Tipps Cordoba Burgos LaLiga 2 26/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Cordoba wins the match.

1. Cordoba has shown a stronger tendency to win at home in their last 5 matches with a win rate of 80%, indicating some strong form on their own turf.

2. Burgos has a tendency to struggle away from home with a win probability of only 40% in their last 5 matches, further enhancing the likelihood of the draw or a Cordoba win.

3. The probability of outcomes based on the odds suggests that the scenario “Draw or Cordoba wins the match” has the highest probability of success at 75.27%, significantly higher than Burgos winning at 24.73%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Cordoba’s home performances indicate an average of 1.8 goals per match, reflecting a low offensive potential of 21%.
2. Burgos’ away performances indicate an average of 1.4 goals per match, with a defensive potential of 43%, which means they are capable of limiting the number of goals conceded.
3. In their respective last 5 matches, Cordoba and Burgos have on average scored and conceded less than 2.5 goals per match, justifying the prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown an ability to score in their previous matches. Cordoba has scored in 100% of their last 5 home matches, while Burgos has scored in 80% of their last 5 away matches. This indicates some offensive consistency from both teams, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

2. Cordoba does not have a very solid defense at home, conceding goals in every one of their last 5 home matches. Additionally, Burgos has scored at least one goal in most of their last 5 away matches, suggesting that Burgos can likely score against Cordoba.

3. The success probability statistics for the “Both teams to score: yes” option is 48.92%, which is relatively high. Similarly, Burgos has a 50% offensive potential away from home, indicating they are capable of scoring on the road. These figures further increase the likelihood of both teams scoring in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Burgos wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

“Cordoba 1-1 Burgos”

1. The draw is a quite common outcome for both teams, especially for Burgos who has drawn in 40% of their away matches and for Cordoba who drew their last home match against Rayo Vallecano.

2. Both teams have a relatively low average of goals scored and conceded per match, suggesting that the scoreline could be tight. Specifically, Cordoba averages 0.6 goals scored per home match and Burgos averages 1.4 goals scored away.

3. The probabilities indicate a higher chance of a draw or a Cordoba win (75.27%) than a Burgos win. Therefore, the hypothesis of a draw between the two teams seems reasonable to consider.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cordoba has excelled at home with an 80% win rate over the last 5 matches. However, they have scored as many goals as they have conceded (9).

Burgos has won 40% of their away matches, with a record of 7 goals for and 8 against. They have a significant draw rate, reaching 40%.

Offensively, Cordoba averages 0.6 goals per match compared to Burgos’ 1.4. Burgos’s offensive potential is therefore significantly higher than that of Cordoba (50% vs. 21%).

Defensively, it’s very tight with an advantage for Cordoba, who concedes an average of one goal per match compared to 1.2 for Burgos.

The prediction gives a 43.55% probability of Cordoba winning, a 24.73% probability of Burgos winning, and a likely draw at 31.72%.

Speaking of goals, an average total of 2.5 goals could be reached with a success probability of 39.78%.

The probability of both teams scoring is around 48.92%.

Based on these statistics, the match could end in a narrow victory for Cordoba with less than 2.5 goals scored in the match. However, Burgos could disrupt these predictions given their offensive potential.

The potential number of goals

Cordoba, strong at home, has won 80% of their recent matches. However, with 9 goals scored and 9 conceded, balance is key. Cordoba scores 0.6 goals per match at home, with an offensive potential of 21%.

Burgos, away from home, has won 40% of their matches and seems more balanced with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. Burgos scores 1.4 goals per match away and shows an offensive potential of 50%.

Cordoba’s victory has a 43.55% probability with odds of 2.20. A draw could occur with 31.72%, with odds of 3.10. Burgos is less likely to win with a 24.73% probability and odds of 3.40.

More than 1.5 goals in the match are likely at 68.28%, with odds of 1.42. The scenario of under 2.5 goals in the match is also possible with odds of 1.57.

Note that in 48.92% of cases, both teams could score. While in 51.08% of cases, only one team, or none, could score.

These data, combined with the recent history of both teams, can help make an informed prediction.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion

The assessed statistics for this match between Cordoba and Burgos provide us with an interesting projection. Cordoba’s strong home form and their 80% win rate in their last 5 matches position them as favorites. However, Burgos should not be underestimated given their strong offensive potential and high rate of draws in their away games.

For total goals betting, the most likely scenario appears to be under 2.5 goals, as both teams have shown a relatively low average goals per game in their recent performances.

As for both teams to score option, statistics seem to indicate a high likelihood of this happening, considering the consistent offensive output of both teams and the defensive vulnerability shown by Cordoba at home.

Despite Cordoba’s clear home advantage, an interesting bet to consider could be a victory for Burgos. Due to the potentially high value of this bet and the hosts’ defensive frailties, it could prove to be a profitable surprise.

However, the most probable final score leans towards a draw, with a forecast of 1-1, reflecting the recent trends of both teams.

In conclusion, this match presents several attractive betting options. Before placing a bet, it is recommended to closely monitor odds and last-minute updates related to players and their physical conditions.