Tipps Charlotte Chicago Fire Major League Soccer 03/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Charlotte or draw

1. Charlotte’s recent home record is better than Chicago Fire’s away record: Charlotte has won or drawn in 60% of their last home matches while Chicago has not won any of their last away matches and only drawn in 20% of cases.

2. Charlotte’s offensive performance at home is superior to Chicago Fire’s away performance. Indeed, Charlotte has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match at home in their last 5 matches while Chicago Fire has only scored an average of 0.8 goals per match away in their last 5 matches.

3. Charlotte’s defense at home is stronger than Chicago Fire’s defense away. Charlotte has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match at home in their last 5 matches while Chicago Fire has conceded 1.4 goals per match away over the same period.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive performances of these two teams are relatively weak. At home, Charlotte has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and away, Chicago Fire has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match.
2. Based on defensive statistics, both teams tend to concede few goals, which limits the chances of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match. Charlotte concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match at home and Chicago Fire concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match away.
3. Historically, matches involving Charlotte at home and Chicago Fire away have shown low scores (none have exceeded 4 goals and many have ended goalless or with just one goal).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Match history: The lack of wins for Chicago Fire in previous games, especially when playing away (0% wins in their last 5 matches), indicates a low level of performance that translates into their reduced ability to score goals.

2. Offensive and defensive performance: Charlotte has an average of 1.2 goals scored per match at home and also an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match. This, combined with the fact that Chicago Fire have a very low average of 0.8 goals per match when playing away, suggests a low probability of both teams scoring.

3. Chicago Fire’s low offensive potential at 29%, combined with Charlotte’s fairly strong defensive potential at 43% in their home matches, reinforces the argument that it is less likely for both teams to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

“Charlotte 1-1 Chicago Fire”

1. Analyzing the last 5 home matches of Charlotte, the team has a tendency to draw in 40% of cases. This is a strong indicator that the match could end in a draw.

2. The offensive potential of Charlotte at home and Chicago Fire away is relatively balanced (1.2 goals per match against 0.8 goals per match), thus making a 1-1 scoreline likely.

3. Defensive statistics are almost identical for both teams with Charlotte conceding an average of 1.2 goals and Chicago Fire 1.4 goals, suggesting that each team is likely to concede a goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Charlotte, at home, struggles to win. Only a 20% win rate. Not great. However, they have a 40% draw rate. They score few goals, only 6. And concede more, exactly 8 goals.

Chicago Fire is in bad shape away from home. No wins in their last 5 matches. Very poor. They score very little, just 4 goals. And they concede quite a bit, 6 goals in total.

Charlotte at home scores 1.2 goals per game. Their attacking potential is low at 43%. Their defense is also at a 43% success rate. Average.

The Chicago team, away from home, is worse. They only score 0.8 goals per game. Their attacking potential is low at 29%. Their defense is not impressive, at 50%.

In terms of probabilities, neither team is favored to win. Therefore, no probability is defined for a draw.

Recent home matches for Charlotte show a weak offensive performance. The last two away matches for Chicago show a vulnerable defense.

However, the probability is high for less than 3.5 goals and 4.5 goals in the match. Both teams are likely not to score.

In conclusion, the match is likely to be very tight and low-scoring. It is a low-risk encounter, with strong defenses but weak attacks.

The potential number of goals

Charlotte has won 20% of their last home matches, with a draw in 40% of cases. On average, they score 1.2 goals and concede 1.2 goals per match. Their offensive and defensive potential is at 43%.

On the other hand, Chicago has not won their last 5 away matches and has only drawn in 20% of cases. They score an average of 0.8 goals and concede 1.4 goals per match. Their offensive potential is at 29%, while their defensive potential is at 50%.

The match between Charlotte and Chicago seems to be balanced, even though Charlotte has a slight edge at home and Chicago is weaker away. However, it is worth noting that both teams struggle to score many goals, as in the last 5 matches of each team, the total goals did not exceed 4.5 goals.

Prediction: Under 4.5 goals in the match, with a success probability of 100%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the statistics, previous scores, and current team performances, the forecast suggests a relatively close match between Charlotte and Chicago. Charlotte holds a slight advantage due to their home performance, so it is advised to bet on a draw or a Charlotte win.

Given the low number of goals scored by both teams in their previous matches, the safest bet would be to wager on a total of under 3.5 goals in the match. It is also suggested that both teams are unlikely to score in this match, making the “both teams to score: No” bet appealing.

As for the exact score, a result of 1-1 seems to be the most probable based on the available data, although this forecast remains somewhat uncertain.

However, it is important to note that as with all sports betting, nothing is guaranteed, and it is recommended to only bet what you are willing to lose. Good luck!