Tipps CF Montreal San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer 29/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

CF Montreal wins the match

1. CF Montreal has won 60% of their last home matches, indicating they are strong when playing on their own turf.
2. SJ Earthquakes show weakness away, winning only 20% of their last 5 matches. Following this trend, CF Montreal is more likely to win.
3. On average, CF Montreal scores more goals per home match (1.4) than SJ Earthquakes away (1.2), suggesting a higher offensive potential for CF Montreal.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match – 56.49% chance of success: 1.53.

1. Over their last 5 matches, CF Montreal and SJ Earthquakes have scored an average of 1.4 and 1.2 goals per match respectively, totaling an average of 2.6 goals per match, which is higher than the studied 2.5 goals hypothesis.

2. Both teams have respective offensive potentials of 50% and 43%. By adding these proportions, it is likely that each team will score at least one goal, bringing the total goals to a minimum of 2 goals, which is close to the 2.5 goals hypothesis of the bet.

3. Looking at recent match histories, both teams tend to be involved in matches where the total goals are 2 or more. For example, in CF Montreal’s last home match against Charlotte, 3 goals were scored, and in a recent SJ away match against Seattle Sounders, 4 goals were scored. This trend increases the probability that the total goals in the match will be over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Last match history: In the last 5 home matches of CF Montreal, the team scored in 60% of the cases, indicating a tendency to score at home. As for SJ Earthquakes, the team managed to score in 60% of its away matches, suggesting they can score even when playing away.

2. Average goals: The average goals scored and conceded at home for CF Montreal are 1.4 and 2.4 respectively. Similarly, the average goals scored and conceded away for SJ Earthquakes are 1.2 and 1.6. This shows that both teams have a balanced ability to score and concede goals, which could lead to a match where both teams score.

3. Statistical probability: The statistical probability of “Both teams to score” is 64.29%, which is a relatively high value, reinforcing the prediction that both teams will score in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or CF Montreal wins the match

Bet on the exact result

CF Montreal 1-1 SJ Earthquakes

1. The home performance of CF Montreal and the away performance of SJ Earthquakes in terms of wins and draws are quite similar (60% wins for Montreal against 20% for the Earthquakes, and 40% draws for both teams). This suggests that the two teams have a similar level of competitiveness.

2. In terms of average goals scored and conceded, CF Montreal and SJ Earthquakes have fairly similar performances (1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded on average for Montreal, and 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average for the Earthquakes). Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is quite high (64.29%). Therefore, it is likely that each team will score a goal.

3. In terms of odds, although the probability of a Montreal win is higher, the probability of a draw is also significant (31.82%). Additionally, the majority of probabilities indicate a match with less than 4.5 goals (93.51% probability). A score of 1-1 thus aligns with all these factors.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

CF Montreal is in good form at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches and no losses. Additionally, they have scored 5 goals. However, they have also conceded 5 goals. This is a 1 to 1 ratio.

SJ Earthquakes struggle away from home. They have only won 20% of their last 5 matches, with 7 goals conceded against 6 scored.

Statistically, CF Montreal is more comfortable in attack at home with a 50% offensive potential, but their defense is weak with only 14% efficiency.

For SJ Earthquakes, their away performance is questionable with offensive and defensive potentials at 43% and 57% respectively.

According to the probabilities, the match could lean towards a win for CF Montreal or a draw. There is a 77.27% chance of this happening, with odds of 1.30 for this outcome.

Possible goal scenarios: there is an 84.42% chance of the match seeing over 1.5 goals with a success rate of 1.18, and a 56.49% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.53. This indicates a trend towards low-scoring matches.

Both teams tend to score with a probability of 64.29%, leading to odds of 1.50.

Conclusion: This match between CF Montreal and SJ Earthquakes seems to lean towards a draw or a win for CF Montreal, with attractive odds for at least 1.5 goals in the match and both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

CF Montreal has shown strong potential at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. The club has also maintained a balanced record in both attacking and defending, scoring and conceding 5 goals each.

On the other hand, SJ Earthquakes have a more mixed record with only a 20% win rate away from home, scoring 6 goals and conceding 7.

In terms of offensive and defensive potential, CF Montreal demonstrates superiority over SJ Earthquakes with 50% in attack and 86% in defense, compared to SJ Earthquakes’ 43% and 57%, respectively.

From a betting perspective, the match seems to favor CF Montreal with a 45.45% chance of success. Another viable option would be a draw or a CF Montreal win with a 77.27% probability.

Regarding goals, a 56.49% chance of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match appears to be an interesting prediction. It also seems likely that both teams will score at least once, with a 64.29% chance.

Historically, CF Montreal has had varied scores, with a peak of 5 goals conceded against New England. SJ Earthquakes’ only victory came with a 2-0 score against Salt Lake.

In conclusion, this match seems to be in favor of CF Montreal. However, the option of a draw or a CF Montreal win coupled with over 2.5 goals is an attractive prediction for bettors.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between CF Montreal and SJ Earthquakes offers several interesting betting opportunities. Recent statistics and the performance of both teams suggest that CF Montreal has a distinct advantage, especially when playing at home. This translates to a 45.45% probability of a CF Montreal win. However, the possibility of a draw cannot be ruled out, with a probability of 31.82%. The idea of betting on a draw or a CF Montreal win, with a combined probability of 77.27%, therefore seems to be an attractive option.

On the other hand, there is a high probability that more than 2.5 goals will be scored in the match (56.49% probability) as well as the possibility of both teams scoring (64.29% probability). By combining these high probabilities, bettors can take advantage of potentially profitable betting opportunities.

Finally, while a CF Montreal win seems likely based on current statistics, bettors should always bear in mind that no match is guaranteed. It is therefore always advisable to bet responsibly.