Tipps Colo Colo Cobreloa Primera Division 16/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Colo Colo wins the match”

1. Colo Colo has a remarkable home performance with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches, having scored 9 goals, which increases the likelihood of them winning the home match against Cobreloa.

2. Cobreloa has a poor away performance with only a 40% win rate in their last 5 away matches, and they also tend to concede more goals (7 goals conceded) compared to the goals they score (5 goals scored).

3. The probability success statistics also favor Colo Colo with a win probability of 68.42%, compared to a much lower probability for Cobreloa of 11.05%, suggesting that the likelihood of Colo Colo winning the match is higher.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recent statistics from both teams show a tendency to score and concede goals. Colo Colo has scored 9 goals and conceded 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Cobreloa has scored 5 goals and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches. These statistics suggest a match with goals.

2. Based on previous match observations, both teams have a fairly equal offensive and defensive capability with an average of goals scored and conceded per match of 1.2 for Colo Colo and 1.2 and 1.8 for Cobreloa respectively. The sum of these statistics is above 2.5 goals.

3. The odds offered for the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” – 56.32% probability of success: 1.75, also indicate that bookmakers believe there is a good chance of seeing at least three goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Past performance statistics: Colo Colo has a solid performance with an average of 1.2 goals per home match, and Cobreloa also scores an average of 1.2 goals per away match. These figures suggest that both teams have a good probability of scoring during the match.

2. Defensive potential: Colo Colo has conceded 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, an average of 1.2 goals per game, indicating a relatively leaky defense. Additionally, Cobreloa has conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches, with a higher average of 1.8 goals per match, demonstrating a potential defensive vulnerability that could be exploited by Colo Colo.

3. Previous encounters: In their previous meeting, Cobreloa was able to score against Colo Colo, as evidenced by the 1-0 score in favor of Colo Colo. This indicates that despite Colo Colo’s strong likelihood of winning the match, Cobreloa also has the ability to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 20.53% chance of success: 4.33

Bet on the exact result

Colo Colo 2-1 Cobreloa

1. The predicted exact score of 2-1 in favor of Colo Colo reflects a recent strong home performance and a shaky defense of Cobreloa. In their last five home games, Colo Colo has won 80% of the time with an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per match. Meanwhile, Cobreloa has conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their away games, suggesting that Colo Colo will be able to score two goals.

2. The odds strongly suggest a Colo Colo victory with a success probability of 68.42% on the bet “Colo Colo wins the match,” the most likely outcome of all match scenarios. Furthermore, the bet “Draw or Colo Colo wins the match” has the highest success probability at 88.95%. This trend indicates that Colo Colo is the favorite to win the match.

3. The exact score of 2-1 aligns with the high probability of “Over 1.5 goals in the match,” which has a success probability of 76.32%, and “Under 3.5 goals in the match,” where the success probability is 70.53%. This combination suggests a match where both teams are likely to score but without scoring many goals, corresponding to the predicted exact score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Colo Colo demonstrates strength at home, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. A total of 9 goals scored, equivalent to 1.2 goals per match. However, they have also conceded 9 goals, so be cautious.

Cobreloa is less successful away from home, winning only 40% of their last 5 games. They have also scored 1.2 goals per match, totaling 5 goals. But they have conceded 7 goals, averaging 1.8 goals per match.

The prediction suggests a Colo Colo win with a 68.42% probability. The odds are 1.50.
A draw has lower chances, with a 20.53% probability (odds at 4.33).
A Cobreloa victory seems unlikely, with only an 11.05% chance. The odds are 6.00.

Interestingly, there is a 76.32% chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match (odds at 1.22). Less than 1.5 goals seem very unlikely, but carry high odds of 4.20.

To sum up, favor a Colo Colo win or a match with more than 1.5 goals. With an 84.74% probability, the match should have fewer than 4.5 goals (odds at 1.16). Keep these numbers in mind to succeed in your betting endeavors.

The potential number of goals

Colo Colo, playing at home, is displaying a positive performance with 80% recent wins and an offensive and defensive capacity of 43%. They have scored 9 goals and conceded the same number.

Cobreloa, on the other hand, is less successful away from home, with only 40% wins and a deficit of goals, having scored 5 and conceded 7. Their offensive performance is at 43% but their defensive performance is higher at 64%.

The bet “Colo Colo to win” has a success probability of 68.42%, with odds of 1.50. The “draw” is estimated at 20.53% success rate and has odds of 4.33.

The bet “Over 1.5 goals”, estimated at 76.32% probability of success, could be relevant considering the average total goals scored by both teams.

The latest matches show that Colo Colo has a good ability to score at home, while Cobreloa has struggled away, especially against Deportes Temuco and Palestino.

Based on this analysis, it could be suggested to bet on a Colo Colo victory with more than 1.5 goals scored in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of recent performances, offensive and defensive capabilities, and betting odds strongly favors a victory for Colo Colo against Cobreloa. The key point is Colo Colo’s offensive efficiency at home and Cobreloa’s vulnerability away, predicting a high likelihood of a match with over 1.5 goals. However, Cobreloa should not be underestimated as they also have the ability to score despite their poor away performance. For those willing to take more risks, betting on the exact score of 2-1 in favor of Colo Colo could be interesting. A draw bet could also be considered, despite lower probability, taking into account the defensive vulnerability of both teams. Ultimately, it’s important to remember that sports betting always involves risk, and despite all the analysis and predictions, nothing is certain until the final whistle.