Tipps Chicago Fire Charlotte Major League Soccer 16/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Chicago Fire wins the match

1. Chicago Fire’s home performance: In their last 5 home games, Chicago Fire has won twice and drawn twice, only losing once in their last five home games. This indicates a strong home performance.
2. Charlotte’s poor away performance: Statistics show that Charlotte has a very poor away performance, with zero wins and only one draw in their last five away games. This increases the likelihood of Chicago Fire winning the match or it ending in a draw.
3. High probabilities for the outcome “Draw or Chicago Fire wins”: The success probability for the bet “Draw or Chicago Fire wins” is 69.54%, which is significantly higher than the success probability for other possible outcomes.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Charlotte’s offensive potential on the road is 50%, meaning that they have scored in half of the matches they have played away from home. Additionally, they also concede an average of 1.4 goals per game on the road, indicating a certain degree of vulnerability in defense.

2. Chicago Fire, although they have a low offensive potential at home (7%), have shown a weak defense, as their defensive potential stands at 57%. This means that they have conceded goals in over half of their recent home matches.

3. The betting odds suggest that the outcome of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 55.33%, which is significantly higher than for “Under 2.5 goals in the match”. This suggests that bookmakers also expect a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics show that both teams have significant offensive and defensive potential, generating goals in most of their matches. Chicago Fire averages 0.2 goals per home match and concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match. Additionally, Charlotte averages 1.4 goals per away match and concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match.

2. Looking at the previous performances of both teams, we can see that they tend to score when playing at home or away. For instance, in Chicago Fire’s last five home matches, they scored at least one goal in two matches. Similarly, Charlotte scored at least one goal in four of their last five away matches.

3. Finally, the betting odds also indicate a relatively high likelihood of both teams scoring, standing at 59.39%. This is the highest probability among all other available markets, suggesting strong chances of both teams scoring at least one goal during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Less than 2.5 goals in the match: 2.00

Bet on the exact result

Chicago Fire 1-1 Charlotte

1. The statistics show that Chicago Fire often have draws at home, with a 40% draw rate in their last five matches and a defensive potential of 57%. Additionally, they have scored a total of 6 goals in these matches.
2. Charlotte hasn’t had many away wins, with a 0% win rate in their last five matches and only a 20% draw rate. However, they have averaged 1.4 goals per match, indicating they have the ability to score.
3. The success rate for matches with over 1.5 goals is 76.65%, which may suggest the likelihood of a 1-1 draw. Furthermore, there is a 59.39% chance that both teams will score in the match. This strengthens the idea of a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Chicago Fire has shown consistency at home, winning and drawing in 40% of cases each. However, they have struggled to keep a clean sheet, conceding 9 goals in 5 matches.

On the Charlotte side, it’s worse. They haven’t won a single away match, with only a 20% draw rate. Their attack is weak, with only 3 goals scored.

Comparing average performances, Chicago Fire seems to have a defensive advantage, while Charlotte fares better in terms of offense.

The betting probabilities paint an interesting picture. Chicago Fire has a 41.12% chance of winning. However, the “draw or Chicago Fire win” option comes with a high probability of 69.54%.

Nevertheless, the game could be low-scoring: the bet “under 1.5 goals in the match” offers an attractive odds of 3.75.

Looking at the recent matches, we can see that Chicago Fire tends to score more goals at home, and Charlotte struggles to score away.

In conclusion, I anticipate that Chicago Fire will have the edge. However, Charlotte’s offensive weakness and Chicago Fire’s defensive issues could result in a low-scoring match.

The potential number of goals

For Chicago Fire at home, they win 40% of the time, with a draw at 40%. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 9. Their offensive average is around 0.2 goals per match, while defensively they concede 1.6 goals. The offensive potential is at 7% and defensive potential at 57%.

Charlotte, when playing away, struggles to win with a 0% victory rate and a draw at 20%. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 4. They average 1.4 goals scored and conceded per match, with both offensive and defensive potentials at 50%.

The probability of Chicago Fire winning the match is 41.12%, with odds of 2.10. A draw is likely at 28.43%, with odds of 3.75, and Charlotte winning has a 30.46% chance, with odds of 3.40.

The likelihood of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match is very high at 76.65%, with odds of 1.28. More than 2.5 goals have a 55.33% probability, with odds of 1.83. The chance of both teams scoring is 59.39%, with odds of 1.68.

Analysis of previous meetings shows that Chicago Fire struggles to keep a clean sheet at home, while Charlotte is not very efficient in terms of scoring goals away.

My prediction: a tight match with less than 2.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on a thorough analysis of past performances, betting probabilities, and available key statistics, the match between Chicago Fire and Charlotte presents several interesting betting opportunities.

Firstly, the bet “Draw or Chicago Fire to win the match” appears to be the safest option due to Chicago Fire’s strong home performance and Charlotte’s weak away performance, with a success probability of 69.54%. Additionally, the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” also seems attractive, with a success probability of 55.33%, given both teams’ tendency to score and concede goals.

Furthermore, a bold but potentially profitable bet could be “Under 2.5 goals in the match” which offers odds of 2.00, establishing an interesting value bet. However, this bet might carry some risk considering the betting probabilities and both teams’ goal-scoring tendencies.

Taking into account the prediction for the exact score, a 1-1 draw appears to be a conceivable option. Ultimately, despite Charlotte’s offensive weaknesses, Chicago Fire’s defensive potential could lead to a tight match with fewer than 2.5 goals. Nevertheless, sports betting always entails an element of uncertainty, which is part of its appeal. As always, it is advisable to bet responsibly.