Tipps Charlotte DC United Major League Soccer 16/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Charlotte wins the match

1. Performance history: Based on past statistics, Charlotte has a better home performance with a 40% win rate, compared to DC United who has a weak away performance with only a 20% win rate. Additionally, Charlotte has scored more goals at home compared to the number of goals scored by DC United away.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Charlotte has defensive potential equivalent to their offensive potential at home, while DC United has significantly higher defensive potential than its offensive potential away, indicating potentially weak defense during away matches.

3. Success probabilities: According to the provided probabilities, it is more likely that Charlotte will win the match or it will end in a draw (69.07%), compared to the option where DC United wins the match or it ends in a draw (57.73%). Furthermore, the probability of Charlotte winning the match is the highest of the three individual options, indicating a higher likelihood of Charlotte winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Less than 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive potential of Charlotte at home and DC United away is relatively low. Indeed, Charlotte only scores an average of one goal at home, while DC United only scores 1.2 away.
2. Defensive statistics support this prediction, with Charlotte conceding on average only one goal at home and DC United conceding 2.4 away. Moreover, in the last 5 matches of each team, fewer than 2.5 goals have been scored in most cases.
3. The success probabilities for the bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match” at odds of 2.15 are relatively high, confirming that this prediction is more likely based on previous match data.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. General statistics: General statistics suggest that both teams have a certain ability to score goals. Charlotte has scored 3 goals in their last 5 home matches, while DC United has scored 6 goals in their last 5 away matches. This implies that both teams are likely to score in the next match.

2. Recent match analyses: Recent match results for both teams indicate that they have a scoring ability. It is worth noting that DC United has managed to score in 3 of their last 5 away matches.

3. Associated probabilities: The odds indicate a 63.92% probability of both teams scoring. This is a strong indication that both teams have a high likelihood of scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Charlotte 1-1 DC United

1. Charlotte’s home match history shows a solid defensive performance, with only 6 goals conceded in 5 matches. Additionally, their offensive potential of 36% aligns with their average goal-scoring rate (1 goal per match), suggesting they are likely to score a goal in the match against DC United.

2. DC United, when playing away, has also demonstrated an offensive potential of 43%, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match, indicating they are also likely to score against Charlotte. Furthermore, they have a defensive weakness, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match, which strengthens the argument that Charlotte could score against them.

3. The probability of a draw is 26.8%, which is quite significant in sports betting. The past performances of both teams and their offensive and defensive potential demonstrate that it is highly likely that neither team will clearly dominate the other, potentially leading to a draw. Moreover, the fact that both teams have had several draws or low-scoring matches in their recent games further supports this argument.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Charlotte struggles at home, with only a 40% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 6, indicating issues in both attack and defense. DC United struggles away, with only a 20% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored more goals than Charlotte (6 against 3) but have also conceded more goals (7 against 6). On average, Charlotte scores 1 goal per home game and concedes 1 goal. DC United scores 1.2 goals per away game and concedes 2.4. These numbers suggest that both teams have a similar offensive output, but DC United has a weaker defense. The probability of Charlotte winning the match is 42.27% with odds of 2.05. For DC United, the probability is lower at 30.93%, with odds of 3.50. A draw is possible with a probability of 26.8% and odds of 3.75. The probability of the match ending with over 1.5 goals is 80.41%, with odds of 1.22, indicating a potentially high-scoring game. Recent home matches for Charlotte and away matches for DC United show a trend of tight games with few goals. In conclusion, Charlotte seems to be a slight favorite, but the match will likely be close and low-scoring. Safer bets could be “Charlotte to win or draw” and “Under 2.5 goals in the match.”

The potential number of goals

Charlotte has been struggling at home. In the last 5 matches, they have only won 40% of the time. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 6. Their home offensive potential is therefore quite low at 36%.

On the other hand, DC United is not strong away from home. They have only won 20% of their last 5 matches. However, they have been more efficient than Charlotte with 6 goals, but their defense is weak (7 goals conceded). Their offensive potential reaches 43%.

In terms of odds, the chances of winning are almost equal. Charlotte has a success probability of 42.27%, DC United 30.93%.

It seems that this match will be close. The most probable bets are those under 4.5 goals (80.93% chance). Both teams also score a lot at 63.92%.

In summary, it seems prudent to bet on a total of under 4.5 goals, and possibly a draw or a Charlotte win.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering all these analyses and data, it appears that the match between Charlotte and DC United will be a closely contested one. Both teams have displayed similar performances at home for Charlotte and away for DC United, with a slight offensive edge for Charlotte. Furthermore, it is also likely that the match will end with fewer than 2.5 goals, given Charlotte’s lack of offensive efficiency and DC United’s weak defense.

Moreover, in terms of betting opportunities, bettors may find value in wagering on under 2.5 goals. There are also good chances of both teams scoring during the match. Regarding the exact score prediction, indications suggest that the match could end in a 1-1 draw, considering both teams’ tendency to concede goals and their vulnerabilities in attack.

Finally, although Charlotte appears to be a slight favorite to win the match based on probabilities, the match is likely to be tight and could very well end in a draw.

Ultimately, this analysis is based on the teams’ past performances. However, like any sports betting, the outcome will depend on many other unpredictable factors. It is always advisable to bet cautiously.