Tipps Colo Colo Fluminense Copa Libertadores 10/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Colo Colo wins the match.

1. Home performance of Colo Colo. In their last 5 home matches, Colo Colo has a strong performance with a 60% win rate and a 20% draw rate. They also have a home offensive potential of 43%, which is above the league average.

2. Away performance of Fluminense. For Fluminense, their away performances are significantly less impressive. In their last 5 away matches, they have failed to win a single time and ended in a draw 60% of the time. Furthermore, they have only scored 2 goals in these matches, indicating a weak offensive potential away from home.

3. Overall prediction probabilities. Probability data suggest that the most likely outcome for this match is a draw or a Colo Colo win, with a probability of 66.32%. This probability is higher than the probability for a draw or Fluminense win, which is 62.11%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Both teams, Colo Colo and Fluminense, have shown a lack of offensive efficiency, with Colo Colo scoring 8 goals and Fluminense scoring 2 goals in their respective last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals per game.
2. Colo Colo has displayed defensive strength at home, conceding only 4 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging just 0.8 goals conceded per game.
3. Fluminense’s defensive aspect stands out, as in their last 5 away matches, they have only scored 2 goals and conceded just 4 goals, demonstrating a successful defensive strategy.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Colo Colo has a strong tendency to score at home, with an average of 1.2 goals per match, and to concede goals with an average of 1 goal per match. Additionally, Colo Colo has managed to score in 4 out of the last 5 home matches played.

2. Despite struggling to win away matches, Fluminense has been able to score at least one goal in two out of the last five away matches played. This shows that they still have the ability to score even when playing away from home.

3. The statistical probability of both teams scoring during the match is 53.16%, which is a relatively high probability. Relying on this probability, it is reasonable to think that each team will score at least one goal in this encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Colo Colo wins the match – 66.32% chance of success: 1.45

Bet on the exact result

Colo Colo 1-1 Fluminense

1. Fluminense has shown a strong tendency to draw matches in their recent away games, with 60% of draws in their last 5 matches. On the other hand, Colo-Colo draws in 20% of cases at home, which reinforces the possibility of a draw.

2. In terms of goals scored and conceded, both teams are fairly balanced, further supporting the prediction of a draw. Colo-Colo has scored 8 goals and conceded 9 in their last 5 home matches. Meanwhile, Fluminense has scored 2 goals and conceded 4 goals in their last 5 away matches. These numbers suggest that each team is capable of scoring and conceding around one goal per match, aligning with a potential score of 1-1.

3. Both teams exhibit relatively similar offensive and defensive potentials. Colo-Colo has a 43% offensive potential at home with a 36% defensive potential. Fluminense has a 50% offensive potential away with a 43% defensive potential. These stats favor a low-scoring game, and the “under 2.5 goals in the match” option with favorable odds also points towards a possible 1-1 result.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Colo Colo has a good home form, with 60% of wins in their last 5 matches. With 8 goals scored and 9 conceded, their offensive potential is at 43%, while their defense shows a solid 36%. Worth mentioning is the 0-0 draw against Alianza Lima and the impressive 4-1 victory against Everton de Vina. A mixed but overall positive record.

On the other hand, Fluminense seems to struggle away from home. No wins in their last 5 away games. Their offensive potential is low at 50%, and defensive at 43%. Only 2 goals scored and 4 conceded. For instance, they couldn’t get past a draw against Flamengo.

The odds also give us insight. Colo Colo winning the match has a probability of 37.89%, while the draw stands at 28.42%. Fluminense has a 33.68% chance of winning. Interesting odds, especially when looking at “draw or Colo Colo wins.” A success probability of 66.32%.

Looking at the goals, under 1.5 goals is unlikely. Over 1.5 goals has a 72.63% probability. And for more goals? Over 2.5 goals has a 44.21% chance of happening. Considering Colo Colo’s solid defense and Fluminense’s offensive difficulties, this seems logical.

In conclusion, the data lean towards Colo Colo, or at least a draw. Betting on a match with over 1.5 goals seems like an interesting choice. However, Fluminense should not be underestimated. After all, football is full of surprises.

The potential number of goals

Colo Colo has shown a strong form at home, with a 60% win rate. Their defense has leaked a bit with 9 goals conceded in 5 matches. However, they score more than they concede, with 8 goals to their name.

Fluminense struggles away from home, with no wins in their last 5 matches. They score few goals, with only 2 to their name. However, they have a solid defense, having conceded only 4 goals.

Colo Colo’s strong home performance and Fluminense’s weak away form lean towards Colo Colo. The probability of success associated with Colo Colo is 37.89% with odds of 2.55.

With an average goals per match lower than the average, the game might be tight. The option “under 3.5 goals in the match” has a high success probability of 81.58% with attractive odds of 1.26.

It might also be interesting to bet on “both teams to score” as both teams have similar average goals per match. This option offers a success probability of 53.16% and odds of 1.79.

In conclusion, the match seems to be in favor of Colo Colo, but expect few goals and solid defenses from both sides.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, based on statistics and recent performances, the match between Colo Colo and Fluminense looks to be extremely tight. The game context, as well as Colo Colo’s home performances and Fluminense’s away statistics, seem to lean towards a victory or draw for Colo Colo. However, considering the strong defenses of both teams and the overall lack of goals, it is likely that the total number of goals will be under 2.5.

It is also plausible that both teams will manage to score at least one goal during the match, given the narrow margins between their average goals per game. Bets on “draw or Colo Colo wins the match” and “under 2.5 goals in the match” thus appear to be interesting bets with attractive betting value.

Nevertheless, as always in the unpredictable world of football, nothing is completely certain and surprises can occur at any time. Good luck to everyone with your bets!