Tipps Colo Colo Alianza Lima Copa Libertadores 24/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Colo Colo wins the match.

1. Colo Colo has won 60% of their home matches, which is better than Alianza Lima’s 40% away record.
2. The probability percentage for the option “Draw or Colo Colo wins the match” is 81.82%, significantly higher than all other options.
3. Based on the offensive and defensive potential of the teams, Colo Colo appears to have a stronger defense at home with a 57% success rate, compared to Alianza Lima’s 14% on the road.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics for both teams show that they score an average of less than 2.5 goals per match. Colo Colo scores an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, while Alianza Lima scores an average of 1.8 goals per match away.

2. The respective defensive performances of the teams are also relevant. Colo Colo has a defensive potential of 57%, meaning they are slightly more likely to concede a goal than to score. Alianza Lima has a very high defensive potential of 86% in their away matches, further reducing the probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. The probability of the match ending with less than 2.5 goals is higher than that for more than 2.5 goals according to the provided odds. The odds for under 2.5 goals in the match are 1.87, indicating a relatively high probability.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of goals scored and conceded in the last 5 matches show a high offensive potential for both teams, especially Alianza Lima who has an average of 1.8 goals per away match.
2. Colo Colo’s defensive performances at home are not very solid, with an average of 1.6 goals conceded per match, thus offering opportunities for Alianza Lima to score.
3. The match history shows that both teams have often managed to score in their respective encounters, as indicated by the results of Colo Colo’s recent home matches and Alianza Lima’s away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Alianza Lima wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

“Colo Colo 1-1 Alianza Lima” se traduit par “Colo Colo 1-1 Alianza Lima” en anglais.

1. Recent performances: Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals in their last 5 matches. Colo Colo has scored 7 goals and conceded 8 goals at home, while Alianza Lima has scored 8 goals and conceded 9 goals away. This justifies the prediction of a draw with both teams scoring a goal.

2. Goal averages: In their last 5 home matches, Colo Colo averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match. Alianza Lima averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per away match. This reflects the potential of both teams to score and concede goals, reinforcing the prediction of a 1-1 exact score.

3. Probabilities: The draw has a success probability of 25.13% and “Both teams to score” has a success probability of 49.73%, which is quite high in the context of sports betting. Additionally, “Under 2.5 goals in the match” has a probability of 50.27%, meaning it is more likely that the total score of the match will be under 2.5 goals. All these factors increase the viability of betting on an exact score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Colo Colo has been in good form at home with a 60% win rate and no losses in their last 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8 in these matches. Their offensive potential is at 43% and defensive at 57%.

On the other hand, Alianza Lima has won 40% of their away matches, without any draws. They have managed to score 8 goals but also conceded 9. Their offensive strength is at 64% and defensive at 14%.

The prediction favors Colo Colo with a 56.68% probability of winning (odds 1.52), the chance of a draw is at 25.13% (odds 4.15). Alianza Lima has less chance of winning, with only an 18.18% probability (odds 5.95).

The match is expected to be relatively lively with high chances for over 1.5 goals at 79.68% (odds 1.29) and a 50.27% probability for over 2.5 goals (odds 1.90). Furthermore, both teams scoring is likely with a 49.73% probability (odds 1.97).

Looking at the teams’ recent performances, there have been varied results. Colo Colo won against Cerro Porteno, Everton de Vina, and Sportivo Trinidense, but lost to Cobreloa and Universidad de Chile. Alianza Lima secured a convincing victory against Carlos A. Mannucci and Union Comercio but lost to Cerro Porteno, Cienciano, and ADT.

Considering these factors, a safe prediction could be a double chance bet with a draw or a Colo Colo win, with a success probability of 81.82% (odds 1.11).

The potential number of goals

Colo Colo has a good home performance, with a 60% win rate and a 40% draw rate. Their attack has managed to score 7 goals in the last 5 matches. However, their defense remains a weak point, conceding 8 goals.

Alianza Lima, when playing away, only wins 40% of the time. They have scored 8 goals but unfortunately conceded 9 goals.

Statistics show that Colo Colo has an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, while Alianza Lima scores an average of 1.8 goals away.

The chances of winning the match are higher for Colo Colo, with a success probability of 56.68%. A draw has a probability of 25.13%, while an Alianza Lima victory only has a 18.18% chance of happening.

As for the number of goals, there is a 79.68% probability that the match will end with over 1.5 goals and a 50.27% probability for over 2.5 goals.

Finally, there is approximately an equal chance for both teams to score (49.73%) as not to score (50.27%).

In conclusion, based on the data, a favorable outcome for a bet would be: Colo Colo wins or draw, with over 1.5 goals scored during the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

The elements presented in this article provide a solid foundation for making predictions on the football match between Colo Colo and Alianza Lima. Based on recent performances, statistics of both teams, and other key factors, it seems that Colo Colo has an advantage, particularly due to their home performances.

However, it is important to remember that sports betting always carries some degree of risk. While Colo Colo is seen as the favorite for the match, Alianza Lima has also shown significant offensive potential by scoring an average of 1.8 goals per away match. Furthermore, the betting proposition on an Alianza Lima victory presents an interesting value bet, potentially offering a better return on investment in case of success.

Regarding the number of goals, based on recent trends, it is more likely that the match will end with less than 2.5 goals scored. However, the statistic of “BTTS: Both teams to score?” presents a high probability, suggesting that both teams could succeed in scoring during the match.

In summary, the recommended bets would be: “Draw or Colo Colo to win the match”, “Under 2.5 goals in the match”, “Both teams to score: Yes”, “Alianza Lima to win the match” as a value bet, and an exact score of 1-1. However, it is essential to carefully evaluate these recommendations and consider the possibility that results may deviate from predictions due to the inherent uncertainty and variability in football.