Tipps Club Tijuana Pachuca Liga MX 05/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Pachuca wins the match

1. Pachuca has a higher offensive potential than Tijuana, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per away match compared to 1 goal for Tijuana at home. This indicates that Pachuca is more efficient offensively, even when playing away.

2. The calculated probability for a Pachuca victory is 42.03%, which is slightly higher than Tijuana’s win probability (39.13%). This suggests that, despite Pachuca playing away and having won less frequently in their last 5 matches than Tijuana, the stats indicate they have a slightly better chance of winning this match.

3. By examining Pachuca’s past away matches and Tijuana’s home matches, Pachuca managed to win a game against an opponent who had also scored 2 goals (Puebla 2 – 3 Pachuca), while Tijuana has conceded at least one goal in all their recent home matches. This implies that Tijuana’s defense is vulnerable, and Pachuca could exploit that.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive and defensive potential of the teams – Over their last 5 home matches, Tijuana scores an average of 1 goal per game and concedes 1.6 goals. On the other hand, Pachuca scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 2.2 goals away from home. These statistics indicate a trend for matches with several goals.

2. Head-to-head history – By looking at the teams’ recent matches, it can be observed that the majority of them ended with more than 2.5 goals. For instance, Tijuana’s recent home matches resulted in scores like 2-1, 2-2, 3-1, and 4-2, while Pachuca’s away matches ended in scores like 2-3.

3. Bookmakers’ probabilities – Bookmakers estimate a 66.67% probability of having more than 2.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.70. Usually, bookmakers have a fairly accurate perception, using numerous objective and subjective factors to formulate their odds.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent Match History: Tijuana has managed to score in all of their last 5 home matches, and Pachuca has scored at least once in one of their last five away matches. This shows an offensive potential from both teams.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: At home, Tijuana scores an average of 2.4 goals per match, while away Pachuca scores an average of 0.6 goals per match. Additionally, Tijuana concedes an average of 2.8 goals per match at home, and Pachuca concedes an average of 2.2 goals per match away. These statistics suggest a high chance of both teams scoring during the match.

3. Probabilities: Based on the provided probabilities, ‘Both teams to score’ has a success probability of 67.39%, which is higher than the probability for ‘Both teams to not score’. This forecast is based on the previous and current performances of both teams.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Tijuana 2-1 Pachuca

1. Tijuana has a strong offensive performance at home, scoring an average of 1 goal per match and netting 12 goals in their last 5 home matches. This indicates that they are capable of scoring at least 2 goals against Pachuca.

2. Tijuana’s defensive performance at home is not exceptional, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match, which means there is a high likelihood that Pachuca could score at least 1 goal.

3. Pachuca’s away performance is rather poor, with only 1 win in 5 matches and an average of 1.6 goals scored per match. Their defensive performance is also weak, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match. Therefore, it is likely that they will not be able to win or score more than one goal against Tijuana.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tijuana has a strong home form with 4 wins out of 5. They have scored 12 goals but also conceded 14 goals.

Pachuca, on the other hand, shows less resilience away from home with only 1 win out of 5. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 5.

Tijuana’s offensive capability at home stands at 36%, but their defense is weaker at 57%. Contrastingly, Pachuca shows a higher offensive potential at 57%, however, their away defense is lacking at 79%.

The odds indicate that Pachuca has a slight edge with a success probability of 42.03% compared to 39.13% for Tijuana. However, the draw or Tijuana win option also suggests a possibility at 57.97%.

The match hints at a relatively high score with a 66.67% probability of over 2.5 goals. Furthermore, both teams to score seems likely at 67.39%.

Analysis of the recent matches indicates that Tijuana regularly scores at home, while Pachuca struggles away.

Based on these statistics and trends, a bet on over 2.5 goals scored with a Tijuana win or draw could be relevant.

The potential number of goals

Tijuana is strong at home, with an 80% win rate. But it should be noted that their defense concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match. In attack, they are consistent with 12 goals in 5 matches.

Pachuca struggles away, with only a 20% win rate. They score few goals (3 goals in 5 matches) and concede more often (5 goals in 5 matches).

In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Tijuana is at 36% and 57% respectively. Pachuca doesn’t fare much better with 57% in attack and 79% in defense.

Probabilities show a slight advantage for Pachuca (42.03%) despite their poor performance away. The probability of Tijuana winning the match is 39.13%.

Regarding the number of goals, the match will likely have over 1.5 goals (85.51% probability), and possibly over 2.5 goals (66.67% probability).

Finally, there is a high likelihood (67.39%) of both teams scoring.

With these figures, we can expect an open match with goals from both sides. Despite home advantage, Tijuana will have to double their efforts against Pachuca.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, it is expected that the match between Tijuana and Pachuca will likely be balanced and high-scoring. Statistics show a slight edge for Pachuca, despite a limited away performance. However, Tijuana has a strong home record that could tip the match in their favor. With a high probability of both teams scoring and the total goals exceeding 2.5, spectators should expect an interesting and competitive game. Bettors, on the other hand, might consider a safer bet on “Over 2.5 goals” or “Both teams to score.” However, as always in sports betting, it is important to weigh the risks and rewards before placing a bet and to consider the possible evolution of the situation before the match.