Tipps Colo Colo O'Higgins Primera Division 27/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Colo Colo wins the match”

1. Colo Colo has won 60% of their last 5 home matches and managed to secure a draw in 20% of them. This trend shows a strong performance when playing at home, increasing their chances of winning the upcoming match against O’Higgins.

2. Although O’Higgins has a slightly higher average of goals scored than Colo Colo in their away matches, they have also conceded more goals (13 against 6 for Colo Colo). This could indicate a weaker defense on O’Higgins’ part, which could be exploited by Colo Colo’s team.

3. The calculated probabilities give Colo Colo a high chance of winning the match at 69.95%, with a draw or Colo Colo winning at 91.19%. This instills great confidence in betting on Colo Colo to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The average number of goals scored and conceded by Colo Colo at home and O’Higgins away exceeds the threshold of 2.5 goals. Indeed, Colo Colo averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded at home, while O’Higgins averages 2 goals scored and 1 goal conceded when playing away.

2. O’Higgins’ last five away matches have all produced more than 2.5 goals. This is a strong argument indicating a trend towards high-scoring matches when O’Higgins plays away.

3. The calculated probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match is 53.37%, which is higher than the probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. This suggests that it is more likely for the match to produce more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. The offensive performances of both teams are strong: Colo Colo has scored an average of 1.4 goals per home match, while O’Higgins has an average of 2 goals per away match. These figures suggest that both teams have the ability to score during the match.

2. O’Higgins has a relatively weak defense away from home, conceding an average of 1 goal per match. Additionally, Colo Colo has also conceded goals at home, with an average of 0.8 goals per match. This suggests that both teams are likely to concede goals.

3. The historical results of matches between these two teams show that they have both found the back of the net. For example, in their last home encounter at Colo Colo, the final score was 3-1 in favor of Colo Colo, indicating that both teams have the ability to score in the same match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Colo Colo 2-1 O’Higgins

1. Past statistics show a winning trend for Colo Colo at home, with a victory in 60% of their last 5 matches and an offensive potential of 50%. Additionally, Colo Colo has a success probability of 69.95% to win the match, which is quite high.

2. O’Higgins, although presenting a higher offensive potential at 71%, has lost more matches than they have won when playing away, with a win rate of only 40%. Moreover, probability percentages show that O’Higgins has only an 8.81% chance of winning.

3. The exact score is supported by the statistics of goals scored and conceded. Colo Colo averages 1.4 goals per match at home and concedes 0.8 goals. On the other hand, O’Higgins averages 2 goals away and concedes 1. This indicates that Colo Colo is likely to score at least two goals while O’Higgins scores one, resulting in the exact score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Colo Colo plays at home and is in good form. They win 60% of home matches and score an average of 1.4 goals per match. O’Higgins, when playing away, has a 40% win rate. They score an average of 2 goals per match, but also concede more with an average of 1 goal per match.

Betting forecasts indicate that Colo Colo winning has a success probability of 69.95%. But if combined with a draw, the probability rises to 91.19%.

Based on goals, over 1.5 goals in the match have a high success probability of 82.9%. However, the match is less likely to have over 4.5 goals, with a probability of 84.97%.

Colo Colo’s previous home matches show determination, with wins over Deportes Santa Cruz and Palestino. O’Higgins has struggled more away from home, particularly losing to Colo Colo and U. Catolica.

In conclusion, it seems more likely that Colo Colo will win at home, with a strong chance of there being over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Colo Colo, playing at home, has a strong record with a 60% win rate. However, they have both scored and conceded the same number of goals in the last 5 matches – totaling 6 goals.

On the other hand, O’Higgins, when playing away, wins less frequently – 40% win rate – but scores more with 10 goals. Watch out for their defense, as they have conceded 13 goals in 5 matches.

Analyzing the offensive and defensive capabilities, O’Higgins is more offensive away from home with a score of 71% compared to Colo Colo’s 50% at home. Defensively, Colo Colo is stronger with only 29% compared to O’Higgins’ 36%.

The probabilities clearly favor Colo Colo with a 69.95% chance of winning, well above O’Higgins’ 8.81%. There is also a strong likelihood of a match with over 1.5 goals (82.9%) and under 4.5 goals (84.97%).

The historical matches between Colo Colo and O’Higgins have been mixed. O’Higgins lost 3-1 in their last visit, but the previous encounter ended in a draw.

In conclusion, this match is likely to be lively with more than 1.5 goals expected but less than 4.5 goals. Colo Colo appears to be the favorite, but O’Higgins, who is more aggressive offensively, could surprise.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Overall, considering recent statistics and the performance of both teams, the prediction strongly leans in favor of Colo Colo, especially when their home form is taken into account. The likelihood of both teams scoring at least one goal during the match is also high, given O’Higgins’ offensive tendencies, and the total number of goals could exceed 2.5. However, the outcome is never guaranteed in football, and it is important to remember that this prediction is based on past data that cannot accurately predict future results. Therefore, while considering probabilities, it is crucial to bet responsibly.