Tipps Club Tijuana Puebla Liga MX 20/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Tijuana wins the match.

1. Recent performance history: Despite Tijuana not winning many matches recently at home, Puebla has lost all its recent away matches, giving Tijuana an advantage.

2. Defensive and offensive analysis: Tijuana shows a lower percentage of goals conceded compared to Puebla (71% versus 93%). Despite the same average of goals scored per match, Tijuana shows a relatively better defense.

3. Result probabilities: Based on success probabilities, Tijuana has a greater chance of winning the match (60.31%) compared to Puebla (20.1%). Furthermore, in the scenario of ‘Draw or Tijuana wins the match’, the probability is very high at 79.9%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams indicate a high number of goals per match. At home, Tijuana scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 2 goals per match. Away from home, Puebla also scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 2.6 goals per match. The addition of these averages results in a total greater than 2.5 goals.

2. The recent match results of each team show a tendency towards high scores. For example, Tijuana’s recent home matches have had scores of 2-3, 2-2, 1-1, 1-1, and 1-1. Similarly, Puebla’s recent away matches have had scores of 3-2, 4-3, 2-1, 4-0, and 3-0. These results indicate a tendency towards more than 2.5 goals per match.

3. The odds for Over 2.5 goals in the match are 1.62 with a success probability of 56.19%, indicating that bookmakers also consider there to be a good chance of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The last 5 home matches of Tijuana and away matches of Puebla have both seen both teams score, according to the historical head-to-head data.
2. Tijuana and Puebla have an average of over 1 goal per match in their last 5 matches, indicating a decent offensive potential from both sides.
3. Despite the overall performance, both teams have relatively weak defenses, with data showing an average of 2 goals conceded per match for Tijuana and 2.6 for Puebla. The chances of both teams scoring in this match are therefore quite high.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Puebla wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Tijuana 2-1 Puebla

1. The statistics show that both teams have a high offensive and defensive potential. Tijuana has scored an average of 1.6 goals per home match, and Puebla has scored an average of 1.6 goals away. They have respective offensive potentials of 57%. This gives an indication that both teams are likely to score during the match.

2. In Tijuana’s last 5 home matches, there have been 2 games where 3 goals were scored and 3 games where only 2 goals were scored. Furthermore, the probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match is 56.19%. These factors support the prediction of a total score of 3 goals in the match.

3. Probability success statistics give Tijuana a significant advantage, with a 60.31% probability of winning the match. This factor, combined with the average goals scored/conceded per match at home/away for Tijuana/Puebla, suggests that Tijuana could score 2 goals against Puebla’s 1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tijuana is struggling at home. In its last 5 matches, no victories, with only one draw. Puebla is also struggling away, with no wins or draws.

Tijuana has an offensive potential of 57% at home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match. However, their defense is leaky, with a 71% risk of conceding, averaging 2 goals per match.

Puebla isn’t much better on the road. Their offensive potential is also 57%, but their defense is more vulnerable, with a 93% risk of conceding at least 2.6 goals per match.

The prediction favors Tijuana, with a win probability of 60.31%. However, a draw is not unlikely (19.59%). The likelihood of a Puebla win is low: 20.1%.

The probability of seeing at least 2 goals in the match is quite high (81.44%). Furthermore, both teams could score, with a probability of 52.58%.

In summary, this match could see both Tijuana and Puebla score, with over 1.5 goals in total. Tijuana has a higher chance of winning, but a draw is still possible. Cautious bettors may opt for “Draw or Tijuana wins the match” with a success probability of 79.9%.

The potential number of goals

Tijuana has not won any of their last 5 home matches, with a 20% draw rate. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8. Tijuana’s home offense stands at around 57%, with defense at 71%.

On the other hand, Puebla has not won any of their last 5 away games, scoring 6 goals and conceding 9. Their offensive potential is at 57%, with a weak defense at 93%.

With these numbers in mind, Tijuana has a 60.31% chance of winning, while Puebla has only 20.1%.

Considering their recent performances, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per match for both teams, it is likely that the match will see over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 81.44%.

In conclusion, even though Tijuana has not shone at home recently, they appear to be the favorites for this match against Puebla, a team struggling away.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this Liga MX match between Tijuana and Puebla presents interesting betting opportunities. Despite relatively weak home performances, Tijuana stands a good chance to win this match due to a stronger defense and better historical performance compared to Puebla. Additionally, statistics indicate that this match could easily have over 2.5 goals, as both teams have a high average of goals scored and conceded per match. However, a long shot bet on a Puebla victory could offer high returns, especially given the high odds for such an outcome. Furthermore, the likelihood of both teams scoring is also high. Lastly, a correct score of Tijuana 2-1 Puebla seems like a good bet, considering the attacking and defensive potential of both teams. As always, bet responsibly and good luck with your predictions.