Tipps Club Brugge KV Antwerp Jupiler Pro League 18/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Bruges wins the match

1. Bruges has a higher home performance: Based on the last 5 home matches, Bruges has won 40% of its matches, which is higher than Antwerp’s away performance (20%). They have also shown a more efficient offense with a total of 9 goals scored compared to 2 for Antwerp.

2. Bruges has a higher likelihood of success: Probability data analysis gives Bruges a 55.37% chance of winning the match, while Antwerp only has a 20.9% chance of winning.

3. Past performances support the prediction: Bruges’ previous performances at home have demonstrated an ability to score, notably with a 4-1 result against AEK Athens. On the other hand, Antwerp has struggled to score in their away matches, as evidenced by their 1-0 result against Genk and the 4-1 result against Union St. Gilloise.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The average goals scored and conceded per match for both teams is above 2.5 goals. Bruges scores and concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, while Antwerp scores an average of 2.2 goals and concedes 1.6 goals respectively away from home.
2. In their recent matches, Bruges has scored 9 goals and conceded 10 goals at home, while Antwerp has scored 2 goals and conceded 6 goals away, indicating a trend towards high scores.
3. The calculated probability for over 2.5 goals in the match is 58.19%, which is relatively high compared to other scenarios.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Bruges has a strong offensive performance, notably averaging 1.4 goals per home match, along with a less solid defense, also conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. This indicates that when playing at home, they are capable of scoring but also likely to concede goals.

2. Antwerp has an even higher average of 2.2 goals per match when playing away. This emphasizes their offensive potential when playing on the road. Additionally, their defense, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match, can also be considered porous.

3. In recent match history, both teams have shown their ability to score goals, although Antwerp has scored less frequently in their recent away matches. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring during the match is 51.41%, which is slightly higher than the opposite probability (48.59%).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Antwerp wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Bruges 2-1 Antwerp

1. Bruges has a 40% home win rate and has shown a 50% offensive potential, giving them a home advantage.

2. Antwerp’s defensive potential away from home is 57%, which is lower than their offensive potential. Additionally, they have averaged fewer goals scored compared to Bruges at home.

3. Overall probabilities also favor Bruges to win the match with a probability of 55.37%, while both teams scoring has a probability of 51.41%, which is consistent with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Bruges.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bruges, at home, has won 2 out of 5 matches and scored a total of 9 goals. Antwerp, when visiting, has won only one away match and has been too quiet with only 2 goals scored.

Defensively, Bruges has conceded as many goals as they have scored, averaging 1.4 goals per match. Antwerp has an average defensive score of 1.6 goals per match.

In terms of probabilities, Bruges has a higher chance of winning at home with 55.37% compared to 20.9% for Antwerp. However, the probability of a draw is not negligible at 23.73%.

In terms of goals, it seems that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 82.49%. Furthermore, it is not excluded that both teams score with a probability of 51.41%.

In conclusion, considering these data, a match with more than 1.5 total goals, where Bruges has a better chance of winning and where both teams can score is worth considering for a potential bet.

The potential number of goals

Bruges has had inconsistent performance at home, with a 40% win rate and 20% draw rate, scoring 9 goals and conceding 10. Their offensive potential stands at 50%, matching their defensive capabilities at 50%.

Antwerp, on the other hand, has fewer victories away, with a 20% success rate. They have drawn 20% of their matches, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 6. Their offensive strength is at 79% while their defensive capacity is at 57%.

Statistics suggest a potential advantage for Bruges, with a 55.37% probability of winning (odds 1.72). The option of a draw or a Bruges victory has a probability of 79.1% (odds 1.22).

The expectation is for a match with a moderately high number of goals. More than 1.5 goals in the match have an 82.49% probability (odds 1.22). The option of more than 2.5 goals has a 58.19% probability (odds 1.72).

The probability of both teams scoring is nearly balanced at 51.41% (odds 1.68), while the scenario where they both do not score is at 48.59% (odds 2.15).

Considering the recent performance of both teams and their offensive and defensive statistics, it would be reasonable to bet on a match with more than 1.5 goals and a possible Bruges victory. However, the option of a draw or a Bruges win appears to be the safer choice.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analysis of performance statistics and probabilities, it is reasonable to bet in favor of Bruges for this match. Their superior offensive performance and home success align to predict a likely Bruges victory. However, Antwerp has shown sufficient offensive potential in their away games, suggesting a high-scoring match. Therefore, a bet on a total of over 2.5 goals could be an interesting option. It also appears that both teams are likely to score during the match.

Furthermore, despite Bruges being the favorite to win, a bet on a draw or an Antwerp victory could offer an interesting value bet due to the unpredictable nature of football and Bruges’ inconsistent home performance.

Lastly, a bet on the exact score of 2-1 in favor of Bruges could also be considered, given the offensive potential of both teams. However, it is important to consider the form and recent performances of the teams before placing a bet.

Overall, while betting on football always involves a degree of risk, a balanced approach based on statistics, probabilities, and recent team performances can increase the chances of winning a bet.