Tipps Charlotte Minnesota United FC Major League Soccer 22/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Charlotte wins the game.

1. Charlotte’s Home Performance: In their last 5 home matches, Charlotte has won 60% of the time. This is a strong point as it indicates they have good home performance and are therefore more likely to win the match.

2. Charlotte’s Offensive and Defensive Potential: At home, Charlotte scores an average of 1.4 goals per match, which is higher than Minnesota’s average away goals (1 goal per match). Additionally, Charlotte’s offensive potential is 50%, compared to Minnesota’s 36%. This gives Charlotte an advantage on the offensive front.

3. Win Probabilities: The probabilities also suggest a Charlotte win, with a 40.72% probability for Charlotte to win the match, compared to a 27.84% probability for Minnesota to win. This gives Charlotte a probabilistic advantage.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The average number of goals per match is quite low for both teams: Charlotte has an average of 1.4 goals scored per home match, and Minnesota United FC has an average of 1 goal scored per away match. This suggests a low offensive potential from both sides.

2. Both teams have also shown a strong defensive capability, with Charlotte conceding an average of 1.2 goals per home match and Minnesota United FC conceding an average of 1 goal per away match. These data suggest that both teams are able to restrict the opponent’s goal scoring.

3. Taking into account the success rates of various goal-related predictions, the most likely scenario is for fewer than 2.5 goals in the match, with a success probability estimated at 2.05. Compared to other predictions regarding the number of goals (e.g. over 2.5 goals at 1.80 or under 3.5 goals at 1.40), “under 2.5 goals” seems to be the safest and most logical option.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Goal Statistics: Both teams have significant goal statistics, with Charlotte scoring an average of 1.4 goals per home match and Minnesota United scoring an average of 1 goal per away match. Additionally, they both have a high goal-conceding rate, indicating they are likely to both score and concede goals.

2. Head-to-Head History: In recent matches, Charlotte and Minnesota United FC have shown a tendency to score in their direct confrontations. As noted, their last match ended in a 0-0 draw, but this is an exception to their usual performances.

3. Success Probabilities: The success probability for the “Both Teams to Score” bet is 59.79% according to the provided data. This shows that the data and previous performances strongly support this scenario for the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Charlotte 1-1 Minnesota United FC

1. Previous match statistics show an average of goals scored and conceded very close to 1 for both teams, suggesting that a 1-1 draw would be a possible outcome.
2. Minnesota United FC’s previous away results suggest they have the ability to score and concede a goal, as evidenced by their match against the Montreal Impact which also ended 1-1.
3. The probability of a draw (31.44%) is higher than that of Minnesota United FC winning the match (27.84%), and the probability of over 1.5 goals in the match is 75.26%, which supports the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Charlotte has a home win rate of 60%, with an average score of 1.4 goals per game. However, they have also conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating some defensive vulnerability.
Minnesota United, on the other hand, have only won 40% of their last 5 away games. They score an average of 1 goal per game but have also conceded 7 goals, revealing a defense that can be exploited.
Looking at recent matchups, the previous game between the two teams at Charlotte’s home ended in a draw. Minnesota’s previous away games against other teams, however, have shown interesting offensive potential with several victories.
According to the odds, the most likely result is a Charlotte win with a probability of 40.72%, closely followed by a draw at 31.44%. Minnesota has a 27.84% chance of winning.
The likelihood of there being less than 4.5 goals is also high, at around 85.57%. Furthermore, both teams have about a 59.79% chance of scoring during the match.
Based on these indicators, a Charlotte win or a draw seems probable, with fewer than 4.5 goals scored during the match.

The potential number of goals

Charlotte excels at home, with a 60% win rate and notable scores against Toronto and Columbus Crew. They have scored a total of 7 goals in 5 matches, indicating a strong offensive force.

Minnesota, on the road, is slightly less performing, with a 40% win rate and 7 goals scored in 5 matches. However, they have shown resilience, with 40% of the matches ending in draws.

Side by side, Charlotte has an average of 1.4 goals scored per match compared to 1 goal for Minnesota. However, their defense is nearly equal, with Charlotte conceding 1.2 goals while Minnesota concedes 1 goal per match.

Both teams seem closely matched in terms of offensive and defensive capabilities. The probabilities slightly favor Charlotte at 40.72% against 27.84% for Minnesota.

Regarding the number of goals in the match, the probability of over 1.5 goals is quite high at 75.26%. However, the match could be more defensive, with a 69.07% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Looking at the history, both teams have previously drawn in their last encounter at Charlotte. This trend could repeat, with a 31.44% probability.

In conclusion, while Charlotte is slightly favored, the match seems balanced with a high probability of a low amount of goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

The conclusion of this sports betting analysis highlights several key factors to consider. According to statistics and probabilities, Charlotte has a slight advantage as the home team and shows strong performance at home. However, Minnesota has also shown solid resilience on the road, suggesting a likely closely contested match.

In terms of goals, it appears that the match will be more defensive, primarily due to the relative weakness of both teams’ offensive potential. Betting on the total number of goals being under 2.5 seems like a safe option, even though both teams have a chance of scoring.

Betting on a draw also offers real value, as the history of encounters and recent performances of each team suggest a balanced matchup. A 1-1 scoreline could therefore be a possible outcome of the match.

In summary, for bets on this match between Charlotte and Minnesota United FC, the most probable options, based on detailed statistical analysis, seem to be a victory for Charlotte or a draw, with fewer than 2.5 goals scored in the match. However, as always in sports betting, these predictions should be taken with caution and used in conjunction with your own analysis and instincts.