Tipps Como Bari Serie B 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction for the football match between Como and Bari is: Como wins the match.

1. Como’s home performance: With a 80% win rate in their last 5 home matches, Como proves to be a formidable force on their turf, scoring an average of 2 goals per game. Their home performances are significantly better than Bari’s away record.

2. Bari’s away performance: Bari struggles to perform on the road. They have not won any of their last 5 away matches and have only scored 2 goals during this period. Their offensive potential stands at only 29% and they concede an average of 1.6 goals per away game.

3. Probability of success: According to the data, Como has a 49.67% chance of winning this match, which is higher than Bari’s 22.88% probability. These probabilities, combined with the recent performances of both teams, confirm the prediction that Como should win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Como, playing at home, has shown a decent offensive capability in their last 5 matches with an average of 2 goals per game. However, Bari, playing away, has a very low offensive potential with an average of 0.8 goals per game. Bari’s weak offensive performance could limit the total number of goals scored in the match.

2. Bari’s recent away matches show a general trend towards low scores, with most matches ending with less than 2.5 goals.

3. The defensive statistics of both teams also indicate a potential for less than 2.5 goals in the match. Como concedes an average of 1 goal per game while Bari, even though the team loses a lot, concedes an average of only 1.6 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Bari’s away performance is poor, having won 0% of their last 5 matches and only scoring 2 goals in those games.

2. At home, Como is currently in great form, winning 80% of their matches and showing a strong offensive potential of 71%. Their defensive potential at home is also solid at 36%, making them less likely to concede a goal.

3. Odds analysis shows a slight preference for “Both teams to not score” with a success probability of 50.33% compared to 49.67% for “Both teams to score.”

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“How to win the match”

Bet on the exact result

“Como 2 – 1 Bari”

1. Como’s home performance: In their last 5 home matches, Como has shown strong performance with a win rate of 80%, averaging 2 goals per match, indicating a strong offensive performance. On the contrary, Bari struggles away from home, with no recent wins and averaging only 0.8 goals per match.

2. Bari’s defensive performances: Bari has a weak defensive performance, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match in their recent away games. On the other hand, Como has a strong defensive performance at home, conceding an average of only 1 goal per match.

3. Probability based on statistics: In terms of probability based on statistics, Como has a higher likelihood of winning the match, with odds of 49.67%. Furthermore, the prediction aligns with the average goals per match statistic and the probabilities for “Over 1.5 goals in the match” and “Under 3.5 goals in the match.”

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Como are in good form at home with a 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 9 goals, averaging 2 goals per match. Their defense is average, having conceded 9 goals.

Bari are weak away from home with no wins in their last 5 matches. They have only scored 2 goals and conceded 5. Their offensive and defensive potential is low.

Based on the probabilities, Como has almost a 50% chance of winning the match. Over 1.5 goals in the match is likely at 71.24%.

Como’s recent home matches show strong performances with victories against Sudtirol, Pisa, Venezia, and Brescia.

On the other hand, Bari has experienced losses and only one draw in their recent away games.

With this information in mind, a bet on Como to win with over 1.5 goals in the match could be a possible option.

The potential number of goals

Como is showing a good dynamic at home with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored a total of 9 goals, averaging 2 goals per match, with an offensive potential of 71%.

However, they have also conceded the same number of goals, indicating a need for improvement in their defensive efficiency, which stands at 36%.

Bari is struggling away from home, with no wins in their last 5 matches and only a 20% draw rate. They have scored 2 goals in total and conceded 5, showing an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 57%.

Based on the statistics, Como seems to have a better dynamic with a 49.67% chance of winning the match. However, the defensive potential of Bari should not be ignored, despite their weaker offensive performance.

In terms of goals, there is a high probability of over 1.5 goals (71.24%) in the match, but a lower probability for over 2.5 goals (46.41%).

The probabilities suggest that one team may not score, with a percentage of 50.33%.

It would therefore be reasonable to predict a Como victory with less than 2.5 goals in the match.

However, this is just an analysis based on statistics; football remains unpredictable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on recent performance analysis and statistics, a bet on Como to win seems to be the most logical. Their home performance is very strong, with an 80% win rate in their last 5 games, while Bari has struggled away with no recent wins. The analysis also indicates that the total goals scored will likely be under 2.5, with Como showing strong offensive but weak defensive performance, while Bari has a weak offensive performance away. Lastly, the chances of both teams scoring are low, as Bari struggles to score away while Como has a solid defensive performance at home. However, it’s important to remember that football is unpredictable and anything can happen in a match. Good luck to everyone and remember to bet responsibly.