Tipps Charlton Birmingham League Cup 13/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Birmingham City wins the match”

1. Birmingham City has a better defensive potential away from home than Charlton Athletic at home. Statistics show that Birmingham City only concedes 0.4 goals per match on average when playing away, while Charlton Athletic concedes 1.6 goals on average at home.

2. Based on the success probabilities, Birmingham City has a 42.33% chance of winning the match, which is higher than Charlton Athletic’s home win probability of 29.1%, despite their recent results.

3. Examining Birmingham City’s last 5 away matches, it is evident that although they haven’t won, they have managed to secure draws and limit their opponents to a low number of goals. This could indicate an improvement in their form and an ability to withstand pressure in away matches.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. High Offensive Potential: Charlton Athletic team has a strong offensive potential at home. In fact, they have scored 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 1.8 goals per match. This indicates that they are capable of scoring goals and thus reaching a total match of over 2.5 goals.

2. Birmingham City’s Low Defensive Potential: Birmingham City team has a weak defensive potential away. They conceded 4 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 0.8 goals conceded per match. This means that they struggle to keep a clean sheet, thereby increasing the likelihood of a total match of over 2.5 goals.

3. Teams’ Statistics: The final point concerns the overall statistics of both teams. The probability percentages suggest that the match will end with over 2.5 goals with a success probability of 52.38%. Furthermore, both teams score with a success probability of 55.03%. This means that it is more likely for the match to end with a high score.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive potential of Charlton Athletic is quite high (79%) and they have scored an average of 2.2 goals per home match in their last 5 games. This indicates a strong possibility that they will score at least one goal against Birmingham City.

2. Although Birmingham City’s offensive potential is lower (36%), they have managed to score goals in their recent away games, showing that they are not completely toothless. Additionally, Charlton Athletic’s defensive potential is only 57%, so Birmingham City would have chances to score as well.

3. By analyzing the recent matches, it can be seen that there have been goals scored by both sides in a good portion of both teams’ games. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 55.03%, adding more weight to this prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Charlton Athletic 2-1 Birmingham City

1. Charlton Athletic’s home record shows that they have a strong attacking ability, scoring at least 1 goal in every match. This supports the prediction of two goals for Charlton in this match.
2. Birmingham City has a poor away performance, scoring fewer goals and not winning any of their last 5 matches. However, the team has managed to score at least one goal in three of these matches, supporting the prediction of them scoring only one goal.
3. Statistics indicate that the outcome of the match is likely to be decisive, with a lower probability of a draw. Combined with Charlton Athletic’s superior home win rate, this suggests that Charlton could win this match 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Charlton Athletic performs well at home, winning 40% of matches and drawing 40% as well. The club has scored 9 goals and conceded 12 in five games.

Birmingham City struggles away from home, with a low winning rate of 0% and only managing to draw 40% of the time. They have scored 3 goals and conceded just 4 goals in their last five matches.

Charlton averages 2.2 goals scored per game at home, while conceding 1.6 goals. The club has an offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 57%.

On the road, Birmingham averages 1 goal scored per game and 0.4 goals conceded. The club has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 14%.

The prediction gives Birmingham City an advantage with a 42.33% probability of winning.

More than 1.5 goals in the match are likely at 77.78%. The chances of both teams scoring are 55.03%.

Recently, Charlton Athletic lost 2 home matches out of their last 3 against Aberdeen and Morecambe. Birmingham has struggled away from home, losing three of their last five matches.

The numbers suggest a tight match with Birmingham City as the favorite. It is likely that this match will see over 1.5 goals with potential for both teams to score.

The potential number of goals

Charlton Athletic has won and drawn at home in 40% of cases. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 12. This is significant. Their offensive potential is 79% and defensive potential is 57%.

Birmingham City, on the other hand, has not won any of their last 5 away matches but has drawn in 40% of cases. They have only scored 3 goals and conceded 4. Their offensive potential is low at 36% and defensive potential at 14%.

The match has a 29.1% probability of ending in favor of Charlton Athletic, and 42.33% in favor of Birmingham City. There is a high probability of over 1.5 goals in the match at 77.78%.

Recent history also indicates a trend towards high-scoring matches for Charlton Athletic at home and low-scoring matches for Birmingham City away.

Based on this information, the most likely prediction would be a match with over 1.5 goals. A safe bet could be “Draw or Birmingham City wins the match”, with a success probability of 70.9%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this League Cup match between Charlton Athletic and Birmingham City presents many interesting dynamics. The analysis of recent statistics for both teams suggests that Birmingham City is slightly favored for the win, having shown better defensive potential and an ability to score goals away from home.

However, it would also be prudent to consider the “Over 2.5 goals” option given Charlton’s strong offensive capability at home and the recent track records of both teams in terms of total goals scored.

Furthermore, the fact that both teams tend to score makes the “Both teams to score: Yes” bet appealing. Nonetheless, a value bet could be “Under 2.5 goals”, taking into account Birmingham City’s away performances and Charlton’s defensive displays.

Finally, the exact score could be Charlton Athletic 2-1 Birmingham City, combining Charlton’s offensive potential with Birmingham’s ability to score at least one goal away. In any case, these predictions serve as a guide and should be used in conjunction with each bettor’s personal research to form an informed betting strategy.