Tipps Club Nacional River Plate Copa Libertadores 08/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

River Plate wins the match

1. Statistically, River Plate has a higher probability of winning this match, with 47.12%, compared to Club Nacional who only has a 19.37% chance of success. This indicates that River Plate’s potential for victory is higher, based on their previous performances and current form.
2. Considering River Plate’s away performances, they have won 60% of their last 5 matches, which is a good indicator of their ability to handle pressure away from home and achieve positive results.
3. While Club Nacional has a strong home record, they have conceded as many goals as they have scored (11 goals in 5 matches), showing a defensive weakness that River Plate, with their 79% attacking potential, could exploit to secure the win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5” translates to “More than 2.5” in English.

1. Both teams have a high offensive potential, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per match, indicating that they have the ability to score more than 2.5 goals together during the match.

2. In their last 5 matches, Club Nacional and River Plate have respectively conceded 11 goals, highlighting some defensive weaknesses that could lead to a high-scoring match.

3. In the last 5 matches of each team, several have had more than 2.5 goals (Club Nacional 2 – 1 Deportivo Tachira FC, Club Nacional 6 – 2 Rampla Juniors, Libertad Asuncion 1 – 2 River Plate, Instituto Cordoba 1 – 3 River Plate, Deportivo Tachira FC 0 – 2 River Plate), suggesting that there is a tendency for these teams to be involved in high-scoring matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics for Club Nacional at home show a strong tendency to score, with an average of 2.2 goals per match. Moreover, in their last 5 home matches, they have managed to score in all but one, highlighting their offensive strength at home.

2. River Plate’s away statistics also demonstrate significant offensive potential, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per away match, and they have scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches.

3. Both teams have shown rather unstable defense, each conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match in their recent encounters. This means that both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities that can be exploited by the opposing team, increasing the chances of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or River Plate wins the match – 80.63% probability of success: 1.28

Bet on the exact result

Club Nacional 2-2 River Plate

1. Goals scoring history: Both teams have shown a trend of scoring and conceding at least 2 goals per match in their last 5 games. This indicates a high probability of a 2-2 scoreline scenario.

2. Both teams to score probability: With a success probability of 53.93%, the statistic of both teams scoring is favorable. It is a strong indicator that could signal a draw with a 2-2 score.

3. Recent match final scores: By examining the recent final scores of Club Nacional’s home matches and River Plate’s away matches, we can see that both teams tend to score at least two goals per game, which could support the exact score prediction of 2-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Nacional has a strong home performance with an 80% win rate. They have scored 11 goals but remain vulnerable in defense, conceding 11 goals as well.
River Plate, on their travels, show slightly less dominance with a 60% win rate. They have scored fewer goals, 7, and have also conceded 11 goals like Nacional.
On average, Nacional and River Plate score 2.2 goals per match but also concede 1.2 goals. Their offensive and defensive potential is similar, at 79% and 43% respectively.
In terms of probabilities, River Plate has a 47.12% chance of winning with odds of 2.00. Club Nacional has only a 19.37% chance with odds of 3.60. A draw is more likely at 33.51%.
More than 1.5 goals in the match is probable at 68.59%. More than 2.5 goals is less certain at 45.55%. The likelihood of both teams scoring is good at 53.93%.
Nacional’s recent home matches show a winning trend. River Plate has also performed well away from home, except for a few heavy defeats.
In conclusion, the match is uncertain, with both teams appearing evenly matched. A game with more than 1.5 goals and both teams scoring seems like a plausible option.

The potential number of goals

Club Nacional has had a strong performance at home, winning 5 of their last matches and scoring 11 goals. However, they have also conceded 11 goals, showing a less solid defense.

River Plate, on the other hand, has won 3 of their last 5 away matches with an average of 1.4 goals per match, but has also allowed 11 goals.

Comparatively, both teams have a similar offensive and defensive potential, with 79% offensive and 43% defensive strength.

According to the odds, River Plate has a 47.12% probability of winning the match, while Club Nacional has only a 19.37% chance of victory. The draw stands at 33.51%.

Overall, there is a higher likelihood that the match will end with more than 1.5 goals (68.59% probability), while there is a 53.93% chance that both teams will score.

Taking these data into account, we can expect a competitive match with a higher probability of a River Plate victory and a high potential for goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the statistics and recent performances of both teams, River Plate appears to have an advantage over Club Nacional. River Plate’s prospects have been bolstered by their past away performances and Club Nacional’s slightly shaky defense.

Regarding goal potential, the most likely scenario would be a match with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. These assumptions are supported by the previous match trends of both teams, which have often seen a high frequency of goals and fairly lax defenses.

However, even with this information, it is important to note that sports betting always carries a certain degree of risk, and it is important to bet responsibly by considering probabilities and only betting what one can afford to lose.