Tipps Club Tijuana Leon Liga MX 31/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Tijuana wins the match

1. Over their last 5 matches, Tijuana has an excellent home performance with a win rate of 80%, while Leon struggles to win away with a win rate of only 20%.
2. Tijuana’s offensive potential is superior to that of Leon, with an average of 1.4 goals per match compared to 1.2 for Leon. This could indicate that Tijuana has a better ability to score goals, increasing their chances of winning the match or securing a draw.
3. The success probabilities point to an advantage for Tijuana or a draw, with a probability of 64.52% for Tijuana or a draw, and 35.48% for a Leon win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. The offensive performances of Tijuana at home and Leon away: Tijuana scores an average of 1.4 goals per home match and Leon scores an average of 1.2 goals per away match, potentially resulting in a minimum of 2.6 goals scored in the match, favoring the hypothesis of Over 2.5.

2. The average goals conceded by both teams: Tijuana concedes an average of 2 goals per home match and Leon concedes an average of 1.4 goals away, suggesting a strong potential for a number of goals scored exceeding 2.5.

3. The results of previous matches: Taking into account the last five home matches of Tijuana and away matches of Leon, 4 out of 5 matches for each team had a total of goals exceeding 2.5. This indicates a likely trend for Over 2.5 in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics of goals scored and conceded: both teams have shown a strong tendency to score and concede goals in their recent matches. For example, at home, Tijuana has scored 16 goals and conceded 17 goals in their last 5 matches. Similarly, Leon, when playing away, has scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches. This indicates that both teams tend to be offensive and have a high potential for goals.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Tijuana, at home, has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 71%. Leon, away from home, has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 50%. These statistics suggest that it is likely that both teams will score a goal.

3. Results of recent matches: by analyzing the recent matches of each team, it can be observed that there have been goals scored by both sides in a vast majority of the matches. For instance, in Leon’s last 5 away matches, 4 out of 5 have seen both teams score. For Tijuana at home, 4 out of 5 matches have also seen both sides score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Leon wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Tijuana 2-1 Leon.

1. Home Performance of Tijuana: Tijuana has shown an excellent performance in their last 5 home matches, with a victory in 80% of the cases and a considerable number of goals scored (16 goals). This suggests that Tijuana has a strong attack, capable of scoring at least 2 goals against Leon.

2. Defensive Performance of Leon Away: In their last 5 away matches, Leon has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game, demonstrating a defensive weakness. Facing a team like Tijuana that scores a lot at home, it can be expected that Leon will concede at least 2 goals.

3. Goal Statistics: Both teams generally play openly, with a high probability of both teams scoring (58.6%). Leon has also shown its ability to score away from home (6 goals in 5 matches). Consequently, it is likely that Leon will manage to score a goal against Tijuana.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tijuana performing well at home, with an 80% win rate. Leon less successful on the road, with a 20% win rate.

Tijuana scores a lot, with 16 goals in their last 5 matches, but also concedes, with 17 goals. Offensive potential at 50%, defensive at 71%.

Leon has a less impressive offense, with 6 goals scored, but a better defense, having conceded 7 goals. Their offensive and defensive potential is 43% and 50% respectively.

Tijuana’s win probability is 35.48%, with odds at 2.10. Possibility of a draw at 29.03%, with odds at 3.60. Leon also has a 35.48% chance of winning, with odds at 3.30.

Prediction: A relatively offensive match expected given Tijuana’s recent form. Less than 4.5 goals in the match have an 86.56% probability, with odds at 1.18. More than 1.5 goals also likely, with a 78.49% probability and odds at 1.20.

Both teams are expected to score with a 58.6% probability, with odds at 1.55. Slight advantage to Tijuana due to their strong home form.

The potential number of goals

Tijuana, at home, shines by winning 80% of its last 5 matches, but its defense raises concerns with 17 goals conceded. Leon, away, struggles, with only 20% of matches won. However, it maintains a stronger defense with 7 goals conceded. Tijuana’s offensive potential is 50% at home, while Leon’s is 43% away. The probability of Tijuana winning is 35.48%, as is the probability of Leon winning. There is a 75.48% chance of this match having more than 1.5 goals, and a 57.53% probability for more than 2.5 goals. Both teams scoring has a success probability of 58.6%. Based on this data, we can expect a relatively balanced match with potentially many goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Tijuana and Leon is highly anticipated due to their recent respective performances. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams indicate that it will likely be a high-scoring match. The data suggests that there is a strong possibility that both teams will score.

Tijuana, with their strong home performance, appear to have a slight advantage, but Leon, with their stronger defense, could pull off a surprise. In summary, while the bet “Tijuana to win or draw” seems safe, the interesting “value bet” would be “Leon to win the match”, considering the higher odds offered. However, uncertainty remains and bettors are advised to carefully evaluate the risks before diving into this exciting duel in Liga MX.

Let’s not forget that football can bring surprises and that these predictions, based on past performances, do not guarantee future results. Good luck to all bettors and may the best team win!