Tipps Club America Monterrey Liga MX 28/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or America wins the match

1. Home match history: The history shows that America has a good home record with a 60% win rate in the last 5 matches. This is an argument in favor of a draw or a win for America.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Comparing the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, America is superior with a higher average goals scored per match than Monterrey (1.6 compared to 1), and a lower goals conceded rate (0.8 compared to 0.8). America’s offensive potential is also at 57% compared to 36% for Monterrey, which supports the idea of a win or a draw for America.

3. Success probability based on odds: According to the odds, there is a higher probability of the match ending in either an America win or a draw (80.63%), compared to the probability of a Monterrey win (19.37%). This constitutes a third strong argument for this prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics show that both teams average 1.6 and 1 goal per match respectively, resulting in a combined average well below 2.5 goals per match.
2. The defensive performances of both teams are solid, with America only conceding 0.8 goals per match at home and Monterrey averaging the same number of goals conceded away. This suggests that both teams are capable of preventing their opponents from scoring.
3. The recent results of both teams also indicate a trend towards low-scoring matches. In America’s last five home matches, four have produced less than 2.5 goals. Similarly, three of Monterrey’s last five away matches have resulted in fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes.

1. America team has a good performance at home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches. Monterrey also has a satisfactory away performance, scoring an average of 1 goal per game. This shows that both teams have a good offensive potential.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams indicate that they also concede goals regularly, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match for each of them. This shows that their defenses are likely to be breached, increasing the probability that both teams will score.

3. The success probabilities indicate that both teams score with a probability of 51.31%, which is slightly higher than the option where both teams do not score (48.69%). This gives a slight advantage to the “both teams score” option.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

America 1-1 Monterrey

1. Match History: The prediction is based on the historical records of both teams. America has a home win rate of 60% and a draw rate of 40%, while Monterrey has an away win rate of 40% and a draw rate of 40%. Looking at their recent matches, both have shown a tendency towards draws and close scores.

2. Offensive and Defensive Performance: Both teams have similar offensive and defensive statistics. America averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match, while Monterrey both scores and concedes an average of 1 goal per match. These statistics suggest that both teams have the potential to score and concede at least 1 goal during the match.

3. Probabilities: The probabilities also indicate a close match. The most likely scenario according to the odds is that America wins the match with a 48.17% probability, followed by a draw with a 32.46% probability. However, the likelihood of both teams scoring is high at 51.31%, further supporting the idea of a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

America has a 60% win rate in their last 5 home matches, and has drawn in 40% of those games. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8. Monterrey has shown similar form in their last 5 away matches, winning 40% of the time and drawing in 40% as well. They have also scored 7 goals and conceded 8.

America has a 57% offensive potential at home, averaging 1.6 goals per game, with a defensive potential of 29%, conceding only 0.8 goals on average. Monterrey, on the other hand, scores an average of 1 goal per away game with a 36% offensive potential. Their defensive potential is at 29%, conceding an average of 0.8 goals.

The odds for the match are interesting. America has a 48.17% chance of winning, while Monterrey has a probability of 19.37%. The draw has a probability of 32.46%.

The probability of the match ending with more than 1.5 goals is 73.82%, while the chances of both teams scoring are 51.31%, which could be a deciding factor for betting on “Both teams to score”.

In summary, the statistics point towards a victory for America or a draw, but a match with less than 3.5 goals seems very likely, given an 81.68% probability. Betting on a match with less than 3.5 goals could be a wise choice.

The potential number of goals

America is efficient at home with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game. On the other hand, Monterrey concedes an average of 0.8 goals in their last 5 away matches. America has an offensive potential of 57%, while Monterrey has an offensive potential of 36%.

The probability of America winning is 48.17%, while Monterrey’s is 19.37%. A draw is possible with a probability of 32.46%.

It is more likely to see less than 3.5 goals in the match with an 81.68% probability. On the other hand, the probability of both teams scoring is fairly balanced at 51.31%.

Looking at their recent matches, America has won 3 times against Santos Laguna, Atlas, and Guadalajara, but lost to Pumas UNAM and Puebla. Monterrey, on the other hand, has experienced both wins and draws.

So, the match is likely to be close, but America has higher chances of winning, although the context does not guarantee more than 3.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the current data and statistics, it seems that the safest bet for the match between America and Monterrey is for America to win the match or for it to end in a draw. However, given the offensive and defensive efficiency of both teams, the total number of goals in the match is likely to be less than 2.5. Likewise, it is probable that both teams will score during the match. As for the exact score, a 1-1 draw is conceivable. Nevertheless, it is important to remember that sports betting is uncertain and should be done responsibly. The statistics and probabilities provided can help make an informed prediction, but the final result is always uncertain.