Tipps Club America Santos Laguna Liga MX 20/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

America wins the match.

1. Home vs Away Performance: America has a better home performance with victories in 40% of cases, while Santos Laguna has not won any away matches recently, with 60% ending in draws. This gives America an advantage.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: America has a higher defensive potential (29%) compared to Santos Laguna (64%). Furthermore, although both teams have a similar offensive potential, the fact that America is playing at home could tilt the balance in their favor.

3. Likelihood of Success: The forecast shows a very high probability (72.82%) of America winning the match. This, combined with the previous analysis, reinforces the prediction that America is the favorite to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The average number of goals scored by both teams is higher than 2.5: According to stats, America scores an average of 1.2 goals at home while Santos Laguna also scores an average of 1.2 goals away. This gives a combined average of 2.4 goals per match, which is very close to 2.5.

2. Weak defensive potential of Santos Laguna away from home: Santos Laguna has a defensive potential of 64% away, meaning they are likely to concede goals, thus increasing the probability of more than 2.5 goals.

3. Previous match statistics: In the last 5 home matches of America and the last 5 away matches of Santos Laguna, there have been at least 3 occasions where the match ended with more than 2.5 goals. This indicates a trend that could continue in the upcoming match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. America’s home performance: America has managed to keep a clean sheet in 40% of its last 5 home matches. This indicates a certain defensive solidity, capable of not conceding goals in a significant proportion of its matches.

2. Santos Laguna’s away performance: Santos Laguna has not won any of its last 5 away matches, indicating a struggle to score on the road. Furthermore, they have conceded at least one goal in 80% of these matches.

3. Probabilities: The data shows a success probability of 52.82% for both teams not to score, giving more chances to this outcome compared to both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 6.00

Bet on the exact result

America 1-1 Santos Laguna

1. Results History: In America’s last 5 home matches, they have a 40% win rate with an equal 40% draw rate. Similarly, Santos Laguna has a 60% draw rate in their last 5 away matches. These numbers strongly suggest the possibility of a draw.

2. Goal Average: Americana and Santos Laguna average 1.2 goals per match in their last 5 home and away matches respectively. This suggests a high likelihood of both teams scoring in the match.

3. Team Defensive Potential: Santos Laguna has a defensive potential of 64% away, which is higher than America’s 43% offensive potential at home. This indicates that Santos Laguna could potentially limit America to just one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

America shows a strong performance at home, with 40% of matches ending in a win and 40% in a draw. The team has scored 4 goals and conceded 4 in their last 5 home matches. On the other hand, Santos Laguna struggles to secure wins away, with no victories in their last 5 away games and 60% of matches ending in draws. The team has scored and conceded 4 goals.

In terms of offense and defense, America has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 29%. Santos Laguna, on the other hand, has offensive and defensive potentials of 43% and 64% respectively.

Let’s consider America’s probability of winning against Santos Laguna at 72.82% with odds of 1.25, compared to Santos Laguna’s chances at only 9.74% with odds of 11.00.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a 79.49% chance of more than 1.5 goals (odds of 1.16), with a 59.49% chance of more than 2.5 goals. A match with fewer than 3.5 goals is the most likely scenario with a probability of 70.77% (odds of 1.55).

Finally, the “both teams to score” option is slightly less likely than “both teams not to score,” with success probabilities of 47.18% and 52.82% respectively.

Overall, the numbers seem to favor America, especially at home, and a match with a moderate score seems most probable.

The potential number of goals

America has a solid home record, winning 40% of matches. On the other hand, Santos Laguna struggles away from home, not winning any of their last 5 games.

America scores 1.2 goals per game at home, while Santos Laguna also scores 1.2 away from home. America seems to have a stronger defense, conceding only 0.8 goals on average, compared to Santos Laguna’s 1.8.

The probability of America winning is 72.82%, while a draw is at 17.44%. Santos Laguna only has a 9.74% chance of winning. The betting odds heavily favor America.

In terms of goals, there is a 79.49% chance that the match will have over 1.5 goals, and a 59.49% chance of over 2.5 goals. This suggests an expectation of goals from both sides.

The probabilities also indicate a 52.82% chance of both teams not scoring. This could point to an intense defensive battle.

Taking these factors into account, the odds seem to favor America, although a draw is also likely. It looks to be an interesting match with potentially few goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between America and Santos Laguna seems to have several interesting outcomes for bettors. Firstly, America appears to have the advantage due to their home performance and higher defensive potential, hence the very high probability of this team winning the match.

However, with the combined goal averages per match close to 2.5 and Santos Laguna’s tendency to concede goals away, it is also very likely that the match will end with over 2.5 goals.

Despite these probabilities, both teams may struggle to score, making the scenario where both teams do not score more likely than both teams scoring.

Finally, considering the strong possibility of a draw between the two teams, bettors may find value in betting on a draw with odds of 6.00. Regarding the exact score, a 1-1 score could be a plausible possibility.

Overall, bettors should take into account these different aspects of the match in order to make an informed choice. It is also important to remember that sports betting always involves a level of risk and it is therefore essential to bet responsibly.