Tipps Celta Vigo Valencia La Liga 23/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Celta Vigo wins the match

1. Celta Vigo’s home performance: Celta Vigo has a high home win rate with victories in 80% of their last 5 matches, demonstrating their ability to effectively protect their home turf.

2. Valence’s poor away performance: Valence has had quite weak performances away from home with no wins in their last 5 matches, presenting an advantage for Celta Vigo.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Celta Vigo has a 64% offensive potential and a 50% defensive potential at home, compared to Valence’s 43% and 57% respectively away. This means that Celta Vigo has a better performance in terms of both attack and defense, increasing their chances of winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.70

1. Statistically, the average number of goals scored per match for both teams is relatively low, suggesting that there will likely be fewer than 2.5 goals in this match. Celta Vigo averages 1.8 goals per home match, while Valencia averages 1.2 goals away.
2. Recent history of Valencia’s away matches indicates that in the majority of cases, fewer than 2.5 goals have been scored. This reinforces the argument for a low-scoring match.
3. Valencia rarely wins away, as evidenced by their 0% win percentage. A team that doesn’t win often typically scores fewer goals, further supporting the prediction of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goals Performance: Celta Vigo has an average of 1.8 goals scored per match in their last 5 home games, while Valencia has an average of 1.2 goals scored per match in their last 5 away games. This indicates that both teams have the potential to score in the match.

2. Previous Trend: In their recent encounter, the match between Celta Vigo and Valencia ended in a 2-2 draw, meaning both teams scored in their previous meeting.

3. Defensive Analysis: Celta Vigo concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, while Valencia concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match away. This suggests a weakness in the defense of each team that could lead to goals being scored on both sides in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Celta Vigo wins the match – 78.21% success rate: 1.30

Bet on the exact result

Celta Vigo 2-1 Valencia

1. Celta Vigo has a positive home performance with 80% win rate in their last 5 games, showing a strong tendency to score with their offensive potential of 64%. This reinforces the idea that they can score at least two goals in the match.

2. Valencia has poor away performances with 0% win rate in their last 5 games and a defensive potential of 57%. They have also conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game, indicating that they could concede at least two goals to Celta Vigo.

3. Statistics show a 55.31% likelihood that both teams will score. Looking at the recent matches, we see that Valencia has managed to score at least one goal in most of their away games, so they can likely score a goal against Celta Vigo.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Celta Vigo has been strong at home with an 80% win rate in their recent matches. This contrasts sharply with Valencia’s away performances, as they have not won any of their last 5 matches. Despite Celta Vigo having a better offensive performance (averaging 1.8 goals per match), their defenses are similar, with each conceding 10 goals in their respective last 5 matches.

The probability of Celta Vigo winning is 45.81%, while Valencia’s is only 21.79%. There is a high likelihood of less than 3.5 goals being scored in this match (87.15%). Looking at previous matches, in their last encounter in Vigo, Celta and Valencia drew (2-2). While this is relevant information, the current form context heavily favors Celta Vigo.

In conclusion, the numbers suggest a clear advantage for Celta Vigo. Given the difference in recent performances, my intuition would be to bet on a Celta Vigo win or on a match with less than 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Celta Vigo has shown a strong performance at home. 80% of their recent matches have been victories. With 9 goals scored and 10 goals conceded, their matches are lively.
Valencia has struggled to shine away from home. No wins in their last 5 matches, only one draw. Despite scoring 6 goals, the 10 goals they have conceded weigh heavily.
Celta Vigo is very offensive at home, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Their defense is decent, conceding an average of 1.4 goals.
Valencia has difficulty scoring on the road, averaging 1.2 goals per game. They also concede a bit more: 1.6 goals on average.
Probabilities favor a match with less than 3.5 goals, with a probability of 87.15%, and more than 1.5 goals, with a probability of 75.42%. Both teams could score, given a probability of 55.31%.
Celta Vigo appears to have the upper hand, with a 45.81% probability of winning. The chances are also high for a draw or a Celta Vigo victory, at 78.21%.
In conclusion, an engaging match is expected, with a slight advantage for Celta Vigo. The highlight will likely be the number of goals, with a safe target around 2 to 3 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the available statistics and analysis of the recent performances of both teams, Celta Vigo appears to be the favorite for this match, benefiting from their impressive home record and Valencia’s weakness on the road. The potential for goals is relatively low with a prediction of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. However, both teams are likely to score given their recent trends and goal-scoring form. The astute bettor may therefore consider wagering on a win for Celta Vigo or a draw, given an appealing probability of 78.21%. Additionally, an exact score of 2-1 in favor of Celta Vigo could also be a betting option to consider, although it is a riskier prediction. Ultimately, as always in sports betting, it is crucial to analyze the available data, understand the trends, but also factor in the unpredictable nature of sports.