Tipps Club America Atlas Liga MX 18/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

America wins the match.

1. America’s home performance: America’s performance at home is significantly better than Atlas’s away performance. America has won 60% of their home matches, while Atlas has only won 40% of their away matches, placing America in a more favorable position.
2. Statistical probability: The provided statistics indicate a significantly higher probability (71.2%) of America winning the match. This is a key factor to consider in the prediction.
3. Last encounter: The last encounter between these two teams saw America emerge victorious. This result may indicate a potentially favorable trend for America in the upcoming match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. The past match statistics show a tendency for high scores. In their last 5 home matches, America scored 7 goals (average of 1.4 goals per match), and Atlas scored 6 goals in their last 5 away matches (average of 1.4 goals per match).
2. The defenses of both teams don’t seem to be very strong as America conceded 7 goals at home in the last 5 matches (average of 1.6 goals per match), and Atlas conceded the same number of goals in their away matches.
3. The odds also indicate a higher probability for over 2.5 goals in the match – with a success probability of 51.83%, while the under 2.5 goals prediction has lower odds.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Goal statistics: Both teams have shown similar offensive and defensive performances in their last 5 matches. America has scored 7 goals and conceded 7 goals at home, while Atlas has scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals away. Additionally, they average 1.4 goals scored per match while conceding 1.6 goals (America) and 1.4 goals (Atlas).

2. Head-to-head history: In their recent encounters, when America played at home against Atlas, both teams scored. Example: America 2 – 1 Atlas.

3. Probabilities: Based on the provided data, the probability of both teams scoring is 49.74%. While it’s close to 50%, considering the two previous points strengthens the argument that it is more likely for both teams to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 4.33

Bet on the exact result

America 2-1 Atlas

1. The recent home form of America is quite strong with a 60% win rate in the last 5 matches. Additionally, they have a recent history of a 2-1 victory against Atlas at home, which supports the prediction of this score.

2. The goal statistics of both teams in their last 5 matches align with expectations of a 2-1 scoreline. America has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals, while Atlas has both scored and conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match on the road.

3. The probability indicated by the odds places America as favorites to win the match with a 71.2% success rate. The match having over 1.5 goals has a probability of 81.68%, while both teams scoring has a probability of 49.74%. These probabilities suggest a real possibility of a 2-1 score in favor of America.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

America shows some strength at home with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. Their attacks have been effective with a total of 7 goals. However, they have also conceded 7 goals, indicating an average defense.

Atlas, on the other hand, performs less well on the road. Only a 40% win rate away from home and a defense lacking solidity with 7 goals conceded. They have only scored 6 goals: offensive success is lacking.

Both teams have the same goals per match ratio: 1.4. America’s offense has a 50% potential, slightly more efficient than their defense (57%). For Atlas, offense and defense are equal at 50% potential.

Predictions clearly favor America. They have a 71.2% chance of winning, with odds at 1.47. Atlas’ chances are much lower, only 8.38% for odds of 6.50.

Another noteworthy prediction is to bet on “over 1.5 goals in the match,” which can be a wise choice (81.68% chance of success, odds at 1.22).

The recent head-to-head matches between these two teams favor America, including a 2-1 victory in the last match.

Based on these factors, a victory for America appears to be the most likely outcome for this match.

The potential number of goals

America, at home, in their last 5 matches, has a win rate of 60% and a draw rate of 20%, with 7 goals scored and 7 conceded. Atlas, playing away, has a win rate of 40% in their last 5 matches, with 6 goals scored and 7 conceded.
America has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 57%. Atlas has an offensive potential of 50%. Their defensive potential is also 50%.
America’s victory has a probability of 71.2%, a draw is at 20.42%, and Atlas has a 8.38% chance of winning. The chances of a draw or America’s victory are 91.62%.
There is an 81.68% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. Knowing that America has an average of 1.4 goals at home and Atlas also scores 1.4 away, one can expect at least 2 goals in this match.
For goal-related bets, there is a 51.83% probability of more than 2.5 goals and 72.77% for less than 3.5 goals.
Both teams have scored in their previous matches. America has scored in their last 3 home matches, and Atlas has scored in their last 3 away matches.
Therefore, the chances of both teams scoring are 49.74%. But the probability of at least one not scoring is slightly higher at 50.26%.
This match is likely to be close with a moderate number of goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion

Based on the statistics, past performances, and identified probabilities, the most likely prediction for the America vs. Atlas match is a victory for America. Their home performance appears more convincing compared to Atlas’ away performance.

The Over/Under 2.5 goals bet suggests a possibility of more than 2.5 goals in this match, considering their recent offensive and defensive performances. It is also likely that both teams will score, given their historical data and average goals per game.

Furthermore, the draw also offers an interesting value bet, despite the statistics favoring an America win. This could be a viable option considering the odds and chances of success.

The exact score bet suggests a concrete possibility of a 2-1 result in favor of America, based on past performances, goal statistics, and probabilities.

In this analysis, it is also important to keep in mind that sports betting carries risks and should be approached responsibly. All these predictions and analyses do not guarantee the match outcome in any way.