Tipps Club America Cruz Azul Liga MX 27/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Cruz Azul wins the match”

1. Cruz Azul has shown an impressive performance away in their last 5 matches, winning in 80% of cases and averaging 1.4 goals per game, giving Cruz Azul a clear advantage in terms of recent form and offensive capability.

2. On the contrary, America seems to have defensive issues at home, having conceded 15 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging one goal conceded per match.

3. Cruz Azul’s past away performances indicate they have the ability to keep a clean sheet, as they have only conceded 5 goals in 5 matches. This, combined with America’s offensive struggles, scoring only an average of 0.8 goals per home match, suggests that Cruz Azul has a good chance of not conceding any goals during the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5 goals”

1. Statistics reveal a clear trend towards matches with over 2.5 goals. Indeed, in America’s last 5 home matches, there have been 13 goals scored and 15 goals conceded, indicating an average of over 2.5 goals per match.
2. Cruz Azul’s offensive potential away from home is quite high (50%), with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match in their last 5 away matches. This increases the likelihood of seeing over 2.5 goals in this match.
3. The recent home matches of America and away matches of Cruz Azul show a tendency towards relatively high scores for both teams (such as America 5 – 1 Toluca, or Pumas UNAM 0 – 2 Cruz Azul), further enhancing the probability of a match with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Cruz Azul has a strong defense when playing away, as they have only conceded 5 goals in their last 5 away matches. This means America’s potential to score at home is reduced.
2. On average, America only scores 0.8 goals per home match, which is a low scoring rate. Additionally, they have conceded more goals than they have scored in their last 5 home matches.
3. Analysis of recent matches shows that Cruz Azul has a tendency not to concede goals when playing away, reinforcing the hypothesis that both teams will not score. This is demonstrated by their last 5 away matches where they have kept a clean sheet.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Cruz Azul wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

America 1-2 Cruz Azul

1. Cruz Azul’s away performance: In their last 5 away matches, Cruz Azul has won in 80% of cases and drawn in 20% of cases. Furthermore, they have scored 5 goals and conceded 5 goals, indicating defensive solidity and offensive efficiency.

2. America’s home performance: In their last 5 home matches, America has won in 60% of cases but scored 13 goals and conceded 15 goals. The team seems to struggle to defend their goal at home, which is unfavorable against an offensive team like Cruz Azul.

3. Goal average comparison: On average, America scores 0.8 goals per home match and also concedes 0.8 goals per match, showing limitations in both attack and defense. Meanwhile, Cruz Azul averages 1.4 goals per away match and concedes an average of 0.8 goals per match. Cruz Azul’s offensive potential is superior to America’s, while their defensive potentials are equal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

America has won 60% of their last home games, but has conceded more goals (15) than they have scored (13). Cruz Azul, on the other hand, has impressed away from home by winning 80% of their matches with a goal difference of 5 goals scored and 5 goals conceded. On paper, America has an offensive and defensive potential of 29%, while Cruz Azul has an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 29% on the road. The statistics point towards a tight match, with a slight advantage for Cruz Azul due to their better form away from home. Based on this data, and in the absence of success probabilities, it is difficult to make a prediction. Looking at their recent games, America has shown some inconsistency at home while Cruz Azul has maintained defensive solidity by not conceding any goals away from home. It is likely that the match will be closely contested with less than 3.5 total goals, given the defensive potential of both teams. The team that scores first will have a significant advantage in this match.

The potential number of goals

America has a strong home record, with recent wins at a rate of 60%. However, they have conceded more goals (15) than they have scored (13), indicating an apparent defensive issue.

Cruz Azul excels away from home, boasting an 80% win rate. They have a balanced record of scoring and conceding with 5 goals each.

On average, America scores and concedes 0.8 goals per home game. With offensive and defensive potentials at 29%, there is room for improvement on both fronts.

Cruz Azul, playing away, scores more (1.4 per game) and concedes less (0.8 per game). With an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 29%, they have the upper hand.

While specific probabilities are not provided, the data suggests the match could have fewer than 3.5 goals (100% success rate in the past) and both teams may not score (100% success rate in the past).

Taking previous matches into account, there is a likelihood of a close game with potentially low scoring, and Cruz Azul having a slight edge.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistics suggest that Cruz Azul is favored to win the match due to their strong performances away, where they have won 80% of their last matches. Despite America’s strong home performance, their defense has been weak as they have conceded 15 goals in their last 5 home matches, which could be a real advantage for Cruz Azul.

In terms of the number of goals, it is recommended to bet on over 2.5 goals. Indeed, statistics show a clear trend towards matches with over 2.5 goals for both teams. However, it seems unlikely that both teams will score due to Cruz Azul’s strong defense away.

Furthermore, betting on Cruz Azul could be interesting in terms of a value bet, given their impressive recent performance and their ability to maintain a solid defense.

Ultimately, the predicted exact score is 1-2 in favor of Cruz Azul, which combines all these factors, giving Cruz Azul the advantage in terms of match victory, number of goals scored, and ability to keep a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on past statistics and do not guarantee the outcome of the match. It is always recommended to exercise caution when engaging in sports betting.