Tipps Central Cordoba de Santiago Velez Sarsfield Liga Profesional Argentina 29/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Velez Sarsfield wins the match”

1. Velez Sarsfield has a better defense compared to Central Cordoba, with a defensive potential of 29% against 79% for Central Cordoba. They concede an average of 0.8 goals per game compared to 2.2 for Central Cordoba.
2. Velez Sarsfield has a higher probability of winning compared to Central Cordoba at 37.5% against 31.25% for Central Cordoba. With odds of 2.15 against 3.50, it is more advantageous to bet on Velez Sarsfield.
3. Recent home matches for Central Cordoba show that they often lose (3 losses in 5 matches). In contrast, Velez Sarsfield has managed to win or draw in 60% of its recent away matches.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics of both teams show a tendency towards low scores. Indeed, on average, Central Cordoba de Santiago scores 1.2 goals per home match and Velez Sarsfield scores 1.4 goals per away match. Additionally, their defenses are relatively solid, conceding an average of 2.2 and 0.8 goals respectively.

2. The probabilities also suggest a low score. For instance, the probability of “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is priced at 1.38, indicating a high likelihood that the match will not exceed this total number of goals.

3. The recent match history of both teams demonstrates a trend towards low-scoring matches. In their last five matches, the majority have seen fewer than 2.5 goals. For example, three of Velez Sarsfield’s last five away matches have had under 2.5 goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Defensive statistics: Both Velez Sarsfield and Central Cordoba de Santiago have shown considerable defensive strength in their recent matches. Central Cordoba de Santiago has conceded an average of 2.2 goals per match at home, while Velez Sarsfield has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match away.

2. Recent results: Central Cordoba de Santiago failed to score in 2 out of the last 5 home matches they played. Similarly, in the last 5 away matches of Velez Sarsfield, two matches ended without them scoring.

3. Goal probability: The statistical probabilities of goals in the match indicate a low likelihood of both teams scoring. There is a 65.62% chance that both teams will not score, which is higher than the probability of them scoring (34.38%).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match – 40.63% probability of success: 2.94.

Bet on the exact result

Central Cordoba de Santiago 1-1 Velez Sarsfield

1. Central Cordoba de Santiago’s home matches have often ended in a draw (60% of cases in the last 5 matches), and Velez Sarsfield tends to draw when playing away (40% of cases in the last 5 matches).

2. Central Cordoba de Santiago scores an average of 1.2 goals per home match, and Velez Sarsfield scores 1.4 goals per away match, suggesting both teams have the ability to score at least one goal during the match.

3. The probabilities indicate a high chance of seeing less than 3.5 goals in the match (90.63% probability of success), corresponding to the predicted score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Central Cordoba de Santiago at home is not in good form, with 1 win in 5 matches. On average, they score 1.2 goals but concede 2.2 goals.

As for Velez Sarsfield away from home, only 1 win in 5 matches. They score more and concede less, with 1.4 and 0.8 goals respectively.

In terms of probability of victory, Velez Sarsfield edges it with 37.5% compared to 31.25% for Cordoba. But the draw is also at 31.25%.

Another safe bet is “Under 3.5 goals” with a success rate of 90.63%.

In the last 5 matches, Cordoba has conceded at least 2 goals at home. Meanwhile, in 3 out of 5 Sarsfield away matches, there are fewer than 2.5 goals.

A clear trend towards “under 2.5 goals per match” may explain the high success probability of 1.38.

So, a low-scoring match is likely. Also, with a probability of 65.62%, both teams may not score.

Cordoba’s recent score against Quilmes (3-1) highlights their offensive potential despite their poor form at home.

Sarsfield, having won against Sarandi (2-1), could pose problems for Cordoba.

In any case, a victory for Velez Sarsfield or a draw is the most likely outcome.

The potential number of goals

The Central Cordoba de Santiago team, playing at home, has an average performance. They have won only 20% of their last 5 matches. However, they have managed to draw 60% of the time. They have scored 7 goals but conceded 8. Their average goals per match is 1.2, with an offensive potential of 43%.

Velez Sarsfield, playing away, has similar statistics. They have won 20% of their last 5 matches and drawn 40% of the time. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6. With an average of 1.4 goals per match, their offensive potential is slightly over 50%.

For the upcoming match, Velez Sarsfield has a slightly higher probability of winning. The betting odds indicate a 37.5% chance of Velez Sarsfield winning, compared to 31.25% for Central Cordoba de Santiago.

Regarding goals, there is a 50% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. Also, there is a 90.63% chance of there being less than 3.5 goals during the match.

An important detail to note: in recent matches, both teams have struggled to score. Both teams to not score – a 65.62% probability of success, which is quite high.

In conclusion, this match looks tight and with a potentially low number of goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Central Cordoba de Santiago and Velez Sarsfield promises to be very tight. Velez Sarsfield seems to have a slight advantage due to a stronger defense and higher probability of winning. However, Central Cordoba could surprise given their ability to draw at home. The number of goals is expected to be low, with a high likelihood of there being less than 2.5 goals in the match. Additionally, it is also very probable that both teams will fail to score. As for the value bet, the “Over 2.5 goals in the match” bet is of interest due to the high odds and relatively high success rate based on the tendencies of both teams.