Tipps Club Brugge KV Union St. Gilloise Jupiler Pro League 06/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Bruges wins the match”

1. Home performance history: Bruges has won 40% of their last 5 home matches, while Union St. Gilloise has not won any of their last 5 away matches. This shows a more stable performance from Bruges at home.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: With an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 57%, Bruges demonstrates a better ability to score and defend than Union St. Gilloise, who only has an offensive potential of 29% and defensive potential of 29% away.

3. Probability of winning the match: According to the provided probabilities, Bruges has a probability of 50.52% to win the match, which is much higher than Union St. Gilloise’s probability (17.53%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recent statistics show a poor offensive performance from Union St. Gilloise with an average of only 0.8 goals scored per match in their last 5 away games.
2. Bruges’ defensive performance at home averages 1.6 goals conceded per match, suggesting a tendency towards low-scoring games.
3. Data from the teams’ recent matches indicate several games with total goals under 2.5 (such as Bruges 1 – 0 Antwerp, Standard Liège 0 – 0 Union St. Gilloise, or Saint-Trond 0 – 0 Union St. Gilloise), suggesting a trend towards low-scoring matches between these teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Bruges’ home statistics show a consistent tendency to score goals, with an average of 1.4 goals per match over the last 5 games. Additionally, they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match during the same period, indicating that their matches are generally open with chances for both sides.

2. Union St. Gilloise, despite a less impressive away performance, still have the ability to score goals. The statistics from their last 5 away games show an average of 0.8 goals scored per match. They therefore maintain a certain offensive threat that could contribute to a match where both teams score.

3. The odds provided by the bookmaker also support this prediction, with a 63.92% success probability for both teams to score. This statistic, combined with the teams’ past performances, strengthens the argument that it is a viable bet.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 2.10

Bet on the exact result

Bruges 1-1 Union St. Gilloise

1. The performances of Bruges and Union St. Gilloise in their respective last 5 matches suggest a tight game. Bruges tends to score but also concede goals at home, while Union St. Gilloise has scored few but also conceded few goals away. Both teams also have a high percentage of draws in their recent performances, at 40% each.

2. Goal statistics indicate that a 1-1 scoreline is plausible. Bruges averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per home match, while Union St. Gilloise averages 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded in their away matches. This suggests a draw with barely more than one goal each is entirely possible.

3. The probabilities of different outcomes suggested by betting indicate that the match could very well end in a draw. The probability of a draw is estimated at 31.96%, closely behind Bruges’ win at 50.52%. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is relatively high at 63.92%, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 scoreline when considering each team’s goal averages.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bruges has shown its strength at home with a 40% win rate and 40% draws in its last 5 matches. They have demonstrated a certain balance with 8 goals scored and conceded.

Union St. Gilloise, playing away from home, has not been able to stand out, with no wins but 40% draws. They have scored 4 goals but also conceded 8.

In terms of statistics, Bruges has an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 57% at home, while Union St. Gilloise has a low offensive and defensive potential of 29% when away.

Considering these numbers and probability calculations, Bruges has a 50.52% chance of winning with odds of 1.85. The draw is at 31.96% with odds of 3.60, while Union St. Gilloise’s victory is less likely (17.53%) but offers attractive odds of 3.90.

Predicting over 1.5 goals in the match seems reasonable with a success rate of 84.02% and odds at 1.25; there is also a 57.22% chance for over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.73. Both teams to score has a probability of 63.92% with odds of 1.60.

Finally, based on past performances and available data, Bruges has a good chance of winning or drawing (82.47% success rate, odds at 1.25). A less risky option could be to bet on under 4.5 goals in the match (88.66% success rate, odds at 1.17).

However, it is important to remember that football is an unpredictable sport where anything can happen.

The potential number of goals

Bruges is solid at home, with a 40% win and draw rate. However, it has conceded as many goals as it has scored: 8.

Union St. Gilloise struggles away from home. No wins on the road and only 4 goals scored against 8 conceded.

In terms of offensive capability, Bruges averages 1.4 goals per match at home, compared to 0.8 for Union St. Gilloise away from home.

Defensively, Bruges concedes more goals at home (1.6) than Union St. Gilloise away (0.8).

As for the probabilities: the match seems to favor Bruges with a 50.52% chance of winning. A draw is also possible, with a probability of 31.96%. Union St. Gilloise faces an uphill battle, with only a 17.53% chance of winning.

The chances are slim for a match with less than 1.5 goals (3.95). Conversely, there is an 84.02% probability of having more than 1.5 goals during the game.

Let’s look at the chances of both teams scoring: they stand at 63.92%. Conversely, the chances are lower for a match where they do not score, with only a 36.08% chance.

So, based on these data, the forecast would be a match with more than 1.5 goals, where both teams score, and with a likely win for Bruges.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analyzed statistics and probabilities suggest that Bruges has the potential to win this match, or end in a draw, due to their strong home performances. On the other hand, Union St. Gilloise, less successful away from home, will struggle to impose themselves. The match is likely to see a relatively low score, with a significant probability of fewer than 2.5 goals scored.

By betting on an exact score of 1-1, bettors could greatly benefit from the high rate of draws between these two teams. Additionally, a bet on “both teams to score” looks promising given their past offensive performances.

It’s worth noting that a bet on “under 2.5 goals in the match” offers an interesting value bet at odds of 2.10, as both teams typically produce a low number of goals in their attacks.

Ultimately, while statistics and predictions can help guide sports betting, there remains a risk due to the unpredictable nature of football. Bettors are advised to use the information responsibly.