Tipps Chile Brazil Qualif. CDM - Amérique du Sud 11/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Brazil wins the match”

1. Brazil has a higher probability of winning the match (52.29%) compared to Chile (19.27%).

2. Brazil has a higher offensive potential (43%) and lower defensive potential (21%) than Chile, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match compared to 0.2 for Chile.

3. Looking at the last five away matches, Brazil has performed better with two wins, two draws, and one loss, compared to Chile’s single win in their last five home matches.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent performances: Recent statistics show that Chile at home is not very prolific in terms of goals with an average of 0.2 goals per match, while Brazil away scores around 1.2 goals per match. In other words, the teams are not exceptionally strong in offense.

2. Defense: While taking into account their attack, it is also worth highlighting their solid defensive performances. Chile concedes an average of 1.2 goals per home match, while Brazil only lets in 0.6 goals per away match, indicating strong defenses on both sides.

3. Recent results: The previous matches of both teams also show a low total number of goals. In the last 5 home matches of Chile, three ended with less than 2.5 goals, while for Brazil, three of their last five away matches also saw less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The statistics of goals scored and conceded show a low average: Chile scores an average of 0.2 goals per home match and concedes 1.2 goals, while Brazil scores an average of 1.2 goals per away match and concedes 0.6 goals. These data suggest that both teams are more likely to not score in the match.

2. The recent performances of each team. For example, in Chile’s last 5 home matches, they only scored in three out of five matches and conceded only in the first two matches. Similarly, Brazil has only scored in three out of the last five away matches, indicating a trend where both teams may not score.

3. The betting forecast indicates a higher success probability (52.29%) for “Both teams to score: No.” Bookmakers usually rely on complex statistical models to calculate probabilities – if this probability is higher than that of the opposite bet (47.71% for “Both teams to score: Yes”), it can be a strong indicator to consider for a prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Chile wins the match – 2.45

Bet on the exact result

Chile 1-1 Brazil

1. Both teams have a fairly similar record in their last 5 matches, with 40% of wins and 40% of draws for each of them. There is therefore a certain parity that could favor a draw.

2. Chile has a fairly solid defense at home, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. On the other hand, Brazil scores an average of 1.2 goals per match away. These statistics suggest that the score could indeed be 1-1.

3. The odds for under 2.5 goals in the match are 1.78, indicating that bookmakers do not expect a very high-scoring game. A score of 1-1 would therefore be quite plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Chile at home shows balance with 40% wins and 40% draws. They are a solid team, having scored 6 goals and conceded 6. Brazil away from home is also balanced, with 40% wins and 40% draws, but slightly less solid defensively with 10 goals conceded.

In their last 5 matches, Chile at home scores few goals, 0.2 per match, but have a solid defense conceding on average 1.2 goals per match. On the other hand, Brazil away from home scores 1.2 goals per match but has a good defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per match.

The prediction favors Brazil with a 52.29% probability compared to 19.27% for Chile. A draw has a 28.44% chance. Therefore, a draw or a Brazil win has an 80.73% probability.

There is a high probability of a match with less than 3.5 goals, estimated at 79.82%, and even higher for a match with less than 4.5 goals, at 96.33%. The chances for both teams to score or not are almost equal.

Looking at their recent matches, Chile has had mixed performances at home, with defeats against Bolivia and Argentina, but wins against Paraguay and Peru. Brazil away from home has been strong with victories over Paraguay and Mexico, but struggled against Uruguay and the USA.

In conclusion, the prediction leans towards a Brazil win with a high likelihood of a low-scoring match.

The potential number of goals

Chile has a balanced record at home, with 6 goals scored and conceded in 5 matches. It has a win or draw in 80% of the cases. The last spectacular match was a 3-0 victory against Paraguay.

Brazil, when playing away, has scored 8 times and conceded 10 goals in 5 matches. Its wins and draws also account for 80% of its results. It shined in a 4-1 away win against Paraguay.

Chile’s offensive potential is low at 7%, while Brazil shows a 43% that predicts an offensive threat. Defensively, Chile appears stronger with a potential of 43%, compared to 21% for Brazil.

In terms of prognosis, the match looks tight. Chile has a 19.27% chance of winning, while Brazil is more likely with 52.29%. A draw has a 28.44% chance of occurring.

Our prediction leans towards Brazil with an 80.73% probability of a win or draw. Moreover, the match should have less than 3.5 goals in 79.82% of cases, with less than 4.5 goals scored in 96.33% of cases.

Regarding goals, both teams have a 47.71% chance of scoring, while the probability of both not scoring is slightly higher at 52.29%.

Thus, the match appears to be in favor of Brazil, with likely few goals on the horizon.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the past performances and current statistics, Brazil seems to have a significant advantage over Chile. However, it is important to note that football is an unpredictable sport and surprises are not uncommon. A match with a low number of goals is expected, where the score could likely be in favor of Brazil or end in a draw. The probability of both teams scoring seems low, further emphasizing the prediction of a low-scoring game.

As always, it is important to bet wisely. These predictions do not guarantee a positive outcome, they offer insight based on past data and current statistics. In the realm of sports betting, nothing is ever certain.