Tipps Chicago Fire New England Revolution Major League Soccer 05/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Chicago Fire wins the match.

1. Home Performance: In their last five home matches, Chicago Fire has won 2 times and drawn 2 times. Their home win rate is therefore 40%, with a similar draw rate, increasing the chances of them winning or drawing in the next match.

2. New England’s Away Performance: In their last five away matches, New England has not won any matches and has only drawn once. With a win rate of 0% and a draw rate of 20%, the chances of them winning are slim, increasing the likelihood of a draw or a Chicago Fire win.

3. Statistical Probabilities: According to the calculated probabilities, the likelihood of the match ending in a Chicago Fire win or a draw is 70.41%, which is significantly higher than the other possible outcomes, indicating that this is the most probable scenario.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive potential of New England away from home seems high despite their mixed results, as they manage to score an average of 0.8 goals per match, which could contribute to an increase in the total number of goals in the match.
2. Chicago Fire appears to have a relatively low defensive potential at home, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. This lack of defensive solidity could allow New England to score.
3. Statistics show a probability of 52.04% for there to be more than 2.5 goals in the match, which is a relatively high probability. Furthermore, both teams seem to have a tendency for matches where both teams score, increasing the likelihood of more than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Recent statistics from Chicago Fire show a tendency to concede goals at home, with an average of 1.6 goals per match and a defensive performance of 57%. This suggests a vulnerability in defense that could be exploited by New England.

2. New England has also demonstrated some offensive efficiency in their away matches, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match. Even though their win rate away from home is 0%, their offensive potential of 29% indicates that they at least have the ability to score a goal.

3. The calculated probability of both teams scoring is 61.22%, which is significantly higher than the probability of both teams not scoring (38.78%). This reinforces the idea that the match could see goals from both sides.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Chicago Fire wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Chicago Fire 1-1 New England.

1. Recent statistics from Chicago Fire at home and New England away show a trend towards low-scoring matches. On average, Chicago scores 0.4 goals per match and New England scores 0.8. The sum of these two averages is close to the predicted score of 1-1.

2. The probability that both teams will score in the match is 61.22%. Taking into account the previously stated goal averages, this percentage means there is a fairly high likelihood that each team will score a goal, which aligns with our prediction of 1-1.

3. The odds of the proposed bets suggest a low-scoring match. The probability of the match having less than 2.5 goals is 52.04%, which is in line with the prediction of 1-1. Similarly, the probability of there being less than 3.5 goals in the match is 66.33%, which also supports the prediction of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Before the May 5th showdown, Chicago Fire has shown some consistency at home, with a 40% win rate and 40% draw rate. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 9.

New England, on the other hand, has struggled away from home. They have recorded no wins, with only a 20% draw rate. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 8.

In terms of individual performance, Chicago Fire has an average of 0.4 goals per match, compared to 0.8 for New England. However, their defense is lacking with averages of 1.6 and 2.4 goals conceded, respectively.

In the betting probabilities, Chicago Fire has a 40.82% chance of winning with odds of 2.00. A draw has a 29.59% probability and odds of 3.75. New England has a 29.59% chance of winning with odds of 3.60.

Regarding goals, there is a 77.04% probability of seeing over 1.5 goals in the match, while 52.04% have over 2.5 goals. There is a strong likelihood of under 4.5 goals in the match, at 83.67%.

In 61.22% of cases, both teams score.

In summary, Chicago Fire has a home advantage despite a leaky defense. Both teams have a tendency to concede, which could lead to a match with over 1.5 goals. However, historical goal data suggests a lower risk of over 4.5 goals. The “both teams to score” bet could be an interesting option, given their mutual defensive weaknesses.

The potential number of goals

Chicago Fire struggles at home, with only 2 wins in 5 matches and a low total of 7 goals scored against 9 goals conceded. Their offensive potential is weak at 14%, while the defense is more solid at 57%.

On the other hand, New England is struggling away from home, with no wins in their last 5 outings, scoring only 4 goals and conceding 8. They have an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive performance of 86%.

Probabilities indicate that the match will be tight, with a 40.82% chance of Chicago Fire winning, 29.59% for a draw, and 29.59% for a New England victory.

In terms of goals, there is a 77.04% chance that the match will end with over 1.5 goals, in line with the offensive potential of both teams. We could therefore expect a match with a few goals.

All things considered, let’s lean towards a draw or a win for Chicago Fire, considering their stronger home performances. However, be cautious of the “both teams to score” option, which has a 61.22% chance of success and could also be an interesting path to explore.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match prediction presents an interesting situation between Chicago Fire and New England. Chicago Fire’s past home performances and New England’s lack of away wins seem to favor Chicago Fire in this match. However, both teams are known for their weak defenses, increasing the chances of goals from both sides.

The safest prediction to make would be to bet on the match ending in a draw or a win for Chicago Fire, supported by a probability of 70.41%.

Additionally, it also seems profitable to bet that over 2.5 goals will be scored during the match, with a probability of 52.04%. Furthermore, the “both teams to score” option seems particularly interesting, with a probability of 61.22%.

For those who like bolder bets, wagering on an exact score of 1-1 could be an interesting idea given the low-scoring tendencies of both teams and the high probability that each team will score a goal.

However, as always in sports betting, it is important to always bet responsibly and not to wager more than one can afford to lose. Various factors can influence the outcome of a match, so it is impossible to predict the final result with precision.