Tipps Cordoba Malaga LaLiga 2 07/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Cordoba wins the match

1. Cordoba’s home win percentage: The statistic showing that Cordoba wins 60% of their home matches in the last 5 games is a strong argument. This demonstrates they have a strong home form and are likely to secure a win or at least a draw in this encounter.

2. Malaga’s away draw average: Malaga has shown a significant trend of drawing matches when playing away, with an impressive 80% of draws in their last 5 away games. This makes it likely that this encounter will end in a draw or a win for Cordoba.

3. Prediction success probability: Finally, the prediction “Draw or Cordoba wins the match” has a success probability of 78.65%, indicating that previous statistics and analyses strongly suggest this will be the final outcome.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Cordoba’s home match pace: Despite the victories, Cordoba has only scored 8 goals in 5 home matches, averaging 1.6 goals per game. This slower pace could contribute to a total goals under 2.5.

2. Malaga’s lack of offensive efficiency away: Malaga has a low average of goals scored away (1.6 goals per match), which limits the total number of goals we can expect to see in the match.

3. Recent matches: In Malaga’s last 5 away matches, 80% of them ended in a draw with a score under 2.5 goals, suggesting a lack of offensive efficiency from the team. Similarly, Cordoba has not exceeded 2.5 goals in 80% of their recent home matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. In their last 5 matches, Cordoba has scored in every home match and Malaga has also scored in every away match.
2. The offensive capabilities of both teams are rather good, with Cordoba having a 21% offensive potential at home and Malaga having a 57% offensive potential away.
3. The defensive capabilities of both teams are not very strong, with Cordoba having a 57% defensive potential at home and Malaga having a 29% defensive potential away. This indicates that they are likely to concede goals.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Malaga wins the match – 1.77

Bet on the exact result

Cordoba 1-1 Malaga

1. In general, Malaga has a strong tendency to draw in their away matches with an 80% draw rate in their last 5 matches. It is therefore likely that they will secure another draw against Cordoba.
2. According to the statistics, there is a 68.23% chance of there being over 1.5 goals in the match but only a 40.63% chance of there being over 2.5 goals. A score of 1-1 aligns with these probabilities.
3. Based on their recent home matches, Cordoba has an average of 0.6 goals scored per match while Malaga averages 1.6 goals away. The predicted score of 1-1 corresponds quite well to these goal-scoring averages.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cordoba is showing a strong form at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. However, the team has a fragile defense, conceding 8 goals.

On the other hand, Malaga has only won once in their last 5 away games, but has drawn in 4 matches. Their attack is more effective than Cordoba, with 9 goals scored, and a slightly better defense having conceded 10 goals.

According to the statistics, Cordoba has a 42.71% chance of winning the match, compared to Malaga with only 21.35%. A draw, however, has a 35.94% chance of occurring.

Furthermore, the match is likely to have few goals. There is a 68.23% chance of there being fewer than 1.5 goals in the match. It is worth noting that both teams have almost equal chances of scoring, with a probability of 48.96%.

Based on these statistics, it can be predicted that Cordoba has a better chance of winning the match, but a draw could also be possible. In terms of goals, the likelihood is higher for a match with fewer than 1.5 goals. However, Malaga could surprise by scoring a goal.

The potential number of goals

Cordoba, at home, has an average performance with a 60% win rate. They have scored 8 goals and conceded the same amount, indicating a delicate balance between their attack and defense. Malaga, on the other hand, struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate, but a high draw rate of 80%. They have scored 9 goals, but conceded 10.

Cordoba averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per home match, providing an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 57%. Malaga, away from home, scores 1.6 goals and concedes 0.8 goals per match, resulting in an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 29%.

Probabilities indicate an advantage for Cordoba with a 42.71% chance of winning compared to Malaga’s 21.35%. A draw is also a viable option with a probability of 35.94%. The option of a match with fewer than 3.5 goals has the highest probability at 80.21%.

Analyzing their recent matches, we see that Cordoba tends to secure narrow wins and draws, while Malaga has a high number of draws and minimal losses.

Therefore, my prediction would be a win for Cordoba or a draw with fewer than 3.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Cordoba and Malaga looks tight given the statistics and recent performances of both teams. The most likely prediction based on the statistics would be a win for Cordoba or a draw, with the total goals being under 2.5. There is also a strong likelihood that both teams will score. However, for those looking to maximize the value of their bet, an interesting option would be the prediction “Draw or Malaga wins the match” as Malaga seems to have a significant tendency to draw in such away games.

Sports betting always involves a level of uncertainty, but statistical analysis and exploring past performances can greatly help us make informed choices. Remember to bet responsibly and good luck to all those placing bets on this match.