Tipps Chico Deportivo Pasto Primera A 22/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics provided and taking into account the recent performances of both teams, my prediction for the match between Boyaca Chico and Deportivo Pasto would be “Draw or Deportivo Pasto wins the match.”

1. Recent match statistics: Deportivo Pasto has a similar performance to Boyaca Chico in their respective last 5 matches, with 20% wins and 40% draws for both teams. This consistency implies that there is a good chance of a draw or Deportivo Pasto winning.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Deportivo Pasto has a slightly higher offensive potential than Boyaca Chico (36% vs. 29%). Furthermore, Deportivo Pasto has a significantly stronger defensive potential compared to Boyaca Chico (14% vs. 57%). This indicates that Deportivo Pasto is more likely to win or draw.

3. Head-to-head history: In their recent encounters, Deportivo Pasto seems to have had a better performance. For example, in the mentioned match Boyaca Chico vs. Deportivo Cali, Deportivo Pasto won 1-0 while Boyaca Chico lost 2-1 to the same opponent. This suggests that Deportivo Pasto has a better performance, thus increasing the likelihood of a draw or a Deportivo Pasto victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recent statistics show that both teams have a low offensive performance. Boyaca Chico has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match, while Deportivo Pasto has scored an average of 1 goal per match. This indicates that both teams struggle to score, increasing the likelihood of a match with less than 2.5 goals.

2. Looking at the defensive performances, Boyaca Chico has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match, and Deportivo Pasto has only conceded 0.4 goals per match away. These defensive statistics suggest that there will be few goals in the match.

3. The recent matches of Boyaca Chico and Deportivo Pasto also point towards a trend of fewer goals. Examining the last five matches of each team shows an average of just over 2 goals per match, further supporting the assumption of a total goals under 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The statistics from the last 5 matches show that Boyaca Chico has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 57%. This indicates that they are more likely not to score, but have defensive resilience.
2. For Deportivo Pasto, although they have a slightly higher offensive potential at 36%, their extremely low defensive potential at 14% suggests that they struggle to prevent the opposing team from scoring.
3. The recent matches show a trend of low scoring for both teams, with an average of less than 2 goals per match, which gives stronger chances for “Both teams to score: No”.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Draw”

Bet on the exact result

Boyaca Chico 1-1 Deportivo Pasto

1. Match history: Boyaca Chico has drawn in 40% of their last 5 home matches, while Deportivo Pasto has also drawn in 40% of their last 5 away matches. This makes a 1-1 draw scenario for the upcoming match very plausible.

2. Offensive and defensive record: In their last 5 home matches, Boyaca Chico has averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded. Deportivo Pasto, on the other hand, has averaged 1 goal scored and 0.4 goals conceded in away matches. These statistics suggest that both teams have the potential to score and concede a goal.

3. Unlikelihood of more than 2 goals: Recent statistics show a 100% probability for under 3.5 goals and under 4.5 goals in the match. This reinforces the likelihood of a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Over the last 5 home matches, Boyaca Chico has had mixed results, with only one win, a 20% win rate, and two draws, a 40% draw rate. They have scored 4 goals but also conceded 6 goals.

Deportivo Pasto has had a similar pattern in their last 5 away matches, with one win, a 20% win rate, and two draws, a 40% draw rate. They have also scored 4 goals and conceded 6 goals.

In these 5 matches, Boyaca Chico has shown an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 57% at home, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match.

On the other hand, Deportivo Pasto has demonstrated an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 14% away, scoring an average of 1 goal per match and conceding 0.4 goals.

Based on these numbers, neither team emerges as a clear favorite for this match, and the match result probabilities are unknown. However, it is certain that fewer than 3.5 goals will be scored in the match and both teams will not score, as these outcomes have a success probability of 100%.

Ultimately, relying on these figures, a safe prediction for this match would be a low-scoring game, likely with under 3.5 goals and only from one of the two teams.

The potential number of goals

Boyaca Chico showed a mixed performance at home, winning 20% of the time and drawing 40% of the time. They scored 4 goals and conceded 6. Meanwhile, Deportivo Pasto had a similar performance away from home, winning 20% of the time, drawing 40% of the time, and scoring 4 goals while conceding 6.

In terms of offense, Boyaca Chico has a potential of 29%, averaging 0.8 goals per match. Deportivo Pasto is slightly more threatening with 1 goal per match and an offensive potential of 36%.

Defensively, Boyaca Chico has a 57% potential, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Deportivo Pasto stands out with a defensive potential of 14% and only 0.4 goals conceded on average per match.

The available match prediction probabilities appear to be low or non-existent. However, based on their recent performances and offensive and defensive potentials, the match could result in a low score. Statistically, under 3.5 goals in the match have a 100% chance of success.

Past results show a similar trend: recent matches of Boyaca Chico at home and Deportivo Pasto away from home have seen few goals scored. Therefore, the safest prediction could be under 3.5 goals for this match. Nevertheless, football is unpredictable and anything can happen.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics and recent performances of Boyaca Chico and Deportivo Pasto suggest that this match could end in a draw or a victory for Deportivo Pasto, and it is more likely that there will be less than 2.5 goals scored. Furthermore, there is a high probability that both teams will not score during the match. The safest bet would be “Under 3.5 goals.”

Considering the history of matches and the offensive and defensive record, the exact score could be 1-1. However, in football, anything is possible and uncertainty is always a factor. It is therefore crucial to bet cautiously.