Tipps Club Brugge KV Borussia Dortmund UEFA Champions League 18/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Borussia Dortmund wins the match

1. Borussia Dortmund has a better offensive and defensive potential compared to Bruges (Away, Dortmund scores an average of 2.4 goals per game compared to Bruges’ 2.2 goals at home. Additionally, both teams concede an average of 0.6 goals per game, so defense does not make the difference).

2. The odds indicate a much higher success probability for Dortmund (48.59% compared to 25.35% for Bruges).

3. Recent history favors Dortmund: They have won or drawn in 80% of their last away games (4 out of 5), while Bruges has only won 40% of their home games (2 out of 5).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Goal statistics: At home, Bruges scores an average of 2.2 goals per match, and Borussia Dortmund scores an average of 2.4 goals per match away. These statistics indicate that both teams have a fairly high offensive output, resulting in a high probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this match.

2. Both teams to score: Based on the provided probabilities, there is a 64.79% chance that both teams will score in this encounter. If each team manages to score during the match, only one more goal is needed to reach the 2.5 goals threshold.

3. Recent history: Recent matches show a trend of both teams being involved in high-scoring games. For example, Dortmund’s recent away matches have resulted in scores like 1-4 or 2-3, while Bruges’ recent home matches have seen scores such as 2-2 or 3-0. These are strong indicators for predicting a match with more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have a high offensive potential, with Bruges averaging 2.2 goals per home match and Borussia Dortmund averaging 2.4 goals per away match, indicating that they are both capable of scoring goals.

2. The last five home matches for Bruges and away matches for Borussia Dortmund have seen both teams scoring and conceding goals, showing that neither has an impenetrable defense.

3. The provided statistics suggest that “Both teams to score” has a success probability of 64.79%, which is relatively high and therefore a reasonable prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Bruges wins the match – 1.80

Bet on the exact result

“Bruges 2-2 Borussia Dortmund.”

1. Recent statistics from these two teams show a tendency for parity. FC Bruges has a success probability of 25.35% for a win and 26.06% for a draw, while Borussia Dortmund has a success probability of 40% for a win and a draw away.

2. The goal history of these two teams also suggests a high-scoring match. FC Bruges has scored 8 goals and conceded 10 goals at home, while Borussia Dortmund has scored 8 goals and conceded 9 goals away. They both have a strong offensive potential, at 79% and 86% respectively, confirming that both teams are capable of scoring.

3. Both teams tend to concede goals, increasing the possibility of a high-scoring draw. The probability of both teams scoring is 64.79%, which is a very important factor in predicting a 2-2 result. Additionally, the success probabilities for over 2.5 goals and over 3.5 goals in the match are 58.45% and 66.2% respectively.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bruges has managed to win 40% of their last 5 home matches, but have conceded more goals (10) than they have scored (8). Despite possessing an offensive potential of 79%, their defensive potential remains weak at 21%.

Borussia Dortmund has shown similar performances away from home, with a 40% win rate and an equal score of 8 goals scored against 9 conceded. Their offensive potential is slightly higher at 86%, despite an identical defense at 21%.

The prediction indicates that Dortmund has a 48.59% probability of winning, compared to 25.35% for Bruges. The expected goal level is estimated to be over 1.5 goals with a probability of 80.99%.

Analysis of the recent matches: Bruges has had a mixed record at home, with wins, draws, and losses. On the other hand, Dortmund has been more inconsistent away from home, with a heavy 4-0 defeat but also a 4-1 victory.

In conclusion, Borussia Dortmund seems to have a slight edge, but the match could be close with chances for both teams to score.

The potential number of goals

Bruges, at home, is showing a mixed performance. They have won 2 out of their last 5 matches while scoring 8 goals. However, their defense is fragile, conceding 10 goals.

Dortmund, on the other hand, is reliable away from home with a 40% win rate and 40% draws. Their attack is as strong as Bruges, with 8 goals scored, but they have a better defense, conceding only 9 goals.

In terms of probabilities, Dortmund has a higher chance of winning the match with 48.59%, compared to 25.35% for Bruges. A draw is not out of the question at 26.06%.

In an offensive tone, Bruges has a potential of 79% and Dortmund slightly edges them with 86%. Their defenses are at the same level at 21% each.

We can expect a goal-filled match. A prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match is likely at 58.45%.

Analyzing their recent matches, Dortmund has shown strong performances even away from home. Bruges, despite some wins, has displayed defensive vulnerabilities.

In conclusion, a balanced prediction would be a victory for Borussia Dortmund, or at least a draw, with a probability of over 2.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all the statistics, historical trends, and recent performances of both teams, Borussia Dortmund seems to be the favorite to win this match. However, Bruges’ consistent attack should not be underestimated and could well score against Dortmund. As a result, the safest bet for this match appears to be “over 2.5 goals in the match.” However, the uncertain nature of football means that nothing is ever guaranteed. As with any form of gambling, it is always important to bet responsibly.