Tipps Cerezo Osaka Gamba Osaka J1 League 31/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Gamba Osaka wins the match”

1. Recent Performance: Gamba Osaka has shown better performance than Cerezo Osaka in their respective recent matches. Gamba Osaka has won 40% of their recent away matches and drawn 60% of the time, whereas Cerezo Osaka has not won any of their recent home matches and drawn 80% of the time.

2. Offensive and Defensive Abilities: Gamba Osaka clearly has a better performance both in attack and defense, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceding only 1.2 goals on average. Cerezo Osaka, on the other hand, has scored an average of 0.6 goals and conceded an average of 2.8 goals per match.

3. Probability of Winning: Bookmakers give Gamba Osaka a win probability of 37.57%, which is higher than Cerezo Osaka’s win probability of 32.8%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics show that Cerezo Osaka has a weak offensive potential at home (0.6 goals per match) and that Gamba Osaka has a strong defensive performance away (conceding only 1.2 goals per match).
2. In the last 5 home matches, Cerezo Osaka had a total of less than 2.5 goals in 60% of the cases, indicating a tendency towards low-scoring matches.
3. The odds offered for “Under 2.5 goals in the match” are 1.72, suggesting that bookmakers also consider this scenario as quite likely.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics from Cerezo Osaka’s recent home matches show that the team has scored in 60% of cases but has struggled to keep a clean sheet, indicating a leaky defense.

2. Gamba Osaka’s away performances reveal a strong offensive record with a goal scored in 80% of matches, along with some defensive vulnerability as they have conceded goals in 40% of matches.

3. The “both teams to score” prediction has a success probability of 55.56%, which is above average and suggests that both teams have a tendency to score and concede goals in their respective matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Gamba Osaka

1. Historical results: Cerezo Osaka has drawn in 80% of their last 5 home matches, and Gamba Osaka has drawn in 60% of their last 5 away matches. This suggests that it is highly likely that the match will end in a 1-1 draw.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Cerezo Osaka scores an average of 0.6 goals per home match and concedes an average of 2.8 goals, while Gamba Osaka scores an average of 1.4 goals away and concedes an average of 1.2 goals. The probability of both teams scoring at least one goal is very high, justifying a 1-1 prediction.

3. Market probabilities: The “Draw” prediction has a success probability of 29.63%, and Both Teams to Score has a success probability of 55.56%. These market predictions support a 1-1 scoreline forecast.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cerezo Osaka has a low home win rate, having won 0% of its last 5 matches. Their attack is not very effective, averaging 0.6 goals per match, and their defense is weak, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match.

On the other hand, Gamba Osaka has shown a strong performance away from home, with a 40% win rate in its last 5 matches. The team averages 1.4 goals per match and has a more solid defense, conceding only 1.2 goals per match.

The probability of Cerezo Osaka winning is 32.8%, while the probability of Gamba Osaka winning is slightly higher at 37.57%. A draw is also possible with a probability of 29.63%.

Goals are expected: there is a 74.07% chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals. However, a match with less than 3.5 goals is more likely with a probability of 79.37%.

Given Gamba Osaka’s strong attacking potential and Cerezo Osaka’s weak defense, there is a 55.56% probability that both teams will score.

These data suggest that an uncertain outcome awaits us, but where Gamba Osaka seems to have a slight advantage.

The potential number of goals

Cerezo Osaka has been struggling at home with no wins in their last 5 matches and a meager total of 6 goals. Their defense has been leaky, conceding 8 goals.

On the other hand, Gamba Osaka has been performing decently away from home. They win 40% of the time, draw often (60%), and have scored the same number of goals as their host (6 goals). However, they have been more solid defensively, conceding only 7 goals.

Cerezo’s offensive potential is low (21%), but their defense is fully utilized (100%). In contrast, Gamba has a more appealing attacking potential (50%) and a less exploited defense (43%).

Gamba Osaka winning the match is more likely (37.57%) than Cerezo Osaka winning the match (32.8%). There is a high likelihood of over 1.5 goals in the match (74.07%). In recent encounters, Cerezo has struggled to get positive results, while Gamba seems better equipped away from home.

Prediction: Gamba Osaka to win the match appears to be a serious possibility to consider.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude this article, the prognosis for the match between Cerezo Osaka and Gamba Osaka seems to lean in favor of Gamba Osaka due to their strong performances in away matches, solid offense, and more resistant defense. However, the outcome of the match remains uncertain, as indicated by the high probability of a draw. It is also likely that less than 2.5 goals will be scored in this match and that both teams will score. The exact score has a probability of 1-1.

Therefore, it is advisable for bettors to be cautious and carefully assess the dynamics of both teams before placing a bet. The possibility of an uncertain result and a moderate number of goals scored offers several interesting betting opportunities to exploit. Ultimately, as with all sports betting, it is crucial to bet responsibly.