Tipps Club Queretaro Cruz Azul Liga MX 24/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Cruz Azul wins the match.

1. Based on recent statistics, Cruz Azul has a higher offensive potential than Queretaro with an average of 1 goal per match compared to Queretaro’s 0.2. In addition, their defensive potential is also much better. They therefore have the advantage in terms of both attacking and defensive productivity.
2. Using the provided success probabilities, Cruz Azul has a 54.97% chance of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Queretaro’s 18.85%.
3. The recent away match history of Cruz Azul shows that they kept a clean sheet in four of their last five matches, indicating a strong defensive performance, while Queretaro has lost three times in their last five home matches, suggesting poor home form.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Over their respective last 5 matches, the total number of goals scored by Queretaro and conceded by Cruz Azul is relatively low, with an average of less than 1 goal per match for each team, indicating a defensive trend.

2. The offensive potential of Queretaro (7%) and Cruz Azul (36%) has been low in recent matches, suggesting that they may struggle to score goals in this match.

3. Previous match statistics show a high number of draws and few goals scored. In the last 5 matches of each team, the majority resulted in a draw and a low number of goals were scored overall, suggesting that this match could also be low-scoring.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The analysis of Queretaro’s recent home matches shows a low number of goals scored (a total of 3 goals in 5 matches) with an offensive potential of only 7%. Therefore, it is likely that Queretaro will not score any goals.

2. Cruz Azul has a low average of goals scored when playing away (1 goal on average per match) and also an offensive potential of only 36%. This indicates that there is a chance they may not score.

3. Liga MX statistics show that in the majority of cases, both teams do not score (51.31% probability of success). This further reinforces the probability that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Queretaro 1-2 Cruz Azul

1. The offensive potential of Cruz Azul away from home is significantly higher than that of Queretaro at home (36% vs 7%). This suggests that Cruz Azul is more likely to score goals in this match.
2. Statistical analysis shows that Cruz Azul is predicted to win the match with a success probability of 54.97%, which is higher compared to Queretaro and other match betting types. The difference with Queretaro’s success probability is even very significant (over 30% difference).
3. Cruz Azul’s recent away matches demonstrate a strong defense, conceding very few goals. Combining this with the fact that Queretaro has only scored a total of 3 goals in their last 5 home matches, it can be expected that Queretaro will struggle to score in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Queretaro is less effective at home, with only a 20% win rate and 3 goals scored in 5 matches. On the other hand, Cruz Azul, despite having the same away win rate, has scored more goals (5 goals).

Queretaro has a weak offensive potential at home (7%) and an unstable defense (64%). Cruz Azul, on the other hand, is more offensive (36%) and defensive (14%) away from home.

The prediction favors Cruz Azul to win (54.97%) or a draw (81.15%). The probability of less than 4.5 goals is high (93.72%), suggesting a low-scoring match.

The match history supports this. Queretaro’s scores are usually low, and Cruz Azul has already had several draws away from home.

In conclusion, Cruz Azul appears to be the favorite for this match with a higher probability of scoring. However, the match could also end in a draw with a low number of goals.

The potential number of goals

Queretaro has mixed performances at home, with a 20% win rate and a 60% draw rate. Cruz Azul, on the other hand, shows a similar trend while playing away: 20% win rate and 60% draw rate.

Queretaro’s offensive game seems weak as they have only scored 3 goals in their last 5 matches. Their defense, conceding 3 goals as well, is slightly more solid. On the contrary, Cruz Azul has scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals, showing a more efficient offense but a weaker defense.

The probability of Cruz Azul winning the match is 54.97%, with odds of 1.68, the highest probability among the odds offered. The bet “Draw or Cruz Azul wins the match” also has a high success probability at 81.15% with odds of 1.17.

Regarding goals, the highest probability is “Under 4.5 goals in the match” with a 93.72% chance. The odds for over 1.5 goals in the match also have a high probability of 75.39%. These numbers speak volumes about the defensive capabilities of these two teams.

Statistically, it is rare for both teams to score since the probability is nearly equal (48.69% for yes and 51.31% for no).

In conclusion, the forecast could favor a win for Cruz Azul or a draw with under 4.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering all the different statistical analyses and recent performance factors, Cruz Azul seems to have the advantage in this match against Queretaro. Not only is their offensive and defensive potential superior, but their recent away performance shows a defensive solidity that could be hard for Queretaro to break through. Therefore, the most likely bet would be a win for Cruz Azul.

However, it’s worth noting that the offense of both teams hasn’t been at its peak recently. With noticeable defensive trends and the possibility of a rather conservative approach from both teams, it’s also plausible to expect less than 2.5 goals in this match.

Furthermore, the “Both teams to score: No” option also seems viable, especially considering the relative weakness of Queretaro’s attack and the robustness of Cruz Azul’s defense.

Lastly, the proposition of an interesting value bet with “Under 2.5 goals in the match” deserves special attention. All of this, combined with the analysis of the predicted exact score, provides a valuable insight into the likely outcome of the match.

It’s important to remember that even with thorough analysis, football remains an unpredictable game and anything can happen. Betting should always be done responsibly.