Tipps Chaves Torreense Segunda Liga 28/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

A tie or Chaves wins the match.

1. Chaves’ home performance history shows a strong tendency towards positive results, with 80% of the matches ending in a win or draw, indicating a solid home record.

2. Although Torreense has shown a strong ability to win away from home with an average of 80%, their defensive potential reveals vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match.

3. When comparing the success probabilities of each team, Chaves or a draw has a success probability of 81.42%, higher than Torreense’s 18.58%. This shows that Chaves has a greater chance of winning or drawing the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Chaves’s average offensive potential at home is relatively low, with less than one goal scored per game in their last 5 home matches. This suggests they may struggle to score many goals in this match.
2. Despite having a good away win record, Torreense has a moderately moderate average of goals scored per match. They score an average of 1.6 goals per game, which potentially limits the total number of goals in the match.
3. The calculated probability indicates that the match’s score will likely remain under 2.5 goals. This is evidenced by odds of 1.70 for under 2.5 goals, and an 85.79% success probability for under 3.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The average number of goals scored by Torreense away from home is higher than the goals conceded by Chaves at home: Torreense has an average of 1.6 goals per match, while Chaves concedes an average of 1.4 goals. Therefore, there is a relatively high probability that Torreense will score at least one goal. 2. The statistical success rate for both teams to score is 50.27%, an almost equivalent probability that suggests there is a non-negligible chance that both teams could score during the match. 3. When examining previous matches, it is noted that both teams have a capability to score even when they are not the winning team. For example, in the match Chaves 0 – 3 Mafra, despite the defeat, Mafra was able to score three goals; and the same goes for Torreense in the match Benfica B 2 – 0 Torreense.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Torreense wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Chaves 1-1 Torreense

1. The statistics from the last 5 matches show that Chaves often has draws (40%) at home and Torreense often wins away (80%), however, Chaves has shown a higher defensive potential (50%) compared to Torreense away (43%), which could result in a tight and equalized score.

2. Looking at the average goals scored and conceded by these two teams, we can see that Chaves has an average of less than 1 goal scored per match and Torreense concedes more than 1 goal per match. The average goals for these two teams are around 1 goal per match, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

3. The highest probability given to the potential outcomes is for a draw or for Chaves to win (81.42%). Given Torreense’s offensive and defensive potential, a draw seems to be more predictable in this case. Furthermore, the success rate is higher for under 3.5 goals in the match, which reinforces the prediction of a 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

For the Chaves vs. Torreense match, the home form of Chaves is balanced with 40% wins and 40% draws. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6 in their last 5 home matches.

Torreense, playing away, has shown strong performance with 80% wins, scoring 8 goals and conceding 9 in their last 5 away matches.

On average, Chaves score 0.8 goals per home match and concede 1.4, giving them an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 50%. Torreense, away, score an average of 1.6 goals per match and concede 1.2, with an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 43%.

The probability of Chaves winning the match is 49.18%, a draw is 32.24%, and Torreense winning is 18.58%. The likelihood of there being less than 1.5 goals in the match is low, while there is a 70.49% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals.

In summary, this match could favor Chaves given their home performance, but Torreense has also shown good away form. A low-scoring match seems most likely based on the goal statistics. Recommended bet: Draw or Chaves to win the match, with a success probability of 81.42%.

The potential number of goals

Chaves has an average performance at home, with a 40% win and draw rate. Their tally of 5 goals scored against 6 conceded indicates a weaker defensive performance. On the other hand, Torreense fares well away with an 80% win rate despite a slightly better defense than Chaves with a total of 9 goals conceded.

Chaves’ offensive performance stands at only 29% with an average of 0.8 goals per match. Their defensive ability, however, is better at 50% despite conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. Torreense has an offensive capability of 57% with an average of 1.6 goals per match and a defense of only 43%.

Chaves has a 49.18% chance of winning the match, while Torreense has only an 18.58% chance of victory. However, a draw seems like a plausible outcome with a probability of 32.24%.

In terms of goals, the most likely scenario is under 1.5 goals (70.49%). Yet, there is still a close to 50% chance of both teams scoring.

In conclusion, this match could be tight. A victory for Chaves or a draw seems likely. Regarding goals, although the safest option is under 1.5 goals, there is still a significant chance for both teams to score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In this match between Chaves and Torreense, statistics and analysis show that Chaves has a higher probability of winning or a draw, with strong home form. The match is likely to have a total score of under 2.5 goals, driven by the moderate attacking potential of both teams. However, it’s worth noting that both teams have a strong chance of scoring during the match, as they have shown an ability to score even when not winning.

Furthermore, although Torreense is less likely to win, a bet on their victory could offer an interesting value bet, considering their recent good away performances.

In terms of the exact score, a 1-1 draw could be the most probable outcome, given the balanced and defensive gameplay of both teams, despite Torreense’s good away scoring record.

Overall, the most prudent bets for this match would be a draw or Chaves’ victory, under 2.5 goals in the match, and a final score of 1-1. Bolder bettors may consider betting on a closely contested victory for Torreense, despite Chaves’ strong defensive potential at home.