Tipps Club Tijuana Mazatlán Liga MX 28/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Tijuana wins the match”

1. Home Performance: Tijuana has shown a strong home performance with 80% of their last 5 matches won. They also have an impressive offensive record with 15 goals scored in these matches.

2. Poor Away Performance by Mazatlán: Mazatlán has a poor away performance, with only 20% of wins in their last 5 away matches. Their offensive potential is also quite low with an average of only 0.8 goals per match away.

3. Statistical Probabilities: According to established probabilities, Tijuana has a 41.05% probability of winning the match, which is higher than Mazatlán’s probability of 31.05%. Furthermore, the forecast “draw or Tijuana wins the match” has a success probability of 68.95%, indicating a certain advantage for Tijuana.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Tijuana has an impressive record of scoring goals at home, with 15 goals in their last five matches, averaging 3 goals per game. This indicates a high offensive potential that could lead to a total score of over 2.5 goals.

2. Tijuana also has a history of conceding many goals at home, with a total of 15 goals in their last five home matches. This, combined with Mazatlán’s offensive potential, could suggest a total number of goals over 2.5.

3. Analysis of the previous results of both teams shows a tendency towards scores over 2.5 goals in their matches. In four of Tijuana’s last five home matches, the total score was over 2.5 goals. Similarly, two of Mazatlán’s last five away matches also had a total score over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Tijuana’s home performance in recent matches: They have shown a strong offensive performance, scoring 15 goals in their last 5 home matches, indicating a high likelihood that they will score in the upcoming match.

2. Mazatlán’s away record: Although they have only won 20% of their away matches, they have managed to score 5 goals in 5 matches, showing their ability to score even when playing away from home.

3. Defensive stats: Both teams have a tendency to concede goals, with Tijuana conceding 15 goals at home in their last 5 matches and Mazatlán conceding 6 goals in their last 5 away matches. This suggests that there is a possibility that each team may concede a goal in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Tijuana 2-1 Mazatlán

1. By analyzing Tijuana’s recent home performances, it can be observed that they have an excellent win rate (80%) with a relatively high offensive potential (50%). Moreover, Tijuana has scored at least 2 goals in their last 5 home matches.

2. On the other hand, Mazatlán, despite a high draw rate (60%) in away matches, has shown weakness in their defense with a higher-than-average conceding rate (14%). Additionally, they have only scored one goal in 3 out of their last 5 away matches.

3. Based on each team’s average goals per match and their offensive and defensive potential, the number of goals in this match could be over 1.5 but under 3.5, corresponding to a 2-1 scoreline. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 55.26%, further supporting the predicted 2-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tijuana is in good form at home with an 80% win rate. They score a lot (15 goals) but also concede as many. Mazatlán, on the road, wins little (20%), but often settles for draws (60%). They have scored less (5 goals) but also conceded less (6 goals).

Tijuana’s offensive potential is 50% while Mazatlán’s is 29%. Tijuana has a higher defensive potential (64%) compared to Mazatlán’s 14%.

The probabilities favor Tijuana as the favorite with a 41.05% chance of winning. A draw stands at 27.89%, while Mazatlán has a 31.05% chance of winning.

There is a high probability of over 1.5 goals in the match at 71.58%. Both teams scoring is at 55.26%.

Tijuana has won most of their recent home matches. Mazatlán, away, has had quite a few draws.

In conclusion, it can be said that Tijuana has more potential to win but a match with many goals could be anticipated.

The potential number of goals

Tijuana has a strong home record, with an 80% win rate in 5 matches. They have scored 15 goals and conceded 15 goals. The average is 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded.

Mazatlán struggles more away from home, with a 20% win rate in 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals. The average is 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded.

There is a 41.05% chance of Tijuana winning. The draw is at 27.89%. Mazatlán winning is at 31.05%. “Draw or Tijuana win” has a success rate of 68.95%, safer than “Draw or Mazatlán win” at 58.95%.

Expect a high-scoring game, with over 1.5 goals having a 71.58% success rate.

Less than 3.5 goals have a 73.68% chance of happening. Over 2.5 goals is less certain, at 48.42%.

There is a 55.26% chance that both teams will score. This is a key factor for your betting decisions.

Review the previous matches: Tijuana has been able to score and win at home. Mazatlán has achieved draws in their away games.

With all this information, you can now make an informed choice for your sports bets.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, Tijuana is strongly favored to win this match due to its impressive home performances. However, Tijuana’s defensive potential, combined with Mazatlán’s offensive capabilities, suggests that both teams could score. Tijuana has shown a tendency to both score and concede many goals in their home matches, while Mazatlán has also demonstrated an ability to score away, although less frequently. Therefore, the Over/Under 2.5 bet with “over 2.5 goals” in the match seems like an attractive option for a value bet. Regarding the exact score, a 2-1 result in favor of Tijuana seems plausible given the statistics.

Nevertheless, it is important to note that while statistics provide a general idea of how the match may unfold, football always remains unpredictable, and the final result also depends on many other factors that cannot be predicted by statistics alone.

Good luck with your bets and remember to gamble responsibly!