Tipps Coquimbo Unido O'Higgins Primera Division 21/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Coquimbo Unido wins the match

1. Coquimbo Unido has a good home record with 80% of victories in the last 5 matches. This shows a strong home performance that can provide a psychological and tactical advantage.

2. In comparison, O’Higgins has a weaker defensive potential at 50% and concedes on average more goals away (1.4 per match) than Coquimbo Unido concedes at home (0.6 per match). This defensive gap could be detrimental for O’Higgins in the match against Coquimbo Unido.

3. Probability statistics favor Coquimbo Unido with a 38.78% chance of winning the match. This is the highest rate among all three possible results (win, draw, loss). This higher probability suggests that bettors also expect Coquimbo Unido to win, indicating the overall sentiment in favor of Coquimbo Unido.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive potential of Coquimbo Unido at home and O’Higgins away from home is rather low, at 36% and 21% respectively. Therefore, the number of goals scored could be limited.
2. In their last 5 home games, Coquimbo Unido has averaged a low number of goals, with 1 per match, while O’Higgins has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match in their away games. Consequently, the total number of goals in this match should be low.
3. Looking at the scores of Coquimbo Unido’s recent home matches and O’Higgins’ away matches, it can be seen that the majority of them have had fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show that both teams have a good offensive capability. Coquimbo Unido has scored 7 goals at home in their last 5 matches, while O’Higgins has scored 11 goals away in the same number of matches.

2. Both teams also tend to concede goals. Coquimbo Unido has conceded 7 goals in their last 5 home matches, while O’Higgins has conceded 14 goals in their last 5 away outings, suggesting their defense may be vulnerable.

3. Previous match results for Coquimbo Unido at home and O’Higgins away also show that it is common for both teams to score in the same match. For example, in the last 5 home matches for Coquimbo Unido, both Coquimbo Unido and their opponent have scored in 2 of those matches. Similarly, in the last 5 away matches for O’Higgins, both teams have scored in 3 of those matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 1.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Coquimbo Unido 1-1 O’Higgins.

1. Both teams have an appropriate average of goals scored and goals conceded for a final score of 1-1. Coquimbo Unido scores and concedes an average of 1 goal at home, while O’Higgins scores and concedes an average of 1.4 goals away.

2. The probability of a draw is quite significant, at 28.57%, which could imply a level score like 1-1. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 46.43%, which could also support the prediction of an exact score of 1-1.

3. The recent performances of both teams also justify this prediction. In Coquimbo Unido’s last five home matches, three ended with only one goal scored by Coquimbo Unido. Similarly, O’Higgins has scored at least one goal in four of their last five away matches.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Coquimbo Unido has shown good form at home with 4 wins in their last 5 matches. However, the team is conceding as many goals as they score, with 7 goals in those matches.

O’Higgins has a positive momentum in their away games, winning 60% of their matches and drawing in 20% of cases. Nonetheless, O’Higgins scores less and concedes more on the road.

Coquimbo Unido’s offensive performance at home is 36% compared to O’Higgins’ 21% away. Coquimbo’s defense is stronger with a defensive potential of 21% compared to O’Higgins’ 50%.

The probabilities suggest a victory for Coquimbo Unido (38.78%) or a draw (28.57%). O’Higgins’ victory is less likely (32.65%). More than 1.5 goals in the match are probable (69.39%). Less than 3.5 goals is also plausible (76.02%).

The probability of both teams scoring is fairly balanced (46.43%). The recent home matches of Coquimbo Unido and away matches of O’Higgins reflect their current form.

Therefore, bet on a match with less than 3.5 goals, with a probable win for Coquimbo Unido or a draw. Both teams could score, but it is less certain.

The potential number of goals

Coquimbo Unido is in solid form at home with 80% win rate. They have scored 7 goals and conceded the same number. O’Higgins, on the other hand, has a 60% win rate away from home, with 11 goals scored and 14 conceded.

Coquimbo Unido’s average goals at home are 1 per game, while O’Higgins averages 0.6 goals away. Coquimbo Unido has an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 21%. O’Higgins has an offensive potential of 21% and a higher defensive potential of 50%.

The prediction gives Coquimbo Unido a 38.78% chance of winning, while O’Higgins has 32.65%. A draw is possible at 28.57%.

Coquimbo Unido’s previous home matches have been mostly victorious, except for a draw against Colo Colo. O’Higgins has also shown strength away, with wins against Union La Calera and Everton de Vina.

The probability of a match with over 1.5 goals is 69.39%, but the probability of under 3.5 goals is higher at 76.02%.

In the prediction, the probability of both teams scoring is slightly lower than them not scoring: 46.43% vs. 53.57%.

Considering these numbers, a match with under 3.5 goals could be more likely. A win for Coquimbo Unido or a draw also seems like a plausible outcome.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Considering all statistical analysis and key factors, the conclusion would be that a victory for Coquimbo Unido or a draw seems to be the most likely scenario for this Primera División match between Coquimbo Unido and O’Higgins. It is also likely that the match will see under 3.5 goals, given the offensive and defensive performance of both teams. However, the possibility of both teams scoring cannot be completely ruled out, even if it is slightly less likely. Finally, an interesting value bet to consider for this match would be to wager on over 1.5 goals. Nevertheless, it is imperative to note that sports betting always involves a level of risk and it is recommended to bet responsibly. Good luck with your bet!