Tipps Colombia Chile Qualif. CDM - Amérique du Sud 15/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Colombia wins the match”

1. Recent performances: Colombia has had an impressive performance at home, winning 100% of their last 5 matches, compared to only a 20% win rate for Chile in their recent away matches.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Colombia seems to have stronger offensive and defensive potential compared to Chile, with 29% and 14% offensive potential and 29% and 57% defensive potential at home and away, respectively.

3. Probability of success: The forecast indicates a 78.31% probability of Colombia winning, which is quite high compared to Chile’s (7.83%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The away performance of Chile in their last 5 matches shows a lack of offensive strength, scoring only an average of 0.4 goals per match.
2. At home, Colombia also shows a low average of goals per match (0.8), indicating that they struggle to convert in front of the goal.
3. Both teams have an average of goals scored less than 2.5 per match in their recent games (Colombia averages 0.8 and Chile 0.4), suggesting a match with few goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Colombia’s home statistics show a significant offensive potential, having scored 15 goals in their last 5 home matches, but also a weak defensive potential, having conceded 15 goals during these same matches. This increases the chances of Colombia scoring, but also that they do not keep a clean sheet.

2. In their last 5 away matches, Chile has a weak offensive potential with only 5 goals scored. With only 0.4 goals scored on average per match, it is more likely that Chile will not score in this encounter.

3. The head-to-head statistics between the two teams show that Chile has not scored in their last two visits to Colombia. This indicates a trend where Chile struggles to score against Colombia away from home.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Chile wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Colombia 2-1 Chile

1. Colombia’s home form: Statistics show that Colombia has an exceptional performance at home, with a 100% winning record in their last 5 matches. Moreover, they have scored 15 goals, demonstrating their offensive potential.

2. Chile’s away performances: Chile, on the other hand, has a rather low winning rate away from home (20%), having scored only 5 goals in their last 5 matches. Their offensive potential is weak, increasing the chances of Colombia winning.

3. Bookmakers’ predictions: The probabilities calculated by bookmakers also favor Colombia’s victory with a high rate of 78.31%. Furthermore, they predict that more than 1.5 goals will be scored during the match, which is consistent with the predicted score of 2-1 in favor of Colombia.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Colombia has been showing an impressive performance at home, with a 100% win rate in their last 5 matches. This streak includes big victories against Argentina, Panama, and Costa Rica. However, the Colombians have conceded as many goals as they have scored, a total of 15.

On the other hand, Chile has struggled to find success away from home. They have only won 20% of their last 5 matches, with mixed results, including a defeat against Argentina and draws against Canada and Peru.

In terms of statistics, Colombia scores an average of 0.8 goals per game at home. Chile, on the other hand, seems less effective away, with an average of 0.4 goals per game. Chile’s defense also shows weaknesses, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game.

The probability of Colombia winning is 78.31%, while the chances of a draw are 13.86%. Chile, on the other hand, has only a 7.83% chance of winning.

In terms of goals, the probabilities are higher for fewer than 3.5 goals in the match (93.37%), while the chance of more than 3.5 goals is only 4.33%.

It appears that the projections strongly favor Colombia for this match.

The potential number of goals

Colombia has been formidable at home, winning 100% of its last 5 matches. With 15 goals scored, they are strong offensively but have also conceded 15 goals, indicating some defensive vulnerability. On the other hand, Chile struggles away from home, winning only 20% of its last 5 matches but defending relatively better with only 5 goals conceded.

Colombia’s offensive potential at home is approximately twice that of Chile’s away potential (29% vs 14%). In terms of defense, Chile appears stronger away from home with a potential of 57% compared to Colombia’s 29% at home.

In terms of prediction, Colombia is heavily favored with a 78.31% probability of winning. A draw offers a probability of 13.86%, while Chile has only a 7.83% chance of winning.

The chances of the match ending with less than 1.5 goals are low (2.95). It is more likely to see more than 1.5 goals (65.66% probability). It is more uncertain for over 2.5 goals with a probability of 45.78%.

Finally, the data suggests that both teams will not score in 62.05% of cases.

In conclusion, Colombia appears to be the favorite against Chile. A match with more than 1.5 goals and where both teams would not score seems likely.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Summarizing all these analyses, it seems clear that Colombia has a strong advantage over Chile for this World Cup qualifying match. With impressive recent form, a powerful attack, and a solid defense, Colombia is likely to dominate this match at home. On the other hand, Chile, despite their determination and defensive potential, will struggle to overcome the challenges posed by the Colombian team.

However, football is unpredictable, and while statistics and analyses predict a match in favor of Colombia, Chile could benefit from any drop in form or performance from Colombia. It is therefore recommended to exercise caution and consider the inherent variance in football before placing your bets.

As for the bet offering an interesting value bet, although Chile has a low probability of winning the match (7.83%), the odds of 9.00 offer a high potential return for bettors willing to take risks.

Additionally, the prediction suggests that the match will likely end with a score of 2-1 in favor of Colombia. While the number of goals in the match is likely to be under 2.5, both teams are not likely to score.

Finally, the match analysis and key facts reveal projections heavily in favor of Colombia, with a high offensive potential and weaker defensive solidity on Chile’s side. According to probabilities, it is highly likely that fewer than 3.5 goals will be scored in total throughout the match.

In conclusion, taking all analyses into account, placing a bet on Colombia to win could be the wisest decision for sports bettors.