Tipps China Indonesia World Cup - Qualification Asia 15/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Given the provided statistics, the past performances, the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, it is extremely challenging to determine a prediction with certainty. However, based on the win and draw percentages, as well as the number of goals scored and conceded, my prediction would be “Draw or China wins the match.” I recommend considering this prediction cautiously as statistics can be deceptive and football is a highly unpredictable sport.

1. Past performances: Statistics show that both teams have an equal proportion of wins and draws in their last 5 matches, whether at home or away (20% wins and 40% draws). This suggests a close match, where the result could just as easily be a draw as a win for China.

2. Defensive and offensive potential: China’s statistics show a better defensive potential (100%) compared to Indonesia away (36%). On the other hand, Indonesia has a better offensive potential (36%) than China at home (21%). These differences suggest that China will likely be able to balance Indonesia’s offensive threat, which could increase the chances of a draw or a win for China.

3. Number of goals conceded: China has conceded fewer goals (9) than Indonesia (10) in their last 5 matches. This, combined with the fact that China is playing at home, may positively influence their ability to withstand Indonesia’s attacks and potentially win the match or secure a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Low offensive potential: The statistics reveal that both teams, China and Indonesia, have relatively limited offensive potential, at 21% and 36% respectively. This suggests a low number of goals during the match.
2. Strong defense: Both teams have shown a solid defensive ability in their recent matches. China concedes an average of 2.8 goals per home match, coupled with a 100% defensive potential, indicating a low likelihood of scoring for Indonesia.
3. Match history: Previous matches of both teams indicate a trend towards low scores. For example, in China’s last five home matches, three have resulted in less than 2.5 goals. A similar pattern is seen in most of Indonesia’s away matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. China’s team, during their home matches, presents a solid defense, with a defensive potential of 100%. This means that it is very unlikely that they will concede a goal.
2. Indonesia, during their away matches, tends to score few goals, with an average of one goal per match. Compared to other teams, their offensive potential is low (36%), suggesting they may struggle to score against a team like China, especially away from home.
3. The statistics from each team’s recent matches also indicate that it is unlikely for both teams to score. In fact, in the last 5 home matches for China, only one saw both teams scoring. Additionally, in the last 5 away matches for Indonesia, only two saw both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

China 1-1 Indonesia

1. In their recent matches, China and Indonesia appear to have similar performances with a draw rate of 40% for both teams. Historically, this has been a predictable indicator of a possible draw in their encounters.

2. Both teams have similar statistics in terms of goals scored. On average, China scores 0.6 goals per match while Indonesia scores 1. Additionally, China has scored at least 1 goal in almost all of their recent home matches, and Indonesia has scored at least 1 goal in their recent away matches. This suggests that both teams have the offensive capabilities to score at least one goal.

3. The probability of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match is 100%, which corresponds to a 1-1 scoreline. Defensive statistics show that China concedes an average of 2.8 goals per match while Indonesia concedes 1 per match. This suggests that the match could be low-scoring, with 1-1 being a reasonable low-scoring scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

China struggles at home, with wins in only 20% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals but conceded 9, showing a weak defense. Indonesia has a 20% win rate away from home, scoring and conceding a lot, with a total of 7 goals scored and 10 conceded.

China has a low average of 0.6 goals per home match and concedes a lot at 2.8 goals per game. Indonesia, when playing away, scores and concedes 1 goal per match, a balanced performance.

Indonesia seems more efficient with an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 36%, compared to China’s 21% and 100% respectively.

No prediction of a winner has been established, it’s an undecided match. The game could end with less than 3.5 goals, as it has a 100% success probability.

In recent encounters, the results are close between the two teams: China suffered a notable loss against Saudi Arabia (2-1) and Indonesia faced a clear defeat against Australia (4-0).

Considering these elements, it’s challenging to predict a winner. The match could be close with few goals. Take this into account for your betting decisions.

The potential number of goals

China and Indonesia have had a similar form recently, with 20% of victories and 7 goals scored in their last 5 matches. However, China has conceded more goals (9 compared to Indonesia’s 10).

At home, China averages 0.6 goals scored and 2.8 goals conceded, reflecting a weak attack (21%) but a solid defense (100%). On the other hand, Indonesia is more balanced away from home, scoring and conceding 1 goal on average per match (36% efficiency on both sides).

Unfortunately, the data do not provide us with the probability of success for different match outcomes (win, draw, loss), nor for most goal-related bets (over 1.5 goals, over 2.5 goals, etc.).

However, we can be 100% certain that less than 3.5 and less than 4.5 goals will be scored in the match. Additionally, it is also very likely that both teams will not score.

In their recent matches, China lost to Saudi Arabia and Hong Kong at home, but also won against Singapore. Indonesia drew against Bahrain and Saudi Arabia away from home.

Based on these statistics, a low-scoring match could be expected, possibly with a narrow victory for either team or a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between China and Indonesia appears to be a balanced encounter, with similar past performances and defensive/offensive statistics for both teams. The prediction suggests a low-scoring match, likely fewer than 3.5 goals in total, with an uncertain outcome – either a win for China or a draw. Bettors should exercise caution as, as with all sports, football is unpredictable and the current form of teams does not necessarily determine the outcome of the match.