Tipps Cobreloa O'Higgins Primera Division 01/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

O’Higgins wins the match

1. O’Higgins’ offensive potential is higher than Cobreloa’s. On average per away match, O’Higgins scores 1.6 goals compared to Cobreloa’s 0.6 goals at home.

2. The calculated success probability for O’Higgins’ victory is slightly higher than Cobreloa’s (36.84% vs 34.74%). This indicates that recent statistics slightly favor O’Higgins.

3. O’Higgins’ recent performance away from home is better than Cobreloa’s at home. In their respective last 5 matches, Cobreloa has only won 20% of home matches, while O’Higgins has managed to win 20% of away matches and also secured a draw in 20% of cases.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams are quite high, with Cobreloa scoring an average of 0.6 goals per home match and O’Higgins scoring an average of 1.6 goals per away match. Additionally, these teams also concede a lot of goals, 3.4 and 2.8 on average respectively, indicating a potential for a high-scoring match.

2. The recent matches of both teams show a trend towards games with over 2.5 goals. For example, in O’Higgins’ last 5 away matches, 4 had over 2.5 goals.

3. The calculated probability for over 2.5 goals in this match is 48.95%, which is not very high but still significant. Furthermore, the bet on over 2.5 goals has odds of 2.00, which can be considered a good bet according to sports betting standards.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Match history: Both at home and away, both teams have a history of scoring and conceding goals. For example, Cobreloa has scored and conceded goals in their last 3 home matches, while O’Higgins has scored in 3 of their last 5 away matches.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Both teams have notable offensive potential, averaging 0.6 (Cobreloa) and 1.6 (O’Higgins) goals per match. Their defensive potential is also weak, with an average of 3.4 (Cobreloa) and 2.8 (O’Higgins) goals conceded per match, indicating the possibility of both teams scoring.

3. Betting probabilities: The odds for both teams to score are 1.75, with a success probability of 59.47%. These statistics show that bookmakers see a high potential for both teams to score in this match, strengthening our prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Cobreloa 1-1 O’Higgins

1. The draw is a common outcome for these two teams, especially for Cobreloa who has ended in a draw in 60% of cases in their last 5 home matches. O’Higgins also sees a fair share of draws, albeit less frequently, with a ratio of 20% in their last 5 away matches.

2. Judging by the offensive and defensive statistics of these two teams, their scoring and conceding potentials are fairly balanced. At home, Cobreloa scores an average of 0.6 goals per match and concedes an average of 3.4 goals per match, with an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 121%. On the other hand, O’Higgins scores an average of 1.6 goals per match away and concedes an average of 2.8 goals per match, with an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 100%.

3. The prediction of a 1-1 score aligns well with the probabilities related to the number of goals in the match. For instance, there is a 76.84% probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, corresponding to a 1-1 scoreline. Similarly, the forecast is in line with the 77.89% probability of there being less than 3.5 goals during the match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cobreloa shows a modest home performance with 1 win and 3 draws in their last 5 matches, scoring a total of 5 goals. They have a low offensive potential at 21% but a high defensive one at 121%.

On the other hand, O’Higgins has recorded 1 win and 1 draw in their last 5 away matches, scoring 7 goals in total. Their offensive potential is higher at 57% but they have a defense at the same level as their attack.

The probabilities slightly favor O’Higgins with a 36.84% chance of winning compared to Cobreloa’s 34.74%. More than 1.5 goals have a high probability at 76.84%, while less than 3.5 goals have a high probability of 77.89%.

Based on these statistics, I would suggest betting on more than 1.5 goals or less than 3.5 goals for the match. As for the winner, O’Higgins seems to have a slight advantage, but the uncertain outcome of the match, given the past performances of both teams, suggests caution.

The potential number of goals

Cobreloa has won only one of their last 5 home matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding 5. Their defensive performance is weak, with an average of 3.4 goals conceded per match.

O’Higgins has only won one of their last 5 away games. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8, showing a stronger attack and a defense roughly equivalent to that of Cobreloa.

In similar cases, O’Higgins has won 36.84% of matches, followed by a draw (28.42%) and a Cobreloa victory (34.74%).

In this match, the least likely outcome is a total score of less than 1.5 goals. Both teams score in 59.47% of cases. The most likely scenario seems to be a score of less than 4.5 goals (93.68%).

These data suggest that the match could have a high score, with a slight leaning towards O’Higgins.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the previous analysis suggests several likely outcomes for the match between Cobreloa and O’Higgins. Although O’Higgins has a better offensive potential than Cobreloa, the probability of a draw is significant, given Cobreloa’s performance at home and O’Higgins’ recent away results. The number of goals during the match is likely to be between 2 and 3, with a high probability that both teams will score. For a value bet, a draw seems to be an attractive option. Lastly, an exact score of 1-1 could be a good choice to consider for betting on the exact score. It is important to emphasize that, despite all the analysis and predictions, sports betting always involves risk and it is crucial to bet responsibly.