Tipps Chelsea Gent UEFA Europa Conference League 03/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Chelsea wins the match

1. Statistically, Chelsea has a higher probability of winning (72.22%) compared to La Gantoise (9.6%). Additionally, Chelsea has been in excellent form at home with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches.

2. In comparison, La Gantoise has struggled more to secure victories away from home, only winning 40% of their last 5 matches.

3. In terms of offensive and defensive performance, Chelsea also holds the advantage with a 100% offensive potential and a 21% defensive potential, while La Gantoise has a 71% offensive potential and a 50% defensive potential. This performance gap could significantly explain a Chelsea win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Chelsea’s offensive statistic at home is very high with an average of 2.8 goals per match in their last 5 matches. This indicates that Chelsea is capable of scoring many goals, especially at home.

2. Gent has also shown offensive strength in their last 5 away matches, with an average of 2 goals per match. This shows that the team is not intimidated when traveling and is also capable of scoring goals, increasing the probability of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. The statistics show a 61.11% probability of there being over 2.5 goals in the match, indicating that, based on the teams’ past performances and other factors, the chances are greater that the match will end with more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The offensive and defensive performances: Both teams, Chelsea and Gent, have shown a strong attacking ability in their recent matches, with Chelsea averaging 2.8 goals per game and Gent averaging 2 goals per game. Furthermore, the defense of both teams seems to have weaknesses as Chelsea has conceded 0.6 goals per game and Gent 1.4 goals per game.

2. Recent historical data: In their recent matches, both teams have shown they are capable of scoring goals. Chelsea’s home matches are usually high-scoring, as are Gent’s away matches.

3. Odds indicate a higher probability: The odds provided show that the probability of both teams scoring is 54.04%, which is higher than the probability of both teams not scoring (45.96%). This gives it a statistical advantage.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 5.00

Bet on the exact result

Chelsea 3-1 La Gantoise.

1. Chelsea’s home performance: Chelsea has a strong home record with a tendency to win 60% of the time and score an average of 2.8 goals per match. They also have a very high offensive potential (100%) and have shown the ability to score multiple goals in previous matches.

2. Defensive performance of La Gantoise: They tend to concede a higher number of goals when playing away, with an average of 1.4 goals per match. Based on these statistics, even if they score a goal, it is likely that Chelsea will score more.

3. General probabilities: The odds strongly favor a Chelsea win (72.22%). Furthermore, the highest probability for the total number of goals in the match is over 2.5 goals (61.11%), which is in line with the prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Chelsea at home state: 60% win rate, 20% draws. 12 goals scored, 14 conceded.
La Gantoise away state: 40% win rate, 20% draws. 8 goals scored, 10 conceded.
Chelsea, offensive (2.8 goals/match) but defensive under pressure (0.6 goals conceded/match).
La Gantoise, offensive (2 goals/match) but vulnerable in defense (1.4 goals conceded/match).
Probabilities: Chelsea most likely to win (72.22%). Draw less likely (18.18%). La Gantoise the underdog (9.6%).
Adding draw: Chelsea’s chances increase (90.4%), La Gantoise’s decrease (27.78%).
In terms of goals: Over 1.5 goals in the match is a good probability (84.85%), under 4.5 goals as well (80.81%).
But if we add recent results: Chelsea has shown strength at home, while La Gantoise has had mixed fortunes away.
Conclusion: Chelsea favorite, with good goal-scoring chances. La Gantoise needs to strengthen their defense to stand a chance.

The potential number of goals

Chelsea is strong at home, winning 60% of the time. They score an impressive 2.8 goals per match, while only conceding 0.6 goals. Their offense is at 100%, defense at 21%.

Gent on the road wins less, at 40%. They score 2 goals per match but concede 1.4 goals. Offensively, they are at 71%, defensively at 50%.

Probabilities point to Chelsea as clear winners, with 72.22%. Another option is a draw or Chelsea win, with a probability of 90.4%.

Goal history suggests over 1.5 goals (84.85%). Both teams are also likely to score (54.04%).

Considering a potential bet on Chelsea to win with over 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account the statistics, past performances, and probabilities, Chelsea appears to be the clear favorite for this match against La Gantoise, with a win probability of 72.22%. Their strong home form, combined with an impressive attacking prowess, explains their favorite status.

On the other hand, La Gantoise, although weaker in comparison, cannot be completely ruled out, especially with a solid offensive performance away from home. However, their relatively vulnerable defense could be their Achilles’ heel.

The probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match, with a slight margin of 61.11%, demonstrates the high offensive enthusiasm from both teams. Therefore, a bet on Chelsea to win with over 2.5 goals in the match could be an interesting wager.

It should be noted, however, that football is unpredictable, and even though the predictions favor Chelsea, anything is possible until the final whistle.