Tipps Club America Puebla Liga MX 25/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

America wins the match

1. America’s Home Match History: America has shown a strong performance at home, winning 100% of their last 5 home matches. This demonstrates great confidence and excellent control of the game on their own turf.
2. Puebla’s Away Performances: Puebla has failed to win in their last 5 away matches, conceding an average of 2 goals per match on the road. This trend clearly shows that Puebla struggles to perform well away from home.
3. Probability of Success: The probability of the “America wins the match” bet succeeding is 80.93%, which is significantly higher than the 4.12% for Puebla. The large gap between these two probabilities indicates that America is heavily favored to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Match history: Historical data shows a trend towards high-scoring matches for both teams. America has scored approximately 1.8 goals per home match, while Puebla has scored around 1.6 goals per away match, meaning a total of 2.5 goals or more is likely.

2. Offensive/defensive potential: America has a 36% offensive potential at home, scoring an average of 1 goal per match, and a 43% defensive potential, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. Furthermore, Puebla has a 36% offensive potential away, scoring an average of 1 goal per match, and an even higher 71% defensive potential, conceding an average of 2 goals per match.

3. Statistical probability: The total of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 70.1%. This high probability indicates that bookmakers also expect a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. In their last 5 matches, America and Puebla have scored 9 and 8 goals respectively. With an average of about 1 goal per match for each team, this suggests a strong likelihood that both teams will score in their next encounter.
2. At home, America concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match, while away, Puebla concedes an average of 2 goals per match. These statistics demonstrate weak defense from both teams, further increasing the probability that each will score during the match.
3. The history of matches between the two teams shows that they have often scored in their previous encounters. For example, in America’s recent home matches, at least one goal has been scored by the home team in each game, while Puebla has scored in every away match. This also supports the hypothesis that both teams will score in their next match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw: 5.50

Bet on the exact result

America 2-1 Puebla

1. América has won 100% of its last 5 home matches, demonstrating a strong performance when playing on their home turf. Furthermore, in three of these five last home matches, América has scored exactly two goals.

2. Puebla has had below-par performances in its away matches, not winning any of its last 5 matches and conceding an average of two goals per game. This indicates a defensive weakness that could be exploited by América.

3. Probability statistics also suggest that this score is possible. With a success probability of over 70% for more than 2.5 goals in the match and a success probability of over 53% for both teams to score, a final score of 2-1 for América seems plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

America is in good form at home, with a recent 100% win rate. They score and concede around 1 goal per match.

On the other hand, Puebla struggles away from home, having not won any of their recent matches. They score 1 goal per match, but concede 2.

America has an 80.93% chance of winning, compared to 4.12% for Puebla. A draw or an America win is almost certain, with a probability of 95.88%.

Regarding goals, there is an 87.11% probability of more than 1.5 goals in the match. More than 2.5 goals are likely at 70.1%.

Both teams have nearly the same chance of scoring, with a success probability of 53.61%.

In conclusion, favor America, and expect multiple goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

America dominates at home, with a victory in 100% of their last matches. They are as effective in attack as they are in defense, with 9 goals scored and 9 goals conceded.

On the other hand, Puebla struggles away from home. Their last 5 away matches have ended in defeats, with 8 goals scored and 12 conceded.

On average per match, America scores 1 goal and concedes 1.2, while Puebla also scores 1 goal but concedes 2 on average. The offensive potential is 36% for both teams, but America’s defensive potential is lower at 43%, compared to 71% for Puebla.

The probabilities favor America with an 80.93% chance of winning the match. The success probability for over 1.5 goals in the match is 87.11%.

Both teams have scored in 53.61% of matches, but there is a 46.39% chance that neither team will score.

Based on this information, a possible forecast would be a victory for America with over 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on historical data and recent statistics, the match between America and Puebla appears to be in favor of America. However, football matches are notoriously unpredictable, hence the appeal of sports betting. Despite the clearly unfavorable odds, Puebla still has the potential to surprise everyone with an unexpected performance. Regarding specific bets, a wager on “America to win the match,” “over 2.5 goals in the match,” and “both teams to score: yes” seems like the safest choice based on the presented statistics. For value bets, a draw might be a better option due to its high odds. But the ultimate truth is that in sports betting, nothing is guaranteed. It is always essential to bet responsibly.