Tipps Chico Once Caldas Primera A 16/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics provided, it appears that Boyaca Chico has a better home record than Once Caldas on the road, with a higher average of goals scored and a higher percentage of wins. However, it is important to note that Boyaca Chico’s offensive potential is only slightly better than Once Caldas’s and its defensive potential is much weaker. Taking these factors into consideration, my prediction would be “Draw or Boyaca Chico to win the match”. That being said, it remains a risky bet given the low offensive potential of both teams and the possibility that both teams may not score.

1. Boyaca Chico has demonstrated a better record at home with an 80% win or draw average in their last 5 matches compared to Once Caldas, who has only won or drawn in 40% of their away matches.

2. Despite having a weaker defensive potential, Boyaca Chico has shown a higher offensive potential than Once Caldas by averaging 1 goal per match compared to Once Caldas’ 0.6, giving them a slight advantage.

3. Both teams have a low offensive potential, but statistics show that Boyaca Chico tends to score more than Once Caldas in home matches, increasing Boyaca Chico’s chances of winning or drawing.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The offensive performances of both teams are weak, with Boyaca Chico scoring an average of 1 goal per home match and Once Caldas scoring an average of 0.6 goals per away match.
2. The defensive performances of both teams are good, more specifically Once Caldas only concedes an average of 0.8 goals per away match.
3. The results from previous matches show that most of the games involving these two teams have had less than 2.5 goals. For example, 4 out of the last 5 home matches for Boyaca Chico and away matches for Once Caldas have had less than 3 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The low offensive potential of both teams: Boyaca Chico and Once Caldas have scored an average of 1 goal and 0.6 goals per game respectively in their last 5 matches. This implies that their scoring potential is quite low, limiting the chances of both teams scoring.

2. Once Caldas’ defensive solidity: Despite their low offensive potential, Once Caldas has shown strong defensive resilience. Indeed, this team has conceded an average of only 0.8 goals in their recent away matches, suggesting a higher likelihood of the team not allowing their opponent to score.

3. Recent match trends: By examining the recent home matches of Boyaca Chico and away matches of Once Caldas, it can be observed that in most cases, either only one team has scored or no goals have been scored. This validates the hypothesis that both teams will not score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Boyaca Chico 1-1 Once Caldas

1. Performance history: Both teams have a fairly even history, with a similar number of wins and draws. Boyaca Chico tends to have a high number of draws at home (40%), while Once Caldas also has a significant draw percentage away (20%).

2. Offensive and defensive efficiency of the teams: Boyaca Chico has an average of 1 goal scored per home match, while Once Caldas has an average of 0.6 goals scored away. Additionally, both teams have average defensive efficiency (Boyaca Chico concedes an average of 2.6 goals and Once Caldas concedes an average of 0.8 goals), suggesting that there is a strong chance for each team to score a goal.

3. General statistics: In analyzing the general statistics, there is a tendency for fewer than 3.5 and 4.5 goals in the match (100% probability), which reinforces the idea of a balanced scoreline, such as a 1-1 result.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Boyaca Chico seems to have some strength at home with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding 7. They are a team with an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive solidity of 93%.

Once Caldas, on the other hand, struggles to find success away from home. In their last 5 matches, they have only won once. They have scored only 3 goals and conceded 5, with an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 29%.

The statistics suggest a rather tight match with few goals. This is confirmed by the probability predictions, with a 100% chance of seeing fewer than 3.5 goals in the match and also 100% for fewer than 4.5 goals.

Therefore, for this Boyaca Chico – Once Caldas match, I suggest a bet on “Under 2.5 goals in the match.” I also pay attention to the option of “Both teams to not score,” which has a success probability of 100% based on the available data.

The potential number of goals

Boyaca Chico has a strong home record, winning 40% of matches and drawing 40% of matches. They have scored a total of 6 goals in these matches but have conceded 7 goals. On the other hand, Once Caldas has struggled away from home, winning only 20% of matches and scoring just 3 goals in 5 matches.

Boyaca Chico’s home offensive stands at 36%, averaging one goal per match. However, their defensive potential is quite high at 93%, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match. Once Caldas, on the other hand, has a weak away attack at 21%, averaging 0.6 goals per match but a solid defense at 29%, conceding only 0.8 goals per match.

Recent home matches for Boyaca Chico have resulted in narrow defeats against Rionegro and Patriotas Boyaca but a victory against Jaguares de Cordoba. Once Caldas has had a similar sequence away from home, with losses against Santa Fe Bogota and Fortaleza FC but a surprising win against La Equidad Bogota.

Both teams struggle to score, with a 0% success rate. The probability of both teams not scoring is 100%. There is also a high likelihood of there being fewer than 4.5 goals in the match, with a success rate of 100%.

In conclusion, the match between Boyaca Chico and Once Caldas is likely to end with a low score. Therefore, a safe bet would be to wager on under 4.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on past performances and provided statistics, the match between Boyaca Chico and Once Caldas is expected to have a low number of goals. Boyaca Chico appears slightly favored due to their strong home performance, but the solid defensive potential of Once Caldas should be considered as well. The bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match” seems to be the safest choice, while the option “Both teams to not score” could also provide good value. Furthermore, a 1-1 draw could be a possibility, aligning with both teams’ tendency to have a low number of goals in their matches. However, as always in sports betting, nothing is guaranteed and it is important to bet responsibly.