Tipps Club America Toluca Liga MX 14/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“My prediction for the match is that America will win.”

1. Home win statistics: America has shown strong performances at home, winning in 80% of its last 5 home matches.

2. Defensive performance comparison: America has a higher defensive potential, with 50% compared to Toluca’s 36% away. This means America is less likely to concede goals compared to Toluca.

3. Probability of victory: According to the statistics, America has a 51.56% chance of winning the match, which is higher than the odds for Toluca (21.35%) or a draw (27.08%). This demonstrates that on paper, America is the favorite in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent statistics show a significant offensive potential from both teams with an average of goals scored per match exceeding 2.5 (2.8 for America at home and 2.6 for Toluca away).
2. The teams have displayed some defensive fragility, conceding on average more than one goal per match (1.4 for America at home and 1 for Toluca away), which increases the likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.
3. The recent matches of both teams have generally featured more than 2.5 goals (for example, the last three home matches for America have had more than 2.5 goals, as well as the last three away matches for Toluca). This indicates a trend in their matches to see a high number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Goals per match average: Both teams have a remarkable performance in terms of goals scored per match. America has scored 2.8 goals per match at home, and Toluca 2.6 goals per match away. Therefore, both teams are expected to score.

2. Recent matches: The prediction is also based on the results of the latest matches of both teams. America has managed to score in all of their recent home matches. Similarly, Toluca has scored in most of their recent away matches.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: America has a 100% offensive potential at home, while Toluca has a 93% offensive potential away. In defensive terms, America has a 50% potential, and Toluca 36%. This indicates that both teams have a high success rate in scoring goals, but they also tend to concede goals, supporting the prediction that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Toluca wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

America 2-2 Toluca

1. The statistics of both teams show a number of goals scored and conceded well above 2. America scores an average of 2.8 goals per home match and concedes an average of 1.4, while Toluca scores an average of 2.6 goals per away match and concedes an average of 1. This indicates a potential high score, with 2-2 being a likely outcome.

2. A draw is a frequently observed result in Toluca’s previous away matches, with a 60% draw rate. Given America’s strong home record (80% win rate), a draw could be a probable result.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is high at 58.33%, which aligns with the predicted 2-2 score as each team must score at least once. Furthermore, over 2.5 goals in the match have a success rate of 56.25%, which also includes the 2-2 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

America is in great form at home, with a win rate of 80%. They score an average of 2.8 goals per match. Their defense concedes an average of 1.4 goals, indicating an average defense.

Toluca, when playing away, wins 40% of their matches and draws 60% of the time. They score an average of 2.6 goals but their defense concedes 1 goal per match.

The probability of America winning is 51.56% while the probability of a draw is 27.08%. Toluca has only a 21.35% chance of winning.

There is an 83.85% probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. The numbers suggest that there will probably be less than 3.5 goals at 65.63%.

In the past, America has won against Tigres UANL and Cruz Azul at home. On the other hand, Toluca has had away wins against Pachuca and CS Herediano.

In summary, America is more likely to win this match given their recent performances and the strength of their home attack. However, Toluca’s past scores indicate a possibility of a draw.

The potential number of goals

America, at home, has a successful record – 80% win rate – with 12 goals scored and conceded. The team is offensive – averaging 2.8 goals per match and with a 100% potential, and defensive – with a 50% capacity.

Toluca, when playing away, achieves a 40% win rate and 60% draws, with 9 goals scored and 10 goals conceded. Their offensive performance is at 93%, while their defensive is at 36%.

America’s probability of winning is 51.56%, a draw at 27.08%, and Toluca at 21.35%. Apparently, America has a significant advantage, as the chance of a draw or America’s win is 78.65%.

For goals, the probability of over 1.5 goals in the match is high – 83.85%. Over 2.5 goals are at 56.25%, and less than 3.5 goals have a probability of 65.63%.

In the betting system, both teams scoring has a 58.33% probability.

Statistics and numbers present America as the favorite, but in football, anything is possible.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion

Based on all these analyses and statistical comparisons, it can be stated that America has a high probability of winning the match. However, for a riskier but potentially profitable bet, the proposition “Draw or Toluca wins the match” remains appealing, especially considering Toluca has shown resilience in its previous away games. Both teams demonstrate a remarkable attacking force, so we can expect a high-intensity match with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. The exact score could potentially balance out to a 2-2 draw, although football always has surprises in store. Each bet should be placed taking into account these statistics as well as the unpredictable factor of football. Show insight and bet wisely.