Tipps Club Brugge KV Gent Jupiler Pro League 22/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Bruges wins the match

1. Bruges’ home success rate: Bruges has shown a strong performance at home, winning 40% of their last 5 matches and drawing in 20% of cases. Taking these performances into account, the prediction favors Bruges based on their recent results.

2. Bruges’ offense: Bruges has proven their offensive superiority by averaging 2 goals per match in their last 5 home games. With an offensive potential of 71%, the prediction considers this strength in foreseeing Bruges’ victory.

3. La Gantoise’s away performances: Despite good away results (60% win rate), La Gantoise has a rather weak defense with a defensive potential of only 14%. Therefore, the prediction relies on La Gantoise’s expected difficulty in holding off Bruges’ attack to forecast the latter’s victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The statistics show a strong offensive potential for both teams, with Bruges averaging 2 goals per home match and La Gantoise 1.8 goals away, likely leading to a 60.14% success probability for over 2.5 goals.
2. Recent match history of Bruges at home and La Gantoise away indicates several instances of 3 or more goals being scored. For example, in the matches Bruges 2 – 2 Dunkirk, Bruges 3 – 0 Cercle Bruges, and Silkeborg 2 – 2 La Gantoise.
3. The defenses of Bruges and La Gantoise appear to be relatively weak, with Bruges conceding an average of 1.2 goals per home match and La Gantoise 0.4 away. This defensive vulnerability increases the likelihood of goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. History of goals scored: In their respective last 5 matches, both Bruges and Gent have shown that they are capable of scoring, with 7 goals each. Furthermore, looking at the results of the last matches you provided, it appears that in most games, both teams have managed to score.

2. Defensive performances: Both teams have had a defense that showed poor performances during the last matches, with Bruges conceding 8 goals and Gent conceding 7 goals. This means that each team has a good chance of scoring against the other.

3. Betting statistics: The “Both teams to score” option has a success probability of 65.54%, which is quite high compared to other options. This suggests that, based on past performances and current factors, it is likely that both teams will score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 23.65% chance of success: 4.60

Bet on the exact result

Bruges 2-1 Gent

1. Recent home performances of Bruges: Bruges has a strong home record, performing well in matches with a 40% win rate and averaging 2 goals per game. This supports the prediction of a Bruges score of 2 goals.

2. Away performances of La Gantoise: Although La Gantoise has a 60% win rate on the road, they score fewer goals on average (1.8 goals) compared to Bruges at home. Additionally, they tend to concede a goal, which aligns with the forecasts.

3. Betting data: The probability of Bruges winning the match is 57.43%, and both teams scoring also has a high success rate (65.54%). These two factors favor a score prediction of 2-1 for Bruges.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bruges has won 40% of their last 5 home matches, with an average of 2 goals scored per match. However, they have conceded 8 goals, which is an average of 1.6 per match. Offensively, they are at 71% and defensively at 43%.

Gent has been strong away from home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. They score an average of 1.8 goals and concede only 0.4 goals per match. Their offensive potential is at 64% and defensive at 14%.

Bruges’ chances of winning the match are at 57.43% with odds of 1.52. The chances of a draw are at 23.65% and a Gent victory is estimated at 18.92%.

Betting on over 1.5 goals during the match has a probability of 87.84% with odds of 1.16. Betting on both teams to score has a probability of 65.54%.

Bruges has experienced home defeats against Dortmund and victories against Cercle Bruges and Antwerp. Gent has managed to win against Partizan and Kortrijk but lost to Charleroi.

Based on this data, a match with over 1.5 goals and both teams scoring seems likely.

The potential number of goals

Bruges, at home, has had a mixed record recently. With a 40% win rate in the last 5 games, and an average of 2 goals scored per match, it should be noted that they have conceded 8 goals.

Gent has been performing well in away games recently. They have won 60% of their last 5 matches and score an average of 1.8 goals per game.

Bruges has a higher probability (57.43%) of winning this match against Gent (18.92%). A draw has a 23.65% chance.

In terms of goals, it is more likely (87.84%) that there will be over 1.5 goals in the match. There is a 60.14% chance that the match will end with over 2.5 goals but under 3.5 goals.

Both teams are likely to score in the match, with a probability of 65.54%.

In conclusion, Bruges seems to have a slight advantage at home, but Gent has been posting good results away. A match with over 1.5 goals is very probable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering recent performances, goal statistics, and offensive/defensive ratios, the safest bet seems to be both teams to score with a probability of 65.54%. Betting on a match with over 1.5 goals (probability of 87.84%) could also provide value for bettors. However, while Bruges appears to be the favorite for the win with a probability of 57.43%, La Gantoise’s strong away performance should not be underestimated. Therefore, for those looking for a value bet, the draw at odds of 4.60 might be of interest. Overall, this match promises to be high-scoring and action-packed, so get ready for an exciting showdown.