Tipps Club Tijuana Club America Liga MX 24/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

America wins the match

1. Based on the overall statistics, America has a higher probability of winning the match (47.57%) compared to Tijuana (27.03%).

2. Even though Tijuana performs well at home, America’s performance away shows a high percentage of draws (60%), which, coupled with their win percentage (20%), demonstrates significant resilience when playing away.

3. America has a superior offensive and defensive potential to Tijuana when playing away, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceding only 0.6 goals per match. This testifies to a superior defensive and offensive stability compared to Tijuana when playing at home (1 goal scored / 1.4 goals conceded on average per match).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The recent home match history of Tijuana shows a trend towards high-scoring games, with at least two goals scored and often more. Likewise, America’s recent away matches have seen several games with three goals or more.

2. Both teams have goal averages of over 1 per match, with 1 for Tijuana and 1.4 for America. With their combined averages, it is plausible that there will be over 2.5 goals in the match.

3. The offensive potential of Tijuana at home and America away is quite high, at 36% and 50% respectively, indicating both teams have a tendency to score in their matches. Additionally, Tijuana’s defensive aspect at home is also relatively weak, further increasing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The performance of both teams in terms of goals scored and conceded in their respective last 5 matches demonstrates significant offensive and defensive potential that could lead to a match where both teams score. Tijuana has scored an average of 1 goal per match and conceded 1.4 goals per match at home, while America has scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded 0.6 goals per match away.

2. Historical analysis of recent matches shows a trend of both teams scoring. In the last 5 home matches of Tijuana, both teams have scored in 60% of cases. Similarly, in the last 5 away matches of America, both teams have scored in 80% of cases.

3. The calculated probabilities also support this prediction with a 62.7% chance of both teams scoring in this particular match, which is a relatively high probability.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Tijuana wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Tijuana 1-1 America

1. According to the latest statistics, America has drawn in 60% of its recent away matches. This trend could therefore continue for the upcoming match.

2. Regarding Tijuana, even though they often win at home, they have an average of about 1 goal scored per match. This trend could also continue in this fixture.

3. Based on the teams’ recent matches, it appears that they both tend to score at least one goal per game. This is why a 1-1 scoreline seems like a logical prediction for this encounter.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tijuana, strong at home, has won 80% of its last 5 matches, with an offensive momentum marked by 10 goals. However, its defense remains porous with 11 goals conceded. On the road, America has had a mixed performance, with 20% wins and 60% draws in its last 5 outings. They have scored 6 goals but conceded 10.

Tijuana averages 1 goal per match at home, but concedes 1.4. Their offensive potential is at 36% compared to 50% in defense. In away games, America averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, with an offensive potential of 50% against 21% in defense.

The odds indicate a more likely victory for America (47.57%, odds of 2.10) than for Tijuana (27.03%, odds of 3.30). The probabilities also suggest a match that is likely to see goals: 80% chance of over 1.5 goals (odds at 1.22) and 62.7% chance of both teams scoring (odds at 1.63).

Recent home matches from Tijuana show a consistent performance, especially with wins against Pachuca, Mazatlán, Leon, and Santos Laguna. America has been less convincing away from home, with draws against Leon, Columbus Crew, and Necaxa, and a heavy defeat against Cruz Azul.

In conclusion, this match promises to be competitive. Caution is advised, but the offensive potential of each team could lead to a result with several goals.

The potential number of goals

Tijuana has a solid home form with a win rate of 80% in their recent matches. However, they have struggled to maintain their defense, conceding 11 goals in five games. On the other hand, America shows moderate form with wins in only 20% of their away matches and draws in 60% of cases.

Tijuana’s offensive potential is at 36% while their defense is at 50%, suggesting some weakness in defense. America has an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 21%, with an average of 1.4 goals per match.

The probabilities slightly favor America to win with a 47.57% chance, compared to 27.03% for Tijuana. Nevertheless, the probability of a draw or Tijuana winning the match is 52.43%.

Regarding the number of goals, more than 1.5 goals in the match are highly probable, with an 80% chance of occurring.

Finally, both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 62.7%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all the statistics, analyses, and keyfacts mentioned previously for the upcoming match between Tijuana and America, the safest bet to place seems to be predicting that America will win the match. This is supported by their higher probability of winning at 47.57% and their outstanding away performances. However, considering Tijuana’s strong home performance and the high 52.43% probability for the “draw or Tijuana wins” bet, this could also prove to be an interesting value.

In terms of total goals scored, a bet on “over 2.5 goals in the match” seems likely, given the strong offensive tendencies of both teams and Tijuana’s leaky defense at home. Additionally, with a probability of 62.7%, it is highly likely that both teams will score during the match. As for the exact score, a prediction of 1-1 could be a reasonable option, considering the past performances of both teams.