Tipps Cobreloa Coquimbo Unido Primera Division 28/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Given the statistics provided, my prediction is “Cobreloa or draw”.

1. Home performance of Cobreloa: According to the provided statistics, Cobreloa has shown its efficiency at home with a 40% win rate and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. This demonstrates their ability to maintain good form at home.

2. Lack of performance from Coquimbo Unido away: Coquimbo Unido struggles when playing away from home. They have not won any of their last 5 away matches. Coupled with their low offensive and defensive rates away from home, this gives an advantage to Cobreloa.

3. Comparison of offensive and defensive statistics: The numbers indicate that Cobreloa has a better offensive potential at home (50%) compared to Coquimbo Unido away (29%). Additionally, Coquimbo Unido’s defense away from home is weaker (71%) compared to Cobreloa’s defense at home (79%). These factors strongly support the prediction that the match will end in a win for Cobreloa or a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Low scoring history: By analyzing the available statistics, both teams have shown a low offensive production in their recent matches. Cobreloa has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, while Coquimbo Unido has scored an average of 0.8 goals away. The sum of these two averages is 2.2, which is below the threshold of 2.5 goals.

2. Defensive efficiency: Both teams have also shown relative defensive solidity, with an average of goals conceded lower than a common average of goals scored in football matches, despite some exceptions.

3. Lack of recent away wins for Coquimbo Unido: In their last 5 away matches, Coquimbo Unido has not won in any case. Furthermore, they have only scored one goal during these matches. This may indicate an offensive weakness when playing away that could contribute to keeping the total goals below 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Coquimbo Unido has a weak offensive potential, as evidenced by their low number of goals scored away in their last 5 matches (1 goal). It is therefore very possible that they may not be able to score during this match.
2. Despite a defensive potential of 79%, Cobreloa has conceded 9 goals in 5 home matches. However, in the recent away matches of Coquimbo Unido, they have only scored one goal. The chances of Coquimbo Unido scoring are thus quite low.
3. Statistics show that Coquimbo Unido’s away matches often have less than 1.5 goals (100% probability of success). So even if Cobreloa scores, it is unlikely that Coquimbo Unido will do so as well. Therefore, the prediction “Both teams to score: No” is plausible.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 3.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

“Cobreloa 1-0 Coquimbo Unido”

1. Cobreloa has had a better average home performance than Coquimbo Unido on the road. In their last 5 matches, Cobreloa has won 40% of games and scored up to 5 goals. In contrast, Coquimbo Unido has not won any of their away matches, only scoring one goal in 5 games.

2. When considering each team’s offensive and defensive potential based on recent performances, Cobreloa emerges as the stronger team. On average, Cobreloa scores 1.4 goals per home match, while Coquimbo Unido only scores 0.8 goals away. Cobreloa’s defense is also more solid, with a defensive success rate of 79% compared to Coquimbo Unido’s 71%.

3. Goal statistics suggest a high likelihood of both teams not scoring in this match. This supports the prediction of a 1-0 result in favor of Cobreloa, as Coquimbo Unido often struggles to score in away matches. Furthermore, there is a 100% probability of there being fewer than 3.5 goals in the match, aligning with a low-scoring game.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

In their last 5 home matches, Cobreloa has scored 5 goals and conceded 9. They have won 40% of their matches and drawn 40% of the time. It is worth noting that they lost to O’Higgins with a score of 4-0.

Coquimbo Unido, when playing away, has not won any of their last 5 matches, scoring only 1 goal and conceding the same. They managed to secure draws against Trasandino and Municipal Salamanca.

In terms of form, Cobreloa shows an attacking potential of 50% and a defensive efficiency of 79%. Coquimbo Unido, on the other hand, has an offensive effectiveness rate of 29% and a defensive rate of 71%.

The match success probabilities are uncertain for both teams. However, statistics show that games often end with less than 3.5 goals scored 100% of the time as both teams seem to struggle to score.

The key information is that Coquimbo Unido has struggled to score away from home, only managing to score one goal in 5 matches. This could result in a low-scoring match.

The potential number of goals

Cobreloa has won 2 out of 5 home matches, scoring 5 goals. However, they have conceded 9 goals, showing a notable defensive weakness.

Coquimbo Unido, when playing away, has not won recently. Their offensive performances are weak, with only one goal scored in 5 matches. They tend not to concede many goals, having only conceded 1.

Cobreloa has a 50% offensive potential compared to Coquimbo’s 29%, but their defensive potential is weaker, 79% compared to Coquimbo’s 71%.

The statistics suggest a low-scoring match, with less than 3.5 goals in the match having a 100% probability of success.

Given that Cobreloa averages 1.4 goals scored and Coquimbo only scores 0.8 away from home, the prediction seems to favor a low total number of goals.

It’s also worth noting that both teams not scoring in the same match has a 100% probability of success, suggesting that one of the teams, likely Coquimbo, may fail to score.

Therefore, the match is likely to be closely contested, with a tendency towards a low number of goals. This could suggest a draw or a victory for Cobreloa.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics and information currently available point towards a victory for Cobreloa or a draw in this Primera División match between Cobreloa and Coquimbo Unido. With Coquimbo Unido’s poor performance in their previous away games, it seems less likely that they will turn the tide.

Regarding the total number of goals, the match is likely to have less than 2.5 goals, considering the lack of offensive potential from both teams and their defensive solidity. An interesting bet would be to wager on “Under 3.5 goals in the match.”

Finally, given Coquimbo Unido’s weak offensive capabilities away from home, it is entirely possible that only one of the two teams will score in this match. Based on recent performances and figures, the exact score could probably end up as 1-0 in favor of Cobreloa.

However, these predictions are only extrapolations based on past data. As always in sports betting, certainty does not exist and it is advisable to only bet amounts that one is willing to lose.