers has exceeded a score of 2 only once.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Shamrock Rovers win the match.

Bet on the exact result

“Celje 2-1 Shamrock Rovers”

1. Recent home performances by Celje indicate a winning trend in most matches, with a 60% success rate. Furthermore, in their last 5 home matches, Celje has scored at least two goals 3 times, suggesting they have a good offensive potential to score two goals.

2. Shamrock Rovers’ away performances are relatively weak, winning only in 20% of cases, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match. This suggests they could score at least one goal in the match against Celje, but it could be difficult for them to surpass the home team.

3. Statistics on goal probabilities in the match favor the score of “over 2.5 goals” with a success probability of 52.15%. This aligns with the predicted score of 2-1, which requires at least 3 goals in the match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Celje shows solid form at home, with a 60% win rate in their last matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 11, with an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 64%.

On the other hand, Shamrock Rovers struggle away, winning only 20% of their matches and scoring just 4 goals. Their offensive rate is slightly higher than Celje at 43%, but their defense is equally vulnerable at 64%.

The odds indicate a high probability (69.89%) of victory for Celje, with much lower chances for a draw or Shamrock Rovers win. The bet “under 3.5 goals in the match” has a 76.34% probability and “over 1.5 goals in the match” stands at 73.66%.

Recent match analysis: Celje has shown varying scores, demonstrating an ability to find the back of the net. Shamrock Rovers, on the other hand, struggle to score consistently.

Therefore, based on these numbers and trends, a credible prediction would be Celje to win with under 3.5 total goals.

The potential number of goals

Celje seems to stand out at home with a 60% win rate. Statistics show that their defense is slightly weak, conceding 11 goals in the last 5 matches. However, their offensive potential is significant, with 8 goals scored.

On the Shamrock Rovers side, away from home, they have only won 20% of their matches. Their offensive and defensive performances are quite balanced with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match.

In terms of probability, it seems preferable to bet on Celje with a success probability of 69.89%. A draw or a Celje win is even more likely with a probability of 87.63%.

As for the goal analysis, the probability is higher for less than 3.5 goals in the match with a 76.34% chance. The probability of both teams scoring is almost balanced with a slight preference for them not scoring (52.69%).

Thus, using these statistics, bettors could consider a Celje win or a draw, with less than 3.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Celje and Shamrock Rovers seems to lean towards Celje given their history of home victories and the advantageous odds provided by bookmakers. However, despite Shamrock Rovers’ poor performance away from home, a bet on a draw or a Shamrock Rovers win could offer added value for bettors looking for higher odds. Additionally, with both teams showing a tendency to score and concede many goals, the “Over 2.5 goals” bet seems like a viable option. Nevertheless, considering the defensive trends of both teams, it is unlikely that both teams will score during the match.

Ultimately, past statistics and trends suggest that the most probable score for this match is 2-1 in favor of Celje. However, as always in sports betting, nothing is ever guaranteed and all betting decisions should be made judiciously and with the utmost caution.