Tipps Club Tijuana Monterrey Liga MX 24/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Monterrey wins the match

1. Monterrey has an exceptional winning rate in their last 5 away games, with a 100% victory record. Their current away form is therefore excellent.
2. Despite Tijuana having a good home performance, Monterrey has shown defensive efficiency, conceding on average only 1 goal per game, compared to 2.2 for Tijuana.
3. The probability of Monterrey winning is higher (41.84%) compared to Tijuana’s (29.59%). Bookmakers therefore seem confident in Monterrey winning, despite the match being away for them.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive performances of both teams: In their last 5 matches, Tijuana and Monterrey have shown a notable ability to score goals, with 16 and 8 goals scored respectively. We can therefore expect this to result in goals in the upcoming match.

2. The defensive performances of both teams: In the same last 5 matches, Tijuana and Monterrey have shown some vulnerability in defense, conceding 19 and 9 goals respectively. This increases the likelihood that both teams will score in the match.

3. Predictive statistics: According to the provided predictive data, the forecast of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 56.12%. This, coupled with the aforementioned offensive and defensive performances, makes this forecast a reasonable choice.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The latest home matches of Tijuana show that they have a strong offensive performance, scoring at least two goals in each match. Moreover, they have conceded goals in 80% of these matches, suggesting a certain level of defensive vulnerability.

2. Monterrey’s away performance is equally impressive with a victory in all recent matches and a scoring record in each match. Additionally, they have conceded goals in 80% of these matches, indicating that, although they have a solid offensive strength, their defense can be breached.

3. Probability statistics also support this prediction with a 59.69% chance that both teams will score. This is likely due to the strong offensive power of Tijuana at home and Monterrey away, as well as the potential vulnerability of their respective defenses.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 1.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

“Tijuana 2-2 Monterrey”

1. Score history: Based on the last five home matches of Tijuana, there is a strong offensive capability with an average of 3.2 goals per match. Additionally, regarding the last five away matches of Monterrey, their defense has been tested by conceding an average of 1 goal per match. This indicates a potential likelihood of goals from both sides.

2. Statistical probability: The probability of a draw is 28.57%, close to the probability of Tijuana winning at home which is 29.59%. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring during the match is 59.69%, which is fairly high and suggests a likelihood of a draw with goals on both sides.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Tijuana’s offensive potential at home in their last 5 matches is 36% compared to Monterrey’s 43%. As for defensive potential, Tijuana holds 79% at home against Monterrey’s 36% away. These pieces of information support the reasoning for a 2-2 score, showing weak defense on both sides and notable attacking capability.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tijuana has a strong home performance with an 80% win rate in the last 5 matches. However, they have scored 16 goals but conceded 19. Monterrey has an impressive away win streak, winning 100% of their last 5 matches and scoring a total of 8 goals.

On average, Tijuana scores 1 goal at home but concedes 2.2 goals, a concerning figure. Monterrey scores an average of 1.2 goals away and concedes only 1 goal, indicating some defensive solidity.

The probability of Tijuana winning is only 29.59%, while Monterrey has a 41.84% chance of winning, representing a good betting opportunity.

In their last five meetings, Tijuana has beaten Santos Laguna, Guadalajara, CS Herediano, and Puebla but lost to Necaxa. On the other hand, Monterrey has recorded wins against Puebla, Necaxa, Pachuca, Cruz Azul, and Tigres UANL.

The offensive potential of Tijuana is 36% compared to 43% for Monterrey. The defensive capability is 79% for Tijuana and 36% for Monterrey.

There is likely to be over 1.5 goals in the match (80.61%). The option for both teams to score also has a success probability of 59.69%.

Therefore, my prediction is that Monterrey is more likely to win, with goals from both teams in the game.

The potential number of goals

Tijuana, strong at home, has won 80% of their last 5 matches with 16 goals. Their defense remains leaky, conceding 19 goals. Monterrey is solid away, winning every time, with only 9 goals conceded.

Tijuana, despite a successful attack, struggles in defense with 2.2 goals conceded per match. Monterrey boasts an attack of 1.2 goals and a solid defense at 1 goal per match.

The likelihood of a match with more than 1.5 goals is 80.61%. The possibility of both teams scoring is at 59.69%.

Monterrey is favored to win at 41.84% compared to 29.59% for Tijuana. A draw is estimated at 28.57%.

Recent matchups show Tijuana being offensive at home and Monterrey being strong on the road. The prospects of a high-scoring game are quite high.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, by analyzing the past performances of both teams, the available statistical information, and the current offensive and defensive dynamics, the conclusion we arrive at is the following: Monterrey seems to have an advantage for this match, not only due to their current away performance but also because of their solid defense. Furthermore, the option of over 2.5 goals in the match seems to be a profitable bet given the powerful offensive capabilities of both teams and the notable defensive weaknesses. The bet that both teams will score is also supported by statistics and recent performances, making a hard-fought match with goals on both sides likely.

The bet on the exact score suggests a 2-2 draw, in line with the offensive and defensive statistics of the teams to maintain a balance. However, the safest and potentially most rewarding aspect remains the bet on a total of over 1.5 goals in the match, considering the offensive efficiency of both teams and the match history.

These recommendations, while remaining statistically sound, depend on numerous unpredictable factors and must, like all sports bets, be approached with caution. Betting should remain primarily entertainment, where risk management is essential.