Tipps Chicago Fire Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer 28/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Given the data provided, my forecast would be “Draw or Chicago Fire to win the match.”

1. The past statistics demonstrate a favorable trend for Chicago Fire in their recent home matches. Despite some losses, they have managed to win 40% of their games and draw in 60% of cases, showing a certain resilience at home against their opponents.

2. Compared to the offensive potential of Atlanta United, Chicago Fire seems to have a better home defense with a success rate of 64% when considering the number of goals conceded. This factor could give them the edge, even if their attack seems less impressive.

3. The forecast of “Draw or Chicago Fire wins the match” has a success probability of 69.23%, which is significantly higher compared to other possible match outcomes. This probability is a strong indicator suggesting that either Chicago Fire wins, or the match ends in a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Match history: The last 5 home matches of Chicago Fire have produced a total of 22 goals, averaging 4.4 goals per match. Similarly, the last 5 away matches of Atlanta United have seen a total of 10 goals, averaging 2 goals per match. These averages are significantly higher than 2.5.

2. Scoring statistics: Based on their recent performance, both teams exhibit a fairly convincing offensive potential. Chicago Fire has scored 8 goals at home, while Atlanta United has scored 5 goals away. Combined with their defensive records showing a tendency to concede goals, this increases the likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Bookmakers odds: The odds offered also suggest that the match could have more than 2.5 goals, with a success probability of 57.14%, higher than for the under 2.5 goals bet. This indicates that bookmakers also believe it is more likely for the match to end with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Historical home match record of Chicago Fire: despite some losses, Chicago Fire managed to score in almost every match, indicating a certain offensive efficiency.
2. Atlanta United’s away performance: Atlanta has scored in most of their away matches, also demonstrating an ability to find the back of the net even when playing away from home.
3. Overall statistics: the offensive and defensive potential of each team is quite evenly matched. This means that both teams have a fairly equal probability of scoring goals. Moreover, the likelihood of both teams scoring is 59.34%, which is very significant.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Chicago Fire 1-1 Atlanta United

1. The match history: Statistics show a high probability of a draw for Chicago Fire at home (60% of cases), and a reasonable likelihood of a draw for Atlanta United away (20% of cases).

2. Goal performance: Both teams have an average of goals scored and conceded per match suggesting a 1-1 scoreline. Chicago Fire averages 0.6 goals scored per match and concedes 1.8, while Atlanta United averages 1.4 goals scored and conceded per match.

3. Bookmakers’ odds: The odds indicate a probability of around 59.34% for both teams to score. This, combined with the teams’ performances, supports the idea of a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Chicago Fire has recently had a mixed success at home, with 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match, but have also conceded an average of 2.2 goals.

Atlanta United, playing away, has had a similar performance. They have secured 2 wins, suffered 2 losses, and 1 draw, scoring an average of 1 goal per match and also conceding 1 goal on average.

Among the possible bets, Chicago Fire has a 45.05% chance of winning the match, with odds of 2.20, while Atlanta United has a winning probability of 30.77% with odds of 3.10.

There is a 78.02% chance that more than 1.5 goals will be scored during the match, with odds of 1.19. Similarly, there is a 57.14% chance that more than 2.5 goals will be scored, with odds of 1.58.

It also seems likely that both teams will score, with a probability of 59.34% and odds of 1.50.

Considering these factors and the recent performances of both teams, a likely bet could be over 1.5 goals in the match and both teams to score.

The potential number of goals

Chicago Fire, in their last 5 home matches, won 2 games and drew 3 times. With a total of 8 goals scored and 11 conceded, this indicates a weak defense and an average offense. With an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 64%, the probability of winning the match is 45.05%.

On the other hand, Atlanta United, in their last 5 away matches, won 2 games and drew once, scoring a total of 5 goals and conceding 6 goals. The offensive and defensive potentials are balanced at 50%. Therefore, the probability of winning the match is 30.77%.

Comparing recent performances, there is a 69.23% chance that the match will end in a win or draw in favor of Chicago Fire, against 54.95% in favor of Atlanta United.

The expected number of goals is over 1.5 with a probability of 78.02%, favoring the offensive trend of both teams. However, there is a 79.12% chance that the match will end with less than 3.5 goals. Furthermore, the probabilities support the assumption that both teams will score.

In conclusion, based on these figures, one could expect a close match with probably more than one goal scored and equal chances for each team to score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this Major League Soccer match between Chicago Fire and Atlanta United appears promising with plenty of potentially rewarding betting opportunities. The analysis suggests that the prediction of “Draw or Chicago Fire wins the match” has a high likelihood of success. Additionally, it is expected that a total of over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match due to the strong offensive performances of each team.

Another bet to consider is “Both teams to score,” given the demonstrated trend of both teams scoring in their recent matches. As for the exact score bet, a 1-1 draw seems to be the most probable option.

Lastly, for those seeking interesting bets, a wager on “Under 3.5 goals in the match” could provide added value. Although each team has a strong offensive performance, their tendency for solid defense decreases the probability of a high-scoring match.

In summary, relying on statistical analysis and recent performances can help shape a more effective betting strategy, and this match offers plenty of potential pathways to explore for bettors.