Tipps Colo Colo Union La Calera Primera Division 29/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Colo Colo wins the match”

1. Colo Colo has a higher home win rate (60% vs 40% for Union La Calera away), indicating a stronger performance on their own turf.
2. Union La Calera has a higher average goals conceded per match (1.4) than their average goals scored per match (1.0) when playing away, highlighting their defensive weakness on the road.
3. Based on the calculated probabilities, Colo Colo has a 67.55% chance of winning against Union La Calera, which is significantly higher than the likelihood of a draw or a Union La Calera victory (18.62% and 13.83% respectively).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recent goal scoring and conceding history: Based on their respective last 5 matches, both teams do not have a tendency towards high-scoring games. Colo Colo has scored 7 goals and conceded 8 goals at home, while Union La Calera has scored 4 goals and conceded 4 goals away.

2. Average offensive and defensive potential: Colo Colo has a low offensive potential of 14% and Union La Calera has an offensive potential of 36% away, meaning they score fewer goals per match, averaging 0.4 and 1 goal respectively. Both teams also have a defensive potential of 50%, indicating they concede an average of 1.4 goals per match.

3. Probability in the sports betting market: The sports betting market gives a success probability of 76.06% for under 3.5 goals in the match, indicating a leaning towards a low-scoring game according to bookmakers. Additionally, the bet for under 2.5 goals in the match has odds of 2.00, suggesting a significant probability of this scenario.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Colo Colo’s defensive statistics at home show an average of 1.4 goals conceded per match, suggesting they are likely to let in at least one goal, which supports the idea that Union La Calera has an opportunity to score.

2. Despite a lower away win percentage, Union La Calera has managed to score in 60% of their last 5 matches. This, combined with Colo Colo’s defensive statistics, strongly supports the argument that Union La Calera will score at least one goal in this match.

3. The probabilities in terms of number of goals also suggest that a scenario where both teams score is likely. Specifically, the probability of over 1.5 goals in the match is quite high at 75%, which should be achieved if both teams score. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 51.6%, which is higher than the probability of both teams not scoring (48.4%).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Colo Colo 1-1 Union La Calera

1. The high likelihood of a draw: According to statistics, a draw occurs quite often for these two teams, with each having a high draw ratio in their recent matches (20% for Colo Colo and 40% for Union La Calera).
2. The teams’ defensive performances: Both teams have strong defensive capabilities with a 50% defensive potential each, indicating the potential for low-scoring matches. Colo Colo has conceded 8 goals in their last 5 home matches while Union La Calera has conceded 4 goals in their last 5 away matches.
3. The teams’ offensive performances: The offensive abilities of these teams are somewhat weak, with a relatively low average of goals scored per match. Colo Colo has scored an average of 0.4 goals per home match and Union La Calera has scored an average of 1 goal per away match. This trend suggests that the match could end in a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Colo Colo has shown solid form at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches and scoring 7 goals. Union La Calera, on the other hand, has had a balanced record away from home, with 40% wins and draws in their last 5 matches, while scoring 4 goals.

Colo Colo’s offensive form at home has been lackluster, scoring only 0.4 goals per match, while conceding an average of 1.4 goals. For Union La Calera, they both score and concede an average of 1 goal per match away from home.

Based on these statistics, the probabilities favor Colo Colo with a 67.55% likelihood of winning, while Union La Calera’s chances are evaluated at 13.83%.

Regarding the number of goals, it is likely that the match will have over 1.5 goals (75% probability) and under 3.5 goals (76.06% probability).

Furthermore, there is almost a 50% chance that both teams will score (51.6%).

Considering this data, the safest bet would be on Colo Colo to win or draw the match, with a success probability of 86.17%.

The potential number of goals

Colo Colo is showing solid form at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches and a 20% draw rate. However, their offensive performance has been lacking, scoring only 7 goals in those 5 matches, averaging 0.4 goals per game. Their defense has also struggled, conceding 8 goals.

For Union La Calera, their away performance is inferior. With a 40% win rate and 40% draw rate in their last 5 matches, they have scored and conceded 4 goals. They average 1 goal per game, with an offensive potential of 36%.

Let’s compare the probabilities of each outcome. Colo Colo has a 67.55% probability of winning the match, while Union La Calera only has a 13.83% chance of winning. A draw has a 18.62% probability.

Looking at the goal betting probabilities, over 1.5 goals in the match has an impressive rate of 75%. Less than 3.5 goals also has a strong probability of 76.06%.

Previous match results show a solid defensive trend from Union La Calera, with 1-0 wins and 0-0 draws. Colo Colo, on the other hand, has shown some variability.

Based on these analyses, a safe bet could be “draw or Colo Colo to win the match” with an 86.17% probability. However, for a riskier bet, we could go for “Over 2.5 goals” with a 52.66% probability.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering all these analyses, we can expect a match strongly dominated by Colo Colo, with a high probability of victory. However, the defensive resilience of Union La Calera could be a determining factor in the final result. The match is likely to be relatively close in terms of scores, with a tendency for less than 2.5 goals. The probabilities suggest that both teams will score, which could make the match more unpredictable and exciting to watch. With an interesting value bet for under 2.5 goals in the match, bettors may consider this option to maximize their return on investment. The prediction of the exact score of 1-1 could be a bold and potentially lucrative proposition for those seeking a very high odds bet. Overall, although Colo Colo is the favorite, the match could offer some surprises and interesting revelations.