Tipps Club Queretaro Necaxa Liga MX 28/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Necaxa wins the match

1. The statistics from Necaxa’s recent matches show that they have a strong offensive potential of 57%, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per match, which is significantly higher than Queretaro’s average of around 0.8 goals per match.

2. While Queretaro has a weak defensive potential of 36%, Necaxa has a stronger defensive potential of 43.3%. The goals conceded by Necaxa in their recent matches are fewer than those of Queretaro.

3. The evaluation of the success probabilities given indicates a more likely victory for Necaxa. According to these probabilities, Necaxa has a 43.3% chance of winning the match, while Queretaro has only 27.84%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics show that Queretaro has a low average of 0.8 goals per home match and a solid defense, conceding only 1 goal on average.
2. Similarly, Necaxa has an average of 1.6 goals scored in their away matches. Their defensive performance is also impressive, with only 0.8 goals conceded on average.
3. Recent home matches for Queretaro and away matches for Necaxa have mostly resulted in less than 2.5 goals, indicating a possible trend towards a low-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have a respectable attacking ability, with Queretaro averaging 0.8 goals per game and Necaxa averaging 1.6 goals per game.

2. Both teams have also shown some defensive weaknesses. Queretaro concedes an average of 1 goal per game, while Necaxa concedes an average of 0.8 goals per game, indicating some vulnerability in their respective defensive lines.

3. With the likelihood of both teams scoring at 65.98%, which is a fairly high indicator, it suggests that it is very likely for both teams to score during this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Necaxa wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Queretaro 1-2 Necaxa.

1. The offensive potential of Necaxa away from home is significantly higher than Queretaro’s at home (57% against 29%). This strongly suggests that Necaxa will score at least one goal.

2. Queretaro has had a relatively weak defensive performance at home, conceding at least one goal in 80% of their last 5 matches. This gives Necaxa a good chance of scoring at least two goals.

3. Both teams have a high probability of scoring (65.98%), and the exact score of 1-2 is one of the most likely based on the previous analyses. The average number of goals per match for Queretaro is close to 1, while Necaxa’s is closer to 2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Queretaro has had uneven performance at home recently. They win 20% of matches and draw 60%. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 4, showing a defensive weakness.
Necaxa away from home has only won 20% of matches with the same draw rate. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6, indicating a slight offensive strength.
Queretaro at home averages 0.8 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match. Their offensive (29%) and defensive (36%) potential is not impressive.
Necaxa away averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded. Their offensive (57%) potential is greater than their defensive (29%) potential.
A bet on Necaxa to win would be more favorable with a 43.3% success rate, odds at 2.20. On the other hand, a bet on a draw or Necaxa win has a 72.16% success rate with odds of 1.35.
Bets on goals suggest under 4.5 goals in the match with an 82.99% chance of success and odds at 1.12. Both teams to score has a probability of 65.98% with odds at 1.65.
Looking at recent matches, Queretaro has suffered notable defeats at home, while Necaxa has also struggled on the road.
In conclusion, Necaxa seems to be the favorite, with a greater offensive strength and better chances of winning. Betting on under 4.5 goals and both teams to score could also be wise.

The potential number of goals

Queretaro at home in their last 5 matches has had a mediocre performance with a win in 20% of cases. Their attack is modest with 0.8 goals per match while their defense is average, conceding an average of 1 goal per match.

Necaxa away from home shows a similar performance with a win in 20% of their matches. They are more offensive with 1.6 goals per match and have a better defense, conceding fewer goals, 0.8 goals per match.

The probability for Queretaro to win is 27.84%, a draw is at 28.87%, and Necaxa has a 43.3% chance of winning.

An interesting bet is the number of goals. Over 1.5 goals in the match has a high success probability of 82.99%.

Based on these data, Necaxa seems to have a slight advantage. However, a football match is never a certainty. Bets should always be placed responsibly.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

The Queretaro vs Necaxa match promises to be an intriguing encounter. With Necaxa showing greater offensive prowess and Queretaro having a slightly weaker defense, Necaxa seems to be the favorite in this match.

According to statistics, a safe bet would be to wager on under 2.5 goals in the match, as both teams have shown a tendency to produce low scores in their previous games. However, both teams have also shown some attacking ability, so there is a high probability that both teams will manage to score.

Another bet that could offer good value is a victory for Necaxa. Their recent offensive and defensive performances, as well as their higher likelihood of winning, put them in a good position to come out on top in this encounter.

Lastly, it’s important to remember that football is a sport full of uncertainties, and despite all statistical analysis, the element of surprise always remains. It is therefore crucial to always bet responsibly. Good luck!