Tipps Club Brugge KV PAOK UEFA Europa Conference League 11/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Bruges wins the match.”

1. Home Performance: Bruges has an excellent record at home, with a win in 80% of their last 5 matches. In these matches, Bruges has scored a total of 14 goals, demonstrating a strong attacking potential when playing on their turf.

2. Odds Comparison: According to the given odds, there is a 52.36% probability of Bruges winning the match. This probability is significantly higher than that of PAOK (18.85%) and a draw (28.8%).

3. Defensive Performance Discrepancy: When comparing the two teams, Bruges has a defensive potential of 36% when playing at home, whereas PAOK has a defensive potential of 50% when they are away. This means that Bruges has a better chance of defending and resisting PAOK’s attacks.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Both teams have shown a strong attacking ability in their previous matches, with Bruges averaging 2.2 goals per home match and PAOK averaging 2.6 goals per away match.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams suggest that goals could be conceded. Bruges concedes an average of 1 goal per home match and PAOK concedes an average of 1.4 goals per away match.

3. The recent match history indicates a clear trend for over 2.5 goals, with several of Bruges and PAOK’s recent matches ending with a total of 3 goals or more.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The notable offensive stats: According to the information provided, both FC Bruges at home and PAOK away have a good offensive potential, with respective goal averages of 2.2 and 2.6.

2. The notable defensive stats: FC Bruges has conceded an average of 1 goal per match at home, while PAOK has conceded an average of 1.4 goals in its away matches. This indicates that both teams are vulnerable in defense.

3. Previous results: In Bruges’ recent home matches, they have scored in each of them, just like PAOK which has also scored in each of its recent away games. This trend strengthens the probability that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Bruges 2-2 PAOK

1. Statistically, Bruges scores an average of 2.2 goals per home match and PAOK scores an average of 2.6 goals per away match. With these relatively high averages, a score of 2-2 seems plausible.

2. Bruges has a relatively weak defense at home, conceding an average of 1 goal per match. On the other hand, PAOK also does not have a very strong defense away from home, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. This opens up opportunities for both teams to score goals.

3. The market probabilities for a draw are 28.8%, a relatively high figure, and for both teams to score are 50.26%. These probabilities indicate that the teams are fairly evenly matched and capable of scoring goals, lending weight to a prediction of a draw with a 2-2 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bruges, in their last 5 home games, is in good form with an 80% win rate. The club has scored 14 goals but also conceded the same number.

On the other hand, PAOK, when playing away, has won 60% of their matches and recorded only one draw. With 9 goals scored and 9 conceded, their record is balanced.

Bruges has shown an attacking potential of 79% and a defensive one of 36% at home, while PAOK on the road excels with more impressive scores, 93% in attack and 50% in defense.

Based on statistics, the probability of Bruges winning is 52.36% compared to 18.85% for PAOK, but a draw also has a 28.8% chance.

The prediction indicates a high likelihood of there being over 1.5 goals in the match at 76.96%, and under 4.5 goals with a confidence of 93.19%.

As for both teams to score, the chances are nearly equal with a slight edge to “Yes” at 50.26%.

In conclusion, based on these numbers, Bruges seems to have the advantage at home. However, a surprise from PAOK cannot be ruled out. A match with an average score and both teams involved in scoring could be anticipated.

The potential number of goals

Bruges are on top at home, with 80% of recent matches won. They have an average of 2.2 goals scored per match, and 1 goal conceded. Solid numbers.

PAOK performing well away, with 60% of recent matches won, and 2.6 goals scored per match. Their defense slightly weakens by conceding 1.4 goals per match.

Bruges’ offensive potential stands at a solid 79%, while PAOK slightly surpasses that with 93%. Defensively, Bruges hold steady at 36%, but PAOK shows a lower 50%.

The probabilities suggest that Bruges are more likely to win this match, with a success rate of 52.36% (odds 1.88), compared to PAOK’s 18.85% (odds 4.30). A draw is also possible with 28.8% probability (odds 3.60).

Regarding goals, the most likely scenario is over 1.5 goals in the match (with a 76.96% probability). The chances of under 3.5 goals are at 79.06%.

Both teams to score are evenly matched, with a 50.26% success probability. It looks like an open match is on the cards.

Takeaway: an entertaining game is expected, with a slight home advantage for Bruges.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion

In conclusion, the match between Bruges and PAOK promises to be lively and high-scoring, with strong probabilities that both teams will score. Statistics favor Bruges, thanks to their excellent home performance. However, PAOK should not be underestimated, as they have shown strong offensive capabilities in their away games. For bettors, a wager on “over 2.5 goals in the match” could offer an interesting value bet. Furthermore, an exact score of 2-2 could also be an option to consider, reflecting the balance between these two teams. We do emphasize the importance of betting responsibly and never exceeding one’s budget limits.